01 · 2 legs
Safe
- Double chance Austria Lustenau or draw (1X)64%
- Under 3.5 goals71%
Austrian Bundesliga24°11 km/h
Läs på svenska
Austria Lustenau1–1
RiedThe model's lean: 1 · Austria Lustenau (35%)Best value by the model: Over 2,5 @ 2.09 (+6 %)
Austria Lustenau – Ried · Austrian Bundesliga
1 · Austria Lustenau 35%X 31%34% Ried · 2
35%
31%
34%
Final score
1 – 1
The model missed the outcome
Predicted probabilities: Austria Lustenau 35% · Draw 31% · Ried 34%
Match prediction: Austria Lustenau – Ried
Predicted score matrix
Ried →
Austria Lustenau →
0
1
2
3
4+
0
0–07.1%
0–18.7%
0–26.0%
0–32.7%
0–4+1.2%
1
1–08.8%
1–112.6%
1–28.2%
1–33.6%
1–4+1.6%
2
2–06.2%
2–18.3%
2–25.6%
2–32.5%
2–4+1.1%
3
3–02.8%
3–13.8%
3–22.5%
3–31.1%
3–4+0.5%
4+
4+–01.3%
4+–11.7%
4+–21.2%
4+–30.5%
4+–4+0.2%
Most likely scorelines
- 1.1-113%
- 2.1-09%
- 3.0-19%
- 4.2-18%
- 5.1-28%
Expected goals
1,36–1,34
Both teams to score
55%
Over/under goals
Expected goals: 2,707%
117%
225%
322%
415%
5+14%
Under 2,549%
@1.77
Over 2,551%
@2.09EV+6%
Ready-made bet suggestions
More combos & build your own →02 · 2 legs
Balanced
- Double chance Austria Lustenau or draw (1X)64%
- Over 2.5 goals51%
03 · 2 legs
Bold
- Both teams to score55%
- Over 2.5 goals51%
Odds & value
The model's value spots
Bets where the model's probability beats what the odds imply (EV+).
- Over 2.551% probability@2.09PinnacleEV+6%
- 1 · Austria Lustenau35% probability@2.91PinnacleEV+2%
- X · Draw31% probability@3.30PinnacleEV+2%
| Bookmaker | 1 · Austria Lustenau | X | 2 · Ried |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | EV+ 2% 2.91 | EV+ 2% 3.30 | 2.53 |
Odds updated 2 Aug, 08:09
Odds movement
1+9 %
37 %32 %
2.68 → 2.91
X+1 %
32 %27 %
3.28 → 3.30
2-6 %
39 %34 %
2.70 → 2.53
Over 2,5+1 %
48 %43 %
2.07 → 2.09
Pinnacle · 7 recorded price levels · 27/07/2026 → 02/08/2026 · fixed scale 5 percentage points
Frequently asked questions
Who wins Austria Lustenau vs Ried according to our model?
The model gives Austria Lustenau a 35% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Austria Lustenau 35%, draw 31%, Ried 34%.
What is the most likely scoreline?
The model's most likely final score is 1-1 at 13% probability.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The model rates over 2.5 goals at 51% and under at 49%.
Will both teams score?
The probability of both teams scoring is 55% according to the model.
Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?
The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.
More matches in the league
Predictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.