Alanyaspor vs Beşiktaş: Prediction & Odds (23 Aug 2026)

Süper Lig23 August 202631°10 km/h

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Alanyaspor

Beşiktaş

The model's lean: 2 · Beşiktaş (48%)Best value by the model: Over 4,5 @ 5.50 (+7 %)

1 · Alanyaspor 24%X 28%48% Beşiktaş · 2

24%

28%

48%

Match prediction: Alanyaspor – Beşiktaş

Predicted score matrix

Beşiktaş →

Alanyaspor →

0–05.0%

0–18.4%

0–28.2%

0–35.1%

0–4+3.6%

1–05.3%

1–110.7%

1–29.8%

1–36.1%

1–4+4.3%

2–03.3%

2–16.2%

2–25.8%

2–33.6%

2–4+2.6%

3–01.3%

3–12.5%

3–22.3%

3–31.4%

3–4+1.0%

4+–00.5%

4+–11.0%

4+–20.9%

4+–30.6%

4+–4+0.4%

Probability per final score. Rows = home goals, columns = away goals.

Most likely scorelines

1.1-111%
2.1-210%
3.0-18%
4.0-28%
5.2-16%

Expected goals

1,19–1,87

Both teams to score

59%

Over/under goals

Expected goals: 3,1

114%

222%

322%

417%

5+20%

Under 2,541%

@2.01

Over 2,559%

@1.73EV+2%

Ready-made bet suggestions

More combos & build your own →

01 · 2 legs

Safe

Beşiktaş to win48%
Over 1.5 goals81%

02 · 2 legs

Balanced

Beşiktaş to win48%
Over 2.5 goals59%

03 · 2 legs

Bold

Both teams to score59%
Over 2.5 goals59%

Odds & value

The model's value spots

Bets where the model's probability beats what the odds imply (EV+).

Over 4.520% probability@5.50BetsafeEV+7%reference odds
Over 4.520% probability@5.50BetssonEV+7%reference odds
Over 4.520% probability@5.50NordicbetEV+7%reference odds

Bookmaker	1 · Alanyaspor	X	2 · Beşiktaş
Betsafe	3.75	3.50	1.92
Betsson	3.75	3.50	1.92
Nordicbet	3.75	3.50	1.92

Odds updated 18 Aug, 14:36

Odds movement

10 %

27 %22 %

3.75 → 3.75

X0 %

29 %24 %

3.50 → 3.50

20 %

51 %46 %

1.92 → 1.92

Over 2,50 %

56 %51 %

1.73 → 1.73

Betsson · 2 recorded price levels · 18/08/2026 → 18/08/2026 · fixed scale 5 percentage points

Frequently asked questions

Who wins Alanyaspor vs Beşiktaş according to our model?

The model gives Beşiktaş a 48% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Alanyaspor 24%, draw 28%, Beşiktaş 48%.

What is the most likely scoreline?

The model's most likely final score is 1-1 at 11% probability.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

The model rates over 2.5 goals at 59% and under at 41%.

Will both teams score?

The probability of both teams scoring is 59% according to the model.

Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?

The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.