Swedish Ettan17°1,4 mm15 km/h

    Läs på svenska
    Enköpings SKEnköpings SKPossession control
    vs
    Stockholm InternazionaleStockholm InternazionalePossession & high press
    The model's lean: 2 · Stockholm Internazionale (72%)Best value by the model: Over 3,5 @ 2.68 (+9 %)

    Enköpings SKStockholm Internazionale · Swedish Ettan

    1 · Enköpings SK 12%X 16%72% Stockholm Internazionale · 2

    Analysis: Enköpings SKStockholm Internazionale

    Sofia Andersson · · The model's read on the match · How the predictions work

    With Stockholm Internazionale holding a commanding 72% chance of victory and riding a four-game winning streak, the match against Enköpings SK leans heavily in favor of the visitors. The goal probabilities and expected metrics paint a clear picture: the visitors are likely to dominate. Stockholm Internazionale's attacking prowess is further highlighted by their 15-game scoring streak, contrasting sharply with Enköpings SK's less potent offense.

    The most probable scorelines, 0-2 and 1-2, both favor the visitors and align with the expected goals tally of 2.26 for Stockholm vs. 0.98 for Enköping. These figures suggest that even in a possession-driven strategy by the hosts, they will struggle to penetrate a defense that allows less than one expected goal per match. Enköping's attempts to control possession may be thwarted by Stockholm's aggressive high press, further shifting momentum toward the visitors.

    Weather conditions, with predicted rain, could slow the game down slightly, but this factor is accounted for in the model's anticipated numbers. Despite this, the over 2.5 goals probability remains high at 63%, indicating a likely event of multiple goals, primarily favoring the visitors' side. The percentage for both teams to score sits at 56%, suggesting there’s a reasonable chance Enköping might get on the scoresheet, though unlikely to change the outcome.

    Given the substantial value found in the odds offered by Betsafe, Betsson, and Nordicbet at 1.78 for a Stockholm Internazionale win, bettors are presented with a 28% edge opportunity. In a game where the stats favor the visitors comprehensively, this is an angle too sharp to overlook. Expect Stockholm Internazionale to continue their winning run, likely securing a 0-2 or 1-2 victory, as the hosts find it challenging to break out of their less favorable form.

    Enköpings SKEnköpings SK
    Form LLWLD
    League ranking xG #23xGA #22xT #32xP/match #25Points #10
    Key players
    • Alexander HughesLWxG 0.04 · xT 0.47
    • Isak BråholmLWxG 0.19 · xT 0.16
    • Lucky NwaforFxG 0.42 · xT 0.05
    Stockholm InternazionaleStockholm Internazionale
    Form DWWWW
    League ranking xG #2xGA #3xT #3xP/match #1Points #4
    Key players
    • Marijan CosicFxG 0.35 · xT 0.05
    • Rasmus AllbäckLWxG 0.11 · xT 0.19
    • Lukas SunessonFxG 0.46 · xT 0.03

    Match prediction: Enköpings SKStockholm Internazionale

    Predicted score matrix

    Stockholm Internazionale
    Enköpings SK
    0
    1
    2
    3
    4+
    0
    0–04.2%
    0–18.6%
    0–210.0%
    0–37.5%
    0–4+7.2%
    1
    1–03.6%
    1–19.0%
    1–29.8%
    1–37.4%
    1–4+7.0%
    2
    2–01.9%
    2–14.3%
    2–24.8%
    2–33.6%
    2–4+3.5%
    3
    3–00.6%
    3–11.4%
    3–21.6%
    3–31.2%
    3–4+1.1%
    4+
    4+–00.2%
    4+–10.4%
    4+–20.5%
    4+–30.4%
    4+–4+0.3%
    Probability per final score. Rows = home goals, columns = away goals.

    Most likely scorelines

    1. 1.0-210%
    2. 2.1-210%
    3. 3.1-19%
    4. 4.0-19%
    5. 5.0-38%
    Expected goals
    0,982,26
    Both teams to score
    56%

    Over/under goals

    Expected goals: 3,2
    Under 2,537%
    @2.08
    Over 2,563%
    @1.65EV+4%

    Ready-made bet suggestions

    More combos & build your own

    01 · 2 legs

    Safe

    • Stockholm Internazionale to win72%
    • Over 1.5 goals84%

    Combined probability

    57%

    Fair odds

    1.75

    Two legs pulling the same way — the probability is computed exactly from the score matrix, not multiplied.

    02 · 3 legs

    Balanced

    • Stockholm Internazionale to win72%
    • Over 2.5 goals63%
    • Cameron Streete to score36%

    Combined probability

    Fair odds

    The whole slip is priced jointly via 20,000 simulated matches — the scorer interacts with result and total goals, never naive multiplication.

    03 · 4 legs

    Bold

    • Both teams to score56%
    • Over 2.5 goals63%
    • Cameron Streete to score36%
    • Oscar Kihlgren to be booked22%

    Combined probability

    Fair odds

    The goal-fest: both teams score with at least three goals, plus the match's most likely scorer and card candidate — all priced jointly via 20,000 simulated matches.

    Odds & value

    The model's value spots

    Bets where the model's probability beats what the odds imply (EV+).

