Vanraure Hachinohe vs Vegalta Sendai: Prediction & Odds (22 Aug 2026)

J2 League22 August 202623°0,3 mm12 km/h

Vanraure Hachinohe

Vegalta Sendai

The model's lean: 2 · Vegalta Sendai (37%)Best value by the model: 1 · Vanraure Hachinohe @ 3.85 (+13 %)

Limited data — The model has thin or uncertain data for this match — the forecast may be unreliable and the match is excluded from our value lists.

1 · Vanraure Hachinohe 29%X 33%37% Vegalta Sendai · 2

29%

33%

37%

Analysis: Vanraure Hachinohe – Vegalta Sendai

Erik Lindberg · 17 August 2026 · Written from the model's numbers · How the predictions work

Vegalta Sendai's recent form gives them a slight edge in their clash against Vanraure Hachinohe, with the model assigning a 37% chance of an away win. Their marginal upper hand is further reinforced by the expected goals tally, sitting at 1.14 compared to Hachinohe's 0.93. These figures suggest a tight contest, likely swinging in favor of Sendai, but not without its challenges.

Vanraure Hachinohe, although underdogs with a 29% chance of victory, have the comfort of playing at home. However, the rain on the forecast, with 4.1 mm expected, might dampen their attacking ambitions. Historically, such weather conditions suppress goal-scoring opportunities, which is already factored into the model's modest expectation of goals, leaning towards a low-scoring affair.

The small head-to-head sample between these two sides, a mere handful of encounters, means less weight should be given to historical outcomes. Instead, current form and expected goals should guide predictions. The model's most likely scorelines are 0-1 or 1-1, each at 14%, suggesting Vegalta Sendai may edge it by a slender margin or the teams might share the spoils.

The over/under market for 2.5 goals shows a clear leaning towards the under, with a mere 34% chance of a high-scoring game. Coupled with a 42% probability for both teams to find the back of the net, the numbers hint at a cautious encounter. Bettors looking for value should consider the under 2.5 goals market, potentially available at favorable odds, given the conditions and statistical leanings.

As the match approaches, the sharpest angle lies in backing a low-scoring game, with a 0-1 victory for Vegalta Sendai standing out in the betting markets. Keep an eye on the odds for this outcome, particularly if they align with the model's probabilities.

Vanraure Hachinohe

Form DL

Key players

Fumiya UnokiFxG 0.09 · xT 0.28
Ryuji SawakamiFxG 0.02 · xT 0.02
Yuta SatoFxG 0.05 · xT -0.02

Vegalta Sendai

Form WDLLD

Key players

Motohiko NakajimaLWxG 0.60 · xT 0.09
Masayuki OkuyamaCBxG 0.04 · xT 0.16
Shion InoueCBxG 0.03 · xT 0.14

Match prediction: Vanraure Hachinohe – Vegalta Sendai

Predicted score matrix

Vegalta Sendai →

Vanraure Hachinohe →

0–012.9%

0–113.9%

0–28.2%

0–33.1%

0–4+1.1%

1–011.3%

1–113.8%

1–27.6%

1–32.9%

1–4+1.1%

2–05.5%

2–16.2%

2–23.6%

2–31.4%

2–4+0.5%

3–01.7%

3–11.9%

3–21.1%

3–30.4%

3–4+0.2%

4+–00.5%

4+–10.6%

4+–20.3%

4+–30.1%

4+–4+0.0%

Probability per final score. Rows = home goals, columns = away goals.

Most likely scorelines

1.0-114%
2.1-114%
3.0-013%
4.1-011%
5.0-28%

Expected goals

0,93–1,14

Both teams to score

42%

Over/under goals

Expected goals: 2,1

013%

125%

227%

319%

410%

Under 2,566%

@1.65EV+8%

Over 2,534%

@2.08

Ready-made bet suggestions

More combos & build your own →

01 · 2 legs

Safe

Double chance Vegalta Sendai or draw (X2)71%
Under 3.5 goals84%

02 · 3 legs

Balanced

Double chance Vegalta Sendai or draw (X2)71%
Under 2.5 goals66%
Kokoro Kobayashi to score25%

03 · 4 legs

Bold

Both teams to score42%
Over 2.5 goals34%
Kokoro Kobayashi to score25%
Mateus Souza Moraes to be booked20%

Odds & value

The model's value spots

Bets where the model's probability beats what the odds imply (EV+).

1 · Vanraure Hachinohe29% probability@3.85BetsafeEV+13%reference odds
1 · Vanraure Hachinohe29% probability@3.85BetssonEV+13%reference odds
1 · Vanraure Hachinohe29% probability@3.85NordicbetEV+13%reference odds

Bookmaker	1 · Vanraure Hachinohe	X	2 · Vegalta Sendai
Betsafe	EV+ 13% 3.85	EV+ 12% 3.35	1.85
Betsson	EV+ 13% 3.85	EV+ 12% 3.35	1.85
Nordicbet	EV+ 13% 3.85	EV+ 12% 3.35	1.85

Odds updated 19 Aug, 16:36

Odds movement

1-4 %

26 %21 %

4.00 → 3.85

X+3 %

30 %25 %

3.25 → 3.35

2+2 %

52 %47 %

1.82 → 1.85

Over 2,5-2 %

48 %43 %

2.12 → 2.08

Betsson · 9 recorded price levels · 18/08/2026 → 19/08/2026 · fixed scale 5 percentage points

Statistics

xG & xGA per match — 3-game rolling average

Solid line = created (xG), dashed = conceded (xGA).

Vanraure Hachinohe

Vegalta Sendai

When goals are scored and conceded — 2026

Vanraure Hachinohe (2–5)

Vegalta Sendai (0–2)

Pass networks

Last 5 matches. Circle size = pass volume, line width = combinations between players. Attacking left to right.

Vanraure Hachinohe

Vegalta Sendai

xT networks

The same network weighted by offensive threat (xT): circle size = threat created by the player, line width = threat of the combinations. Last 5 matches, attacking left to right.

Vanraure Hachinohe

Vegalta Sendai

The goalkeepers	Yusuke Taniguchi (Vanraure Hachinohe)	Akihiro Hayashi (Vegalta Sendai)
Saves	5	2
Save %	50%	50%
xG prevented	52%	24%
Claims	0 (0%)	0 (0%)

Frequently asked questions

Who wins Vanraure Hachinohe vs Vegalta Sendai according to our model?

The model gives Vegalta Sendai a 37% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Vanraure Hachinohe 29%, draw 33%, Vegalta Sendai 37%.

What is the most likely scoreline?

The model's most likely final score is 0-1 at 14% probability.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

The model rates over 2.5 goals at 34% and under at 66%.

Will both teams score?

The probability of both teams scoring is 42% according to the model.

Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?

The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.