01 · 2 legs
Safe
- Trelleborgs FF to win46%
- Over 1.5 goals78%
Swedish Ettan14°3,3 mm11 km/h
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FC TrollhättanPossession controlvs
Trelleborgs FFCounter-attacks & crossesThe model's lean: 2 · Trelleborgs FF (46%)Best value by the model: 1 · FC Trollhättan @ 4.10 (+19 %)
FC Trollhättan – Trelleborgs FF · Swedish Ettan
1 · FC Trollhättan 29%X 25%46% Trelleborgs FF · 2
29%
25%
46%
Analysis: FC Trollhättan – Trelleborgs FF
Anna Karlsson · · A data-driven preview · How the predictions work
The clash between FC Trollhättan and Trelleborgs FF presents a compelling narrative, driven by numbers and patterns, rather than merely the players on the pitch. Trelleborgs FF brings a significant advantage in both traditional and advanced metrics, leading the table with 36 points compared to Trollhättan's 19. Their prowess is equally reflected in the xPoints, where they command a 7.3-point advantage, indicating that their results aren't merely a product of luck but of sustained performance levels.
Both teams exhibit distinct playing styles; FC Trollhättan’s possession-heavy approach contrasts with Trelleborgs FF’s preference for counterattacks and crosses. This stylistic clash could dictate the rhythm of the match, yet it’s Trelleborgs FF’s ability to execute their plan effectively that catches the eye. With an expected goals (xG) average of 1.7 per match against Trollhättan's 1.2, Trelleborgs FF demonstrates a more incisive edge in front of goal, which could prove crucial in breaking down their opponents' defensive organization.
FC Trollhättan has managed a single draw in their brief head-to-head history against Trelleborgs FF, highlighting a limited sample that doesn’t carry significant weight against current form. When analyzing expected goals against (xGA), Trollhättan concedes 1.4 on average, while Trelleborgs FF holds a tighter ship at 1.0. This defensive solidity further underscores Trelleborgs FF's upper hand.
Despite a 54% probability favoring over 2.5 goals and a 57% likelihood of both teams finding the net, the prevailing conditions — including the tactical matchup and potential weather impact — could nudge the final scoreline down. A 1-2 victory for Trelleborgs FF appears plausible, aligning with the model's lean and underlying statistics.
For those seeking a sharper angle, Pinnacle offers value on Trelleborgs FF at 2.10 odds. While betting outcomes can never be guaranteed, the numbers suggest this is a price worth considering.
FC TrollhättanForm LDWLW
League ranking xG #24xGA #16xT #8xP/match #28Points #22
Key players
- Melwin BergRWxG 0.19 · xT 0.24
- Hugo TillyFxG 0.47 · xT 0.02
- Filip SternerLBxG 0.05 · xT 0.16
Trelleborgs FFForm WDDWL
League ranking xG #5xGA #7xT #5xP/match #7Points #3
Key players
- Oskar RuuskaRWxG 0.34 · xT 0.33
- Vincent PopplerFxG 0.43 · xT 0.04
- Johan BrannefalkRBxG 0.03 · xT 0.52
Match prediction: FC Trollhättan – Trelleborgs FF
Predicted score matrix
Trelleborgs FF →
FC Trollhättan →
0
1
2
3
4+
0
0–06.3%
0–18.9%
0–27.1%
0–33.7%
0–4+2.0%
1
1–07.2%
1–112.1%
1–29.1%
1–34.7%
1–4+2.6%
2
2–04.8%
2–17.5%
2–25.8%
2–33.0%
2–4+1.6%
3
3–02.0%
3–13.2%
3–22.5%
3–31.3%
3–4+0.7%
4+
4+–00.9%
4+–11.3%
4+–21.0%
4+–30.5%
4+–4+0.3%
Most likely scorelines
- 1.1-112%
- 2.1-29%
- 3.0-19%
- 4.2-17%
- 5.1-07%
Expected goals
1,27–1,55
Both teams to score
57%
Over/under goals
Expected goals: 2,80
116%
224%
322%
416%
5+16%
Under 2,546%
@2.18EV+1%
Over 2,554%
@1.60
Ready-made bet suggestions
More combos & build your own →02 · 3 legs
Balanced
- Trelleborgs FF to win46%
- Over 2.5 goals54%
- Kofi Fosuhene Asare to score26%
03 · 4 legs
Bold
- Both teams to score57%
- Over 2.5 goals54%
- Kofi Fosuhene Asare to score26%
- Oliver Ocampo Hägglund to be booked23%
Odds & value
The model's value spots
Bets where the model's probability beats what the odds imply (EV+).
