Swedish Ettan18°20 km/hUpdated

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    Jönköpings SödraJönköpings SödraPossession & high press
    vs
    The model's lean: 1 · Jönköpings Södra (62%)
    OlympicOlympicCounter-attacks & crosses

    Jönköpings Södra – Olympic · Swedish Ettan

    1 · Jönköpings Södra 62%X 20%18% Olympic · 2
    Jönköpings SödraJönköpings Södra
    Form LWLDL
    League ranking xG #13xGA #4xT #10xP/match #15Points #18
    Key players
    • Linus LyckFxG 0.43 · xT 0.12
    • Faiz BenatallahFxG 0.62 · xT 0.14
    • Arvid ErikssonRBxG 0.03 · xT 0.22
    OlympicOlympic
    Form DWWWW
    League ranking xG #12xGA #25xT #21xP/match #20Points #13
    Key players
    • Albin SundgrenLWxG 0.06 · xT 0.31
    • Chibueze Blessing EjimoleFxG 0.48 · xT 0.07
    • Osama KhattabLWxG 0.48 · xT 0.21

    Match prediction: Jönköpings Södra – Olympic

    Predicted score matrix

    Olympic →
    Jönköpings Södra →
    0
    1
    2
    3
    4+
    0
    0–05.2%
    0–14.7%
    0–22.5%
    0–30.8%
    0–4+0.3%
    1
    1–09.6%
    1–110.2%
    1–25.0%
    1–31.7%
    1–4+0.5%
    2
    2–09.8%
    2–110.0%
    2–25.0%
    2–31.7%
    2–4+0.5%
    3
    3–06.6%
    3–16.6%
    3–23.4%
    3–31.1%
    3–4+0.4%
    4+
    4+–05.2%
    4+–15.3%
    4+–22.7%
    4+–30.9%
    4+–4+0.3%
    Probability per final score. Rows = home goals, columns = away goals.

    Most likely scorelines

    1. 1.1-110%
    2. 2.2-110%
    3. 3.2-010%
    4. 4.1-010%
    5. 5.3-17%
    Expected goals
    2,00–1,01
    Both teams to score
    55%

    Over/under goals

    Expected goals: 3,0
    Under 2,542%
    –
    Over 2,558%
    –

    Odds & value

    No odds available yet.

    Analysis: Jönköpings Södra – Olympic

    Anna Karlsson · · How the predictions work

    62% is a striking number. That's the percentage chance the models give Jönköpings Södra IF to win against BK Olympic. It's a figure that can't be ignored, especially when taking into account Jönköpings Södra's impressive home record, where they've triumphed in 62% of their fixtures. But BK Olympic won't be pushovers; they saunter into this match with the swagger of a team riding a four-match winning streak, having found the net in each of their last eight league games. Such form suggests Jönköpings Södra's defense, typically stingy with an xGA of 0.97, will be tested.

    BK Olympic might have the edge in points with 22 to Jönköpings Södra's 18, but the expected points tell a different story. Jönköpings Södra boast 20.3 xPoints compared to BK Olympic's 20.0, suggesting they've been a bit unlucky so far. This becomes particularly intriguing when considering the high-pressure, possession-based style they'll employ against BK Olympic's counter-attacking and crossing tactics. Both strategies have their merits, yet Jönköpings Södra's ability to control the game may just tilt this encounter in their favor.

    Jönköpings Södra IF leap into this match with an expected goals tally of 2.00, compared to BK Olympic's 1.01. This, alongside the 58% chance of seeing over 2.5 goals, paints the picture of a potentially open contest, ripe for goals. Despite BK Olympic's recent scoring streak, they do concede chances, as evidenced by their xGA of 1.6. A 2-1 or 2-0 victory for Jönköpings Södra seems the most likely outcome, aligning with the model's predicted scorelines and the attacking potential of both sides.

    Both teams to score sits at 55%, a nod to BK Olympic's offensive consistency. However, the value lies with Jönköpings Södra IF to win, and Bet365 offers odds at 1.61. It's a price that reflects their strong home form and superior tactical setup. With the underlying metrics and model probabilities aligning, it's a bet that captures the sharpest angle of this matchup.

    Statistics

    Head-to-head

    5 matches
    Jönköpings Södra 2Draw 1Olympic 2
    Goals: 5–8 (⌀ 2,6)

    Head-to-head based on Ettan data since 2023.

    Key facts

    • BK Olympic come into this round on 4 straight wins.
    • BK Olympic have scored in 8 consecutive league matches.
    • Jönköpings Södra IF win 62% of their home matches all-time (37 played).
    xG & xGA per match — 3-game rolling average

    Solid line = created (xG), dashed = conceded (xGA).

    Jönköpings Södra
    Olympic
    When goals are scored and conceded — 2026
    Jönköpings Södra (20–15)
    Olympic (25–25)
    Pass networks

    Last 5 matches. Circle size = pass volume, line width = combinations between players. Attacking left to right.

