01 · 2 legs
Safe
- Double chance Real Betis or draw (X2)71%
- Under 3.5 goals74%
La LigaEstadi Ciutat de València, Valencia27°18 km/h
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LevanteBalanced & physicalvs
Real BetisBalanced & physicalThe model's lean: 2 · Real Betis (43%)Best value by the model: 1 · Levante @ 3.29 (+0 %)
Levante – Real Betis · La Liga
1 · Levante 30%X 27%43% Real Betis · 2
30%
27%
43%
Analysis: Levante – Real Betis
Oscar Nilsson · · Model-assisted analysis, fact-checked · How the predictions work
The text holds except for one unsupported claim: the specific betting odds "2.25 with Bet365" are not part of the given facts and appear fabricated.
FAKTA does not include any bookmaker odds, so this detail should be removed.
CORRECTED TEXT:
The head-to-head record tilts slightly toward Real Betis, having drawn once and won once against Levante since 2022. However, two matches are a slim sample size and hardly definitive. Real Betis has been consistent, finding the net in nine consecutive league outings. This scoring streak suggests that the visitors have the edge in offensive prowess, while Levante may struggle to disrupt this pattern.
Current form and expected goals further underline this advantage. Real Betis is favored, with probabilities backing a 43% chance of an away win. Their expected goals of 1.44 exceed Levante's 1.14, indicating a likely edge in attacking efficiency. The model suggests the most probable scorelines are 1-1, 0-1, and 1-2, with the slight nod going to the visitors, who seem more likely to eke out a victory.
Both teams are evenly matched in playing style—balanced and physical. Yet, it's the defensive vulnerabilities of Levante that could tip the scales. Their xGA per match lingers at a worrying 2.1, double that of Real Betis's 0.71. This stark contrast suggests that while Levante can hold their own physically, they are more likely to concede goals against a side like Betis, which knows how to capitalize on defensive lapses.
With the over 2.5 goals sitting at 48%, expect a tight contest slightly leaning under on goals. For betting value, consider backing Real Betis to win. This reflects an assessment that while Levante will fight hard, the visitors’ clinical edge and defensive solidity should prevail in a narrow victory, likely ending 0-1 or 1-2.
LevanteForm WWWLL
League ranking xG #18xGA #19xT #16xP/match #19Points #19
Key players
- Carlos EspiFxG 0.48 · xT -0.02
- Karl Etta EyongFxG 0.43 · xT 0.05
- Unai VencedorCMxG 0.00 · xT 0.16
Real BetisForm DWLWW
League ranking xG #4xGA #6xT #9xP/match #3Points #7
Key players
- Abdessamad EzzalzouliLWxG 0.19 · xT 0.15
- AntonyRWxG 0.25 · xT 0.21
- Cucho HernandezFxG 0.37 · xT 0.07
Match prediction: Levante – Real Betis
Predicted score matrix
Real Betis →
Levante →
0
1
2
3
4+
0
0–07.9%
0–110.5%
0–27.9%
0–33.8%
0–4+1.9%
1
1–08.3%
1–112.8%
1–29.0%
1–34.3%
1–4+2.1%
2
2–04.9%
2–17.1%
2–25.1%
2–32.5%
2–4+1.2%
3
3–01.9%
3–12.7%
3–21.9%
3–30.9%
3–4+0.5%
4+
4+–00.7%
4+–11.0%
4+–20.7%
4+–30.3%
4+–4+0.2%
Most likely scorelines
- 1.1-113%
- 2.0-111%
- 3.1-29%
- 4.1-08%
- 5.0-08%
Expected goals
1,14–1,44
Both teams to score
52%
Over/under goals
Expected goals: 2,608%
119%
226%
322%
414%
5+12%
Under 2,552%
@1.88
Over 2,548%
@2.00
Ready-made bet suggestions
More combos & build your own →02 · 3 legs
Balanced
- Double chance Real Betis or draw (X2)71%
- Under 2.5 goals52%
- Juan Camilo Hernández Suárez to score32%
03 · 4 legs
Bold
- Both teams to score52%
- Over 2.5 goals48%
- Juan Camilo Hernández Suárez to score32%
- Kervin Fabián Arriaga Villanueva to be booked19%
Odds & value
The model's value spots
Bets where the model's probability beats what the odds imply (EV+).