    • Over 3.541% probability@2.68BetsafeEV+9%reference odds
    • Over 3.541% probability@2.68BetssonEV+9%reference odds
    • Over 3.541% probability@2.68NordicbetEV+9%reference odds
    Bookmaker1 · Enköpings SKX2 · Stockholm Internazionale
    Betsafe5.504.25
    EV+ 5%
    1.47
    Betsson5.504.25
    EV+ 5%
    1.47
    Nordicbet5.504.25
    EV+ 5%
    1.47

    Odds updated 27 Aug, 11:40

    Odds movement

    Market signal

    The market has moved clearly towards an Stockholm Internazionale win since 25 August — the odds have shortened from 1.78 to 1.47 (−17%).

    1+41 %
    30 %10 %

    3.905.50

    X+21 %
    34 %14 %

    3.504.25

    2-17 %
    66 %46 %

    1.781.47

    Betsson · 5 recorded price levels · 25/08/2026 → 27/08/2026 · fixed scale 20 percentage points

    Statistics

    Key facts

    • Stockholm Internazionale come into this round on 4 straight wins.
    • Stockholm Internazionale have scored in 15 consecutive league matches.
    xG & xGA per match — 3-game rolling average

    Solid line = created (xG), dashed = conceded (xGA).

    Enköpings SK
    When goals are scored and conceded 2026
    Enköpings SK (2728)
    Pass networks

    Last 5 matches. Circle size = pass volume, line width = combinations between players. Attacking left to right.

    Enköpings SK
    Filiph Ededal: 321 passningar, xT 0.24EdedalMattias Özgün: 293 passningar, xT 0.48ÖzgünAxel Sveijer: 264 passningar, xT 0.57SveijerMohammed Belouchi: 243 passningar, xT 0.48BelouchiHadi Noori: 219 passningar, xT -0.2NooriTheodor Kvist: 143 passningar, xT 0.31KvistAndres Odhiambo Omondi: 143 passningar, xT 0.36OmondiHugo Norrlin: 92 passningar, xT -0.02NorrlinIsak Bråholm: 90 passningar, xT 0.3BråholmWilliam Björk: 86 passningar, xT 0.15BjörkOscar Kihlgren: 67 passningar, xT 0.31Kihlgren
    xT networks

    The same network weighted by offensive threat (xT): circle size = threat created by the player, line width = threat of the combinations. Last 5 matches, attacking left to right.

    Enköpings SK
    Filiph Ededal: 321 passningar, xT 0.24EdedalMattias Özgün: 293 passningar, xT 0.48ÖzgünAxel Sveijer: 264 passningar, xT 0.57SveijerMohammed Belouchi: 243 passningar, xT 0.48BelouchiHadi Noori: 219 passningar, xT -0.2NooriTheodor Kvist: 143 passningar, xT 0.31KvistAndres Odhiambo Omondi: 143 passningar, xT 0.36OmondiHugo Norrlin: 92 passningar, xT -0.02NorrlinIsak Bråholm: 90 passningar, xT 0.3BråholmWilliam Björk: 86 passningar, xT 0.15BjörkOscar Kihlgren: 67 passningar, xT 0.31Kihlgren

    The teams in numbers

    PerformanceEnköpings SKStockholm Internazionale
    Points2936
    xPoints21.831
    xG per match1.21.7
    xGA per match1.50.9
    xG within 8s of winning the ball0.310.31
    xGA within 8s of losing the ball0.290.17
    Playing styleEnköpings SKStockholm Internazionale
    Build-up efficiency0.340.39
    Field tilt0.520.7
    xT per match0.991.7
    xTA per match1.50.99
    Won balls, offensive half2531
    Pressing intensity0.470.48
    Pressing efficiency0.260.25
    Pressing efficiency, offensive half0.270.24
    Entries into the box per match1118
    Entries into the box against158
    Pass completion %0.840.83
    Pass completion % under pressure0.790.77
    Passes per match445438
    Passes against per match324318
    Switches of play per match16.718
    Long balls per match3538
    Set piecesEnköpings SKStockholm Internazionale
    xG from free kicks0.110.15
    Corners per match3.95.9
    Corners against per match4.62.5
    xG per corner0.020.04
    xGA per corner against0.030.04
    First touch, offensive corners %0.350.46
    First touch, defensive corners %0.570.59
    OtherEnköpings SKStockholm Internazionale
    Throw-in control0.650.65
    The goalkeepersVictor Astor (Enköpings SK)Stockholm Internazionale
    Saves45
    Save %76%
    xG prevented42%
    Claims59 (95%)

    Frequently asked questions

    Who wins Enköpings SK vs Stockholm Internazionale according to our model?

    The model gives Stockholm Internazionale a 72% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Enköpings SK 12%, draw 16%, Stockholm Internazionale 72%.

    What is the most likely scoreline?

    The model's most likely final score is 0-2 at 10% probability.

    Over or under 2.5 goals?

    The model rates over 2.5 goals at 63% and under at 37%.

    Will both teams score?

    The probability of both teams scoring is 56% according to the model.

    Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?

    The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.

    More matches in the league

    Predictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.