    Jönköpings Södra
    Dzenis Kozica: 288 passningar, xT 0.91KozicaLukas Eek: 260 passningar, xT 0.4EekHugo Lyck: 241 passningar, xT -0.27LyckArvid Eriksson: 208 passningar, xT 1.31ErikssonAdam Bark: 122 passningar, xT 1.58BarkSebastian Crona: 112 passningar, xT 0.15CronaAndreas Karlsson: 108 passningar, xT -0.14KarlssonOlle Almström: 104 passningar, xT 0.55AlmströmKlevis Galabri: 103 passningar, xT -0.07GalabriJonathan Drott: 90 passningar, xT 0.1DrottJacob Shamoun: 77 passningar, xT 1.36Shamoun
    Olympic
    Eric Fidelis Ologe: 261 passningar, xT 0.22OlogeAugust Karlin: 246 passningar, xT 0.48KarlinFrancis Oluwaseun Dovi: 229 passningar, xT 0.4DoviAlbin Sundgren: 228 passningar, xT 1.09SundgrenMattias Andersson: 207 passningar, xT 0.33AnderssonAlexander Robért: 195 passningar, xT 0.11RobértCasper Nilsson: 169 passningar, xT 0.94NilssonOsama Khattab: 126 passningar, xT 0.44KhattabJoakim Persson: 69 passningar, xT 0.01PerssonJacob Stern: 66 passningar, xT 0.1SternFrancis Dovi: 56 passningar, xT 0.1Dovi
    xT networks

    The same network weighted by offensive threat (xT): circle size = threat created by the player, line width = threat of the combinations. Last 5 matches, attacking left to right.

    Jönköpings Södra
    Dzenis Kozica: 288 passningar, xT 0.91KozicaLukas Eek: 260 passningar, xT 0.4EekHugo Lyck: 241 passningar, xT -0.27LyckArvid Eriksson: 208 passningar, xT 1.31ErikssonAdam Bark: 122 passningar, xT 1.58BarkSebastian Crona: 112 passningar, xT 0.15CronaAndreas Karlsson: 108 passningar, xT -0.14KarlssonOlle Almström: 104 passningar, xT 0.55AlmströmKlevis Galabri: 103 passningar, xT -0.07GalabriJonathan Drott: 90 passningar, xT 0.1DrottJacob Shamoun: 77 passningar, xT 1.36Shamoun
    Olympic
    Eric Fidelis Ologe: 261 passningar, xT 0.22OlogeAugust Karlin: 246 passningar, xT 0.48KarlinFrancis Oluwaseun Dovi: 229 passningar, xT 0.4DoviAlbin Sundgren: 228 passningar, xT 1.09SundgrenMattias Andersson: 207 passningar, xT 0.33AnderssonAlexander Robért: 195 passningar, xT 0.11RobértCasper Nilsson: 169 passningar, xT 0.94NilssonOsama Khattab: 126 passningar, xT 0.44KhattabJoakim Persson: 69 passningar, xT 0.01PerssonJacob Stern: 66 passningar, xT 0.1SternFrancis Dovi: 56 passningar, xT 0.1Dovi

    The teams in numbers

    PerformanceJönköpings SödraOlympic
    Points1822
    xPoints20.320
    xG per match1.51.5
    xGA per match0.971.6
    xG within 8s of winning the ball0.260.2
    xGA within 8s of losing the ball0.170.36
    Playing styleJönköpings SödraOlympic
    Build-up efficiency0.330.34
    Field tilt0.620.48
    xT per match1.51.4
    xTA per match1.31.4
    Won balls, offensive half3123
    Pressing intensity0.550.44
    Pressing efficiency0.310.26
    Pressing efficiency, offensive half0.280.25
    Entries into the box per match1613
    Entries into the box against1017
    Pass completion %0.780.83
    Pass completion % under pressure0.720.77
    Passes per match348404
    Passes against per match261344
    Switches of play per match1616.5
    Long balls per match2731
    Set piecesJönköpings SödraOlympic
    xG from free kicks0.090.19
    Corners per match6.84.5
    Corners against per match3.65.6
    xG per corner0.040.02
    xGA per corner against0.010.02
    First touch, offensive corners %0.410.45
    First touch, defensive corners %0.630.63
    OtherJönköpings SödraOlympic
    Throw-in control0.510.62
    The goalkeepersAlexander Eriksson (Jönköpings Södra)Joakim Persson (Olympic)
    Saves3644
    Save %71%64%
    xG prevented45%49%
    Claims85 (91%)83 (94%)

    Frequently asked questions

    Who wins Jönköpings Södra vs Olympic according to our model?

    The model gives Jönköpings Södra a 62% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Jönköpings Södra 62%, draw 20%, Olympic 18%.

    What is the most likely scoreline?

    The model's most likely final score is 1-1 at 10% probability.

    Over or under 2.5 goals?

    The model rates over 2.5 goals at 58% and under at 42%.

    Will both teams score?

    The probability of both teams scoring is 55% according to the model.

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    Predictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.