01 · 2 legs
Safe
- Stockholm Internazionale to win72%
- Over 1.5 goals84%
Swedish Ettan17°1,4 mm15 km/h
Läs på svenskaSofia Andersson · · The model's read on the match · How the predictions work
With Stockholm Internazionale holding a commanding 72% chance of victory and riding a four-game winning streak, the match against Enköpings SK leans heavily in favor of the visitors. The goal probabilities and expected metrics paint a clear picture: the visitors are likely to dominate. Stockholm Internazionale's attacking prowess is further highlighted by their 15-game scoring streak, contrasting sharply with Enköpings SK's less potent offense.
The most probable scorelines, 0-2 and 1-2, both favor the visitors and align with the expected goals tally of 2.26 for Stockholm vs. 0.98 for Enköping. These figures suggest that even in a possession-driven strategy by the hosts, they will struggle to penetrate a defense that allows less than one expected goal per match. Enköping's attempts to control possession may be thwarted by Stockholm's aggressive high press, further shifting momentum toward the visitors.
Weather conditions, with predicted rain, could slow the game down slightly, but this factor is accounted for in the model's anticipated numbers. Despite this, the over 2.5 goals probability remains high at 63%, indicating a likely event of multiple goals, primarily favoring the visitors' side. The percentage for both teams to score sits at 56%, suggesting there’s a reasonable chance Enköping might get on the scoresheet, though unlikely to change the outcome.
Given the substantial value found in the odds offered by Betsafe, Betsson, and Nordicbet at 1.78 for a Stockholm Internazionale win, bettors are presented with a 28% edge opportunity. In a game where the stats favor the visitors comprehensively, this is an angle too sharp to overlook. Expect Stockholm Internazionale to continue their winning run, likely securing a 0-2 or 1-2 victory, as the hosts find it challenging to break out of their less favorable form.
01 · 2 legs
02 · 3 legs
03 · 4 legs
Bets where the model's probability beats what the odds imply (EV+).
| Bookmaker | 1 · Enköpings SK | X | 2 · Stockholm Internazionale |
|---|---|---|---|
| Betsafe | 5.50 | 4.25 | EV+ 5% 1.47 |
| Betsson | 5.50 | 4.25 | EV+ 5% 1.47 |
| Nordicbet | 5.50 | 4.25 | EV+ 5% 1.47 |
Odds updated 27 Aug, 11:40
Market signal
The market has moved clearly towards an Stockholm Internazionale win since 25 August — the odds have shortened from 1.78 to 1.47 (−17%).
3.90 → 5.50
3.50 → 4.25
1.78 → 1.47
Betsson · 5 recorded price levels · 25/08/2026 → 27/08/2026 · fixed scale 20 percentage points
Solid line = created (xG), dashed = conceded (xGA).
Last 5 matches. Circle size = pass volume, line width = combinations between players. Attacking left to right.
The same network weighted by offensive threat (xT): circle size = threat created by the player, line width = threat of the combinations. Last 5 matches, attacking left to right.
| Performance | Enköpings SK | Stockholm Internazionale |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 29 | 36 |
| xPoints | 21.8 | 31 |
| xG per match | 1.2 | 1.7 |
| xGA per match | 1.5 | 0.9 |
| xG within 8s of winning the ball | 0.31 | 0.31 |
| xGA within 8s of losing the ball | 0.29 | 0.17 |
| Playing style | Enköpings SK | Stockholm Internazionale |
|---|---|---|
| Build-up efficiency | 0.34 | 0.39 |
| Field tilt | 0.52 | 0.7 |
| xT per match | 0.99 | 1.7 |
| xTA per match | 1.5 | 0.99 |
| Won balls, offensive half | 25 | 31 |
| Pressing intensity | 0.47 | 0.48 |
| Pressing efficiency | 0.26 | 0.25 |
| Pressing efficiency, offensive half | 0.27 | 0.24 |
| Entries into the box per match | 11 | 18 |
| Entries into the box against | 15 | 8 |
| Pass completion % | 0.84 | 0.83 |
| Pass completion % under pressure | 0.79 | 0.77 |
| Passes per match | 445 | 438 |
| Passes against per match | 324 | 318 |
| Switches of play per match | 16.7 | 18 |
| Long balls per match | 35 | 38 |
| Set pieces | Enköpings SK | Stockholm Internazionale |
|---|---|---|
| xG from free kicks | 0.11 | 0.15 |
| Corners per match | 3.9 | 5.9 |
| Corners against per match | 4.6 | 2.5 |
| xG per corner | 0.02 | 0.04 |
| xGA per corner against | 0.03 | 0.04 |
| First touch, offensive corners % | 0.35 | 0.46 |
| First touch, defensive corners % | 0.57 | 0.59 |
| Other | Enköpings SK | Stockholm Internazionale |
|---|---|---|
| Throw-in control | 0.65 | 0.65 |
| The goalkeepers | Victor Astor (Enköpings SK) | Stockholm Internazionale |
|---|---|---|
| Saves | 45 | – |
| Save % | 76% | – |
| xG prevented | 42% | – |
| Claims | 59 (95%) | – |
The model gives Stockholm Internazionale a 72% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Enköpings SK 12%, draw 16%, Stockholm Internazionale 72%.
The model's most likely final score is 0-2 at 10% probability.
The model rates over 2.5 goals at 63% and under at 37%.
The probability of both teams scoring is 56% according to the model.
The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.
Predictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.