Paris 13 Atletico vs Quevilly Rouen: Prediction & Odds (7 Aug 2026)

National 17 August 202620°6 km/hUpdated 04/08/2026

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Paris 13 AtleticoPossession control

The model's lean: 2 · Quevilly Rouen (37%)

Quevilly RouenPossession control

1 · Paris 13 Atletico 35%X 28%37% Quevilly Rouen · 2

35%

28%

37%

Paris 13 Atletico

Form LLDDL

League ranking xG #13xGA #12xT #17xP/match #10Points #14

Key players

Cheikhou CisseFxG 0.16 · xT 0.04
Aeron ZingaFxG 0.24 · xT 0.02
Noa DonatFxG 0.14 · xT 0.07

Quevilly Rouen

Form DWDLW

League ranking xG #17xGA #10xT #12xP/match #13Points #13

Key players

Junior NdiayeFxG 0.33 · xT 0.07
Rayan Edwards Kwedi MandengueLWxG 0.04 · xT 0.19
Ismaïl BounebCAMxG 0.16 · xT 0.13

Match prediction: Paris 13 Atletico – Quevilly Rouen

Predicted score matrix

Quevilly Rouen →

Paris 13 Atletico →

0–010.5%

0–111.3%

0–26.8%

0–32.6%

0–4+1.0%

1–011.1%

1–113.6%

1–27.7%

1–33.0%

1–4+1.1%

2–06.5%

2–17.5%

2–24.4%

2–31.7%

2–4+0.6%

3–02.5%

3–12.8%

3–21.6%

3–30.6%

3–4+0.2%

4+–00.9%

4+–11.0%

4+–20.6%

4+–30.2%

4+–4+0.1%

Probability per final score. Rows = home goals, columns = away goals.

Most likely scorelines

1.1-114%
2.0-111%
3.1-011%
4.0-010%
5.1-28%

Expected goals

1,13–1,16

Both teams to score

47%

Over/under goals

Expected goals: 2,3

010%

122%

227%

320%

412%

5+8%

Under 2,560%

–

Over 2,540%

–

Odds & value

No odds available yet.

Analysis: Paris 13 Atletico – Quevilly Rouen

Anna Karlsson · 4 August 2026 · How the predictions work

Four matches in and Quevilly Rouen have certainly had Paris 13 Atletico's number, winning three of their encounters since 2024. This head-to-head dominance might suggest a psychological edge for Quevilly Rouen, but dig a bit deeper, and the story becomes more nuanced. Quevilly Rouen sits just a single point ahead in the standings, with 33 points to Paris 13 Atletico's 32, and there's an interesting twist when it comes to expected points. Paris 13 Atletico's xPoints of 41.7 eclipses Quevilly Rouen's 40.4, hinting at a performance level that perhaps hasn't translated into results quite as frequently as it should have.

Paris 13 Atletico may have struggled in their direct battles with Quevilly Rouen, but they've shown a knack for maintaining possession, a trait mirrored by their opponents. Both sides favor a game of control, suggesting this matchup might hinge on who can best exploit their spells of dominance. Despite Quevilly Rouen's historical edge, the expected goals (xG) numbers tell a different tale, with Paris 13 Atletico averaging 1.1 xG per match compared to Quevilly Rouen's 0.9. This slight offensive edge could prove pivotal in a tightly contested affair.

Model probabilities slightly favor Quevilly Rouen at 37% to Paris 13 Atletico's 35%, yet the most likely scoreline sits at 1-1 with a 14% chance. This suggests a closely matched encounter, where both teams could find the net. Yet, with a mere 40% probability for over 2.5 goals and both teams to score standing at 47%, the numbers lean towards a cagey affair. The expected goals tally also supports a low-scoring game, with Paris 13 Atletico at 1.13 and Quevilly Rouen at 1.16.

Quevilly Rouen, despite their slim model edge, finds themselves in a game that could easily tilt either way. A 1-1 draw appears to be the likeliest outcome, with the under 2.5 goals market holding more appeal given the statistical indicators. For those seeking value, look no further than the draw, priced enticingly at 2/1 with Bet365. It's a sharp angle in a contest where history and expectation just might balance each other out.

Statistics

Head-to-head

4 matches

Paris 13 Atletico 1Draw 0Quevilly Rouen 3

Goals: 1–3 (⌀ 1)

Head-to-head based on National 1 data since 2024.

xG & xGA per match — 3-game rolling average

Solid line = created (xG), dashed = conceded (xGA).

Paris 13 Atletico

Quevilly Rouen

When goals are scored and conceded — 2025

Paris 13 Atletico (26–41)

Quevilly Rouen (34–45)

Pass networks

Last 5 matches. Circle size = pass volume, line width = combinations between players. Attacking left to right.

Paris 13 Atletico

Quevilly Rouen

xT networks

The same network weighted by offensive threat (xT): circle size = threat created by the player, line width = threat of the combinations. Last 5 matches, attacking left to right.

Paris 13 Atletico

Quevilly Rouen

The teams in numbers

Performance	Paris 13 Atletico	Quevilly Rouen
Points	32	33
xPoints	41.7	40.4
xG per match	1.1	0.9
xGA per match	1.3	1.2
xG within 8s of winning the ball	0.13	0.19
xGA within 8s of losing the ball	0.2	0.14

Playing style	Paris 13 Atletico	Quevilly Rouen
Build-up efficiency	0.31	0.28
Field tilt	0.4	0.41
xT per match	0.7	0.78
xTA per match	1	0.97
Won balls, offensive half	24	22
Pressing intensity	0.22	0.21
Pressing efficiency	0.29	0.27
Pressing efficiency, offensive half	0.34	0.33
Entries into the box per match	9	8
Entries into the box against	12	11
Pass completion %	0.75	0.73
Pass completion % under pressure	0.71	0.68
Passes per match	316	298
Passes against per match	362	391
Switches of play per match	23.9	19.1
Long balls per match	36	28

Set pieces	Paris 13 Atletico	Quevilly Rouen
xG from free kicks	0.07	0.03
Corners per match	4	3.2
Corners against per match	5.3	5.1
xG per corner	0.07	0.05
xGA per corner against	0.04	0.04
First touch, offensive corners %	0.34	0.44
First touch, defensive corners %	0.6	0.6

Other	Paris 13 Atletico	Quevilly Rouen
Throw-in control	0.66	0.65

The goalkeepers	Germain Sanou (Paris 13 Atletico)	Ouparine Djoco (Quevilly Rouen)
Saves	85	51
Save %	71%	70%
xG prevented	48%	34%
Claims	0 (0%)	0 (0%)

Frequently asked questions

Who wins Paris 13 Atletico vs Quevilly Rouen according to our model?

The model gives Quevilly Rouen a 37% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Paris 13 Atletico 35%, draw 28%, Quevilly Rouen 37%.

What is the most likely scoreline?

The model's most likely final score is 1-1 at 14% probability.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

The model rates over 2.5 goals at 40% and under at 60%.

Will both teams score?

The probability of both teams scoring is 47% according to the model.

Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?

The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.