Austrian Bundesliga: Predictions, Odds & Tips

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    Model-based predictions for the Austrian Bundesliga — Red Bull Salzburg, Sturm Graz, Rapid Vienna and the rest of the league with its regular season and championship round, analysed by the same match model that powers PlaymakerAI. Ahead of every round the model computes 1X2 probabilities, a full score matrix, expected goals and over/under lines, built from hundreds of data points per team: strength, form, playing style, squad and weather.

    The predictions are held against live odds from multiple bookmakers, with positive expected value (EV+) flagged where the model’s probability beats the implied odds. Played matches are graded openly — hit or miss — and everything updates continuously until kickoff.

    Upcoming matches

    RiedRied
    vs
    Grazer AKGrazer AK
    1 43%X 30%2 27%
    WolfsbergWolfsberg
    vs
    LASKLASK
    1 22%X 28%2 50%
    Rheindorf AltachRheindorf Altach
    vs
    HartbergHartberg
    1 47%X 30%2 23%
    Sturm GrazSturm Graz
    vs
    Austria LustenauAustria Lustenau
    1 69%X 21%2 10%
    Austria WienAustria Wien
    vs
    WSG TirolWSG Tirol
    1 51%X 27%2 21%
    Red Bull SalzburgRed Bull Salzburg
    vs
    Rapid WienRapid Wien
    1 42%X 22%2 35%

    League table2026/27

    PosTeamSW–D–LGF–GAPxPxGxGAxGDFTStyle
    1Rapid Wien33–0–011–196,39,32,6+6,763 %Balanced & physical
    2LASK33–0–09–197,37,91,4+6,576 %Possession & high press
    3Red Bull Salzburg32–1–05–175,910,64,1+6,581 %Possession & high press
    4Sturm Graz32–1–04–175,04,82,4+2,472 %Possession & high press
    5Wolfsberg31–1–15–343,94,05,2−1,249 %Possession control
    6Austria Lustenau31–1–14–444,24,15,1−1,043 %Low block & direct
    7Rheindorf Altach31–0–23–334,24,24,1+0,139 %Balanced & physical
    8Austria Wien31–0–22–531,51,46,7−5,342 %Possession control
    9Grazer AK31–0–22–1232,12,39,1−6,818 %Low block & direct
    10Ried30–1–23–713,84,64,4+0,260 %Possession control
    11WSG Tirol30–1–22–713,74,57,3−2,833 %Counter-attacks & crosses
    12Hartberg30–0–30–502,21,46,5−5,123 %Low block & direct

    Latest articles

    All articles
    Ligapuls: Austrian Bundesliga, 2025

    2026-05-29 · 1 min

    Ligapuls: Austrian Bundesliga, 2025

    LASK leads the Austrian Bundesliga with 58 points and impressive offensive statistics, while defending champions Sturm Graz follow closely behind with 56 points. Rapid Wien shows signs of recovery with a 3-0 victory over Ried, while Blau-Weiss Linz struggles at the bottom of the table with only 29 points.

    Player Profile: Ramiz Harakate (Grazer AK 1902)

    2026-04-28 · 1 min

    Player Profile: Ramiz Harakate (Grazer AK 1902)

    Ramiz Harakate from Grazer AK 1902 is a reliable goalscorer with 0.5 goals per match and functions as a stable central figure in the team's attack with good ball handling. Despite his goalscoring qualities, the striker has potential to improve his creative play as he only records 0.1 assists per match.

    Player Profile: Nenad Cvetkovic (SK Rapid Vienna)

    2026-04-21 · 1 min

    Player Profile: Nenad Cvetkovic (SK Rapid Vienna)

    Nenad Cvetkovic from SK Rapid Wien is a defensively oriented center-back who stands out with 4.1 interceptions per match and 73% won duels, making him one of the league's most reliable defenders. His limited role in attacking build-up with only 359 meters of progressive passes per match shows that he prioritizes defensive stability over creative play.

    Played matches

    Prediction track record
    HartbergHartberg
    0–2
    Austria WienAustria Wien
    1 24%X 27%2 49%
    The model called the outcome
    WSG TirolWSG Tirol
    0–3
    Red Bull SalzburgRed Bull Salzburg
    1 18%X 25%2 57%
    The model called the outcome
    Rapid WienRapid Wien
    8–0
    Grazer AKGrazer AK
    1 61%X 24%2 15%
    The model called the outcome
    Sturm GrazSturm Graz
    1–0
    Rheindorf AltachRheindorf Altach
    1 65%X 21%2 14%
    The model called the outcome
    Austria LustenauAustria Lustenau
    2–1
    WolfsbergWolfsberg
    1 31%X 33%2 36%
    The model missed the outcome
    LASKLASK
    4–1
    RiedRied
    1 63%X 23%2 14%
    The model called the outcome
    RiedRied
    1–2
    Rapid WienRapid Wien
    1 30%X 29%2 40%
    The model called the outcome
    WolfsbergWolfsberg
    1–1
    Red Bull SalzburgRed Bull Salzburg
    1 27%X 27%2 47%
    The model missed the outcome
    Austria WienAustria Wien
    0–2
    LASKLASK
    1 35%X 29%2 36%
    The model called the outcome
    HartbergHartberg
    0–2
    Sturm GrazSturm Graz
    1 18%X 26%2 55%
    The model called the outcome
    Grazer AKGrazer AK
    2–1
    Austria LustenauAustria Lustenau
    1 42%X 30%2 28%
    The model called the outcome
    Rheindorf AltachRheindorf Altach
    3–1
    WSG TirolWSG Tirol
    1 39%X 32%2 29%
    The model called the outcome

    How the predictions work

    Every prediction comes from PlaymakerAI's match model — the same data platform professional clubs use for scouting and match analysis. The model is trained on event data from hundreds of thousands of matches and weighs over 200 factors per team: strength ratings, current form, playing style, squad player profiles, fixture congestion, travel and even matchday weather.

    For each fixture the model produces a full goal distribution. From it we derive the 1X2 probabilities, the score matrix, expected goals, over/under lines and both-teams-to-score. Predictions are frozen before kickoff and never changed afterwards — once a match finishes we grade it openly, hit or miss.

    Odds are collected continuously from several bookmakers. When the model's probability for an outcome exceeds what the odds imply, we flag it as value (EV+). That is the model's assessment, not a guarantee: even positive-EV bets lose often. Gamble responsibly.

    Predictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.