La Roche vs Versailles: Prediction & Odds (7 Aug 2026)

National 17 August 202621°16 km/hUpdated 04/08/2026

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La RochePossession control

The model's lean: 2 · Versailles (69%)

VersaillesPossession control

1 · La Roche 15%X 16%69% Versailles · 2

15%

16%

69%

La Roche

League ranking xG #2xGA #3xT #4xP/match #2Points #5

Key players

Antonin CartillierLWxG 0.06 · xT 0.19
Idrissa SeydiFxG 0.46 · xT 0.01
Clement BassinLBxG 0.2 · xT 0.18

Versailles

Form WDDWD

League ranking xG #9xGA #7xT #6xP/match #7Points #4

Key players

Romain BasqueCAMxG 0.17 · xT 0.08
Samir Ben BrahimRWxG 0.16 · xT 0.13
Cedric OdzoumoFxG 0.33 · xT 0.09

Match prediction: La Roche – Versailles

Predicted score matrix

Versailles →

La Roche →

0–04.1%

0–17.9%

0–28.6%

0–36.1%

0–4+5.2%

1–04.1%

1–19.6%

1–29.8%

1–36.9%

1–4+6.0%

2–02.5%

2–15.3%

2–25.6%

2–34.0%

2–4+3.4%

3–01.0%

3–12.0%

3–22.1%

3–31.5%

3–4+1.3%

4+–00.4%

4+–10.7%

4+–20.8%

4+–30.6%

4+–4+0.5%

Probability per final score. Rows = home goals, columns = away goals.

Most likely scorelines

1.1-210%
2.1-110%
3.0-29%
4.0-18%
5.1-37%

Expected goals

1,14–2,12

Both teams to score

60%

Over/under goals

Expected goals: 3,3

112%

221%

322%

418%

5+23%

Under 2,537%

–

Over 2,563%

–

Odds & value

No odds available yet.

Analysis: La Roche – Versailles

Oscar Nilsson · 4 August 2026 · How the predictions work

Sixty-nine percent: the weight of expectation rests heavily on FC Versailles 78, suggesting their dominance over La Roche. While points may show a razor-thin edge, 53 to 52, it's the unbeaten run of five matches that bolsters Versailles' standing as the favorites. Their possession control style mirrors that of La Roche, yet the model sees a significant lean towards FC Versailles 78 taking home the spoils. The numbers paint a clear picture: expect a clash where FC Versailles' clinical edge could indeed make the difference.

La Roche, despite their slightly superior xG per match at 1.4 and an xGA of 0.95, which is snugger than Versailles' 1.1, hasn't translated their expected performance into points as effectively. The expected goals tally of 1.14 versus 2.12 for the visitors further underscores the threat Versailles poses. Yet, La Roche's ability to both create and suppress chances cannot be underestimated, as they hold an xPoints edge of 50.6 over Versailles' 43.7.

The most likely scorelines, 1-2 and 1-1 at 10% each, suggest a close encounter, with the 0-2 at 9% offering a nod to Versailles' potential to shut out their hosts. The 63% chance of over 2.5 goals and 60% probability of both teams finding the net further indicate a likely open game with plenty of action at both ends. These numbers suggest a game with goals, but more so, a match that leans towards a Versailles victory.

FC Versailles 78, with their momentum and model-backed probabilities, seem poised to edge La Roche in a high-scoring affair. The 1-2 scoreline emerges as the most probable outcome, aligning neatly with the model's predilection. Bet365 offers FC Versailles 78 to win at compelling odds of 1.75, capturing the sharpest angle for bettors eyeing value.

Statistics

Key facts

FC Versailles 78 are unbeaten in their last 5 league matches.

xG & xGA per match — 3-game rolling average

Solid line = created (xG), dashed = conceded (xGA).

Versailles

When goals are scored and conceded — 2025

Versailles (46–34)

Pass networks

Last 5 matches. Circle size = pass volume, line width = combinations between players. Attacking left to right.

Versailles

xT networks

The same network weighted by offensive threat (xT): circle size = threat created by the player, line width = threat of the combinations. Last 5 matches, attacking left to right.

Versailles

The teams in numbers

Performance	La Roche	Versailles
Points	52	53
xPoints	50.6	43.7
xG per match	1.4	1.2
xGA per match	0.95	1.1
xG within 8s of winning the ball	0.19	0.27
xGA within 8s of losing the ball	0.16	0.15

Playing style	La Roche	Versailles
Build-up efficiency	0.32	0.32
Field tilt	0.58	0.49
xT per match	1.1	0.99
xTA per match	0.81	0.83
Won balls, offensive half	29	27
Pressing intensity	0.21	0.22
Pressing efficiency	0.3	0.3
Pressing efficiency, offensive half	0.34	0.35
Entries into the box per match	13	13
Entries into the box against	9	10
Pass completion %	0.72	0.74
Pass completion % under pressure	0.68	0.69
Passes per match	296	314
Passes against per match	333	324
Switches of play per match	24.4	25.1
Long balls per match	34	33

Set pieces	La Roche	Versailles
xG from free kicks	0.09	0.08
Corners per match	6.6	5.3
Corners against per match	3.4	3.8
xG per corner	0.04	0.04
xGA per corner against	0.04	0.05
First touch, offensive corners %	0.56	0.44
First touch, defensive corners %	0.59	0.54

Other	La Roche	Versailles
Throw-in control	0.67	0.66

The goalkeepers	La Roche	Nathan Yavorsky (Versailles)
Saves	–	80
Save %	–	73%
xG prevented	–	45%
Claims	–	0 (0%)

Frequently asked questions

Who wins La Roche vs Versailles according to our model?

The model gives Versailles a 69% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: La Roche 15%, draw 16%, Versailles 69%.

What is the most likely scoreline?

The model's most likely final score is 1-2 at 10% probability.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

The model rates over 2.5 goals at 63% and under at 37%.

Will both teams score?

The probability of both teams scoring is 60% according to the model.

Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?

The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.