- 1 · FC Trollhättan29% probability@4.10BetsafeEV+19%reference odds
- 1 · FC Trollhättan29% probability@4.10BetssonEV+19%reference odds
- 1 · FC Trollhättan29% probability@4.10NordicbetEV+19%reference odds
| Bookmaker | 1 · FC Trollhättan | X | 2 · Trelleborgs FF |
|---|---|---|---|
| Betsafe | EV+ 19% 4.10 | 3.80 | 1.68 |
| Betsson | EV+ 19% 4.10 | 3.80 | 1.68 |
| Nordicbet | EV+ 19% 4.10 | 3.80 | 1.68 |
Odds updated 19 Aug, 00:36
Odds movement
1+5 %
26 %16 %
3.90 → 4.10
X+6 %
29 %19 %
3.60 → 3.80
2-4 %
59 %49 %
1.75 → 1.68
Betsafe · 6 recorded price levels · 18/08/2026 → 19/08/2026 · fixed scale 10 percentage points
Statistics
Head-to-head
1 matchesFC Trollhättan 0Draw 1Trelleborgs FF 0
Goals: 2–2 (⌀ 4)
Head-to-head based on Ettan data since 2023.
Solid line = created (xG), dashed = conceded (xGA).
FC Trollhättan
Trelleborgs FF
FC Trollhättan (20–27)
Trelleborgs FF (38–18)
Last 5 matches. Circle size = pass volume, line width = combinations between players. Attacking left to right.
FC Trollhättan
Trelleborgs FF
The same network weighted by offensive threat (xT): circle size = threat created by the player, line width = threat of the combinations. Last 5 matches, attacking left to right.
FC Trollhättan
Trelleborgs FF
The teams in numbers
| Performance | FC Trollhättan | Trelleborgs FF |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 19 | 36 |
| xPoints | 19.9 | 27.2 |
| xG per match | 1.2 | 1.7 |
| xGA per match | 1.4 | 1 |
| xG within 8s of winning the ball | 0.22 | 0.46 |
| xGA within 8s of losing the ball | 0.23 | 0.12 |
| Playing style | FC Trollhättan | Trelleborgs FF |
|---|---|---|
| Build-up efficiency | 0.36 | 0.32 |
| Field tilt | 0.57 | 0.59 |
| xT per match | 1.5 | 1.5 |
| xTA per match | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| Won balls, offensive half | 31 | 36 |
| Pressing intensity | 0.57 | 0.49 |
| Pressing efficiency | 0.31 | 0.34 |
| Pressing efficiency, offensive half | 0.33 | 0.35 |
| Entries into the box per match | 14 | 15 |
| Entries into the box against | 13 | 11 |
| Pass completion % | 0.82 | 0.76 |
| Pass completion % under pressure | 0.77 | 0.7 |
| Passes per match | 496 | 344 |
| Passes against per match | 303 | 285 |
| Switches of play per match | 13.5 | 17.5 |
| Long balls per match | 24 | 31 |
| Set pieces | FC Trollhättan | Trelleborgs FF |
|---|---|---|
| xG from free kicks | 0.13 | 0.17 |
| Corners per match | 4.7 | 5.1 |
| Corners against per match | 4 | 3.5 |
| xG per corner | 0.01 | 0.04 |
| xGA per corner against | 0.03 | 0.05 |
| First touch, offensive corners % | 0.33 | 0.41 |
| First touch, defensive corners % | 0.59 | 0.64 |
| Other | FC Trollhättan | Trelleborgs FF |
|---|---|---|
| Throw-in control | 0.59 | 0.48 |
| The goalkeepers | Jimmy Henriksson (FC Trollhättan) | Malte Påhlsson (Trelleborgs FF) |
|---|---|---|
| Saves | 31 | 52 |
| Save % | 78% | 74% |
| xG prevented | 53% | 40% |
| Claims | 65 (92%) | 95 (92%) |
Frequently asked questions
Who wins FC Trollhättan vs Trelleborgs FF according to our model?
The model gives Trelleborgs FF a 46% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: FC Trollhättan 29%, draw 25%, Trelleborgs FF 46%.
What is the most likely scoreline?
The model's most likely final score is 1-1 at 12% probability.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The model rates over 2.5 goals at 54% and under at 46%.
Will both teams score?
The probability of both teams scoring is 57% according to the model.
Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?
The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.
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Predictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.