- 1 · Levante30% probability@3.29PinnacleEV+0%reference odds
| Bookmaker | 1 · Levante | X | 2 · Real Betis |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 3.00 | 3.30 | 2.30 |
| Betsafe | 3.25 | 3.30 | 2.22 |
| Betsson | 3.25 | 3.30 | 2.22 |
| Nordicbet | 3.25 | 3.30 | 2.22 |
| Pinnacle | EV+ 0% 3.29 | 3.44 | 2.26 |
Odds updated 25 Aug, 05:15
Odds movement
10 %
32 %27 %
3.28 → 3.29
X0 %
31 %26 %
3.44 → 3.44
20 %
45 %40 %
2.26 → 2.26
Over 2,50 %
51 %46 %
2.00 → 2.00
Pinnacle · 2 recorded price levels · 24/08/2026 → 25/08/2026 · fixed scale 5 percentage points
Statistics
Head-to-head
2 matchesLevante 0Draw 1Real Betis 1
Goals: 3–4 (⌀ 3,5)
Head-to-head based on La Liga data since 2022.
Key facts
- Real Betis Balompie have scored in 9 consecutive league matches.
Solid line = created (xG), dashed = conceded (xGA).
Levante
Real Betis
Levante (0–3)
Real Betis (1–0)
Last 5 matches. Circle size = pass volume, line width = combinations between players. Attacking left to right.
Levante
Real Betis
The same network weighted by offensive threat (xT): circle size = threat created by the player, line width = threat of the combinations. Last 5 matches, attacking left to right.
Levante
Real Betis
The teams in numbers
| Performance | Levante | Real Betis |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 0 | 3 |
| xPoints | 0.2 | 2 |
| xG per match | 0.35 | 1.6 |
| xGA per match | 2.1 | 0.71 |
| xG within 8s of winning the ball | 0.08 | 0.67 |
| xGA within 8s of losing the ball | 0.05 | 0.03 |
| Playing style | Levante | Real Betis |
|---|---|---|
| Build-up efficiency | 0.32 | 0.31 |
| Field tilt | 0.37 | 0.7 |
| xT per match | 0.36 | 0.73 |
| xTA per match | 0.5 | 0.43 |
| Won balls, offensive half | 21 | 33 |
| Pressing intensity | 0.22 | 0.21 |
| Pressing efficiency | 0.17 | 0.27 |
| Pressing efficiency, offensive half | 0.14 | 0.17 |
| Entries into the box per match | 5 | 12 |
| Entries into the box against | 8 | 4 |
| Pass completion % | 0.78 | 0.81 |
| Pass completion % under pressure | 0.72 | 0.75 |
| Passes per match | 339 | 432 |
| Passes against per match | 401 | 448 |
| Switches of play per match | 34.3 | 40.5 |
| Long balls per match | 27 | 46 |
| Set pieces | Levante | Real Betis |
|---|---|---|
| xG from free kicks | 0 | 0.05 |
| Corners per match | 1 | 4.2 |
| Corners against per match | 0 | 5.2 |
| xG per corner | 0 | 0.01 |
| xGA per corner against | 0 | 0 |
| First touch, offensive corners % | 0 | 0.75 |
| First touch, defensive corners % | 0 | 0.8 |
| Other | Levante | Real Betis |
|---|---|---|
| Throw-in control | 0.76 | 0.65 |
| The goalkeepers | Mathew Ryan (Levante) | Álvaro Vallés (Real Betis) |
|---|---|---|
| Saves | 3 | 3 |
| Save % | 50% | 100% |
| xG prevented | 23% | 100% |
| Claims | 0 (0%) | 0 (0%) |
Frequently asked questions
Who wins Levante vs Real Betis according to our model?
The model gives Real Betis a 43% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Levante 30%, draw 27%, Real Betis 43%.
What is the most likely scoreline?
The model's most likely final score is 1-1 at 13% probability.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The model rates over 2.5 goals at 48% and under at 52%.
Will both teams score?
The probability of both teams scoring is 52% according to the model.
Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?
The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.
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Predictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.