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    Football predictions today

    The model's tip for every match in the next 48 hours, in every league we cover. Open a match for the full analysis, odds with value and ready-made bet builder suggestions — every prediction is graded openly afterwards, hit or miss.

    Today at a glance

    Tuesday 27 October: 33 matches with predictions over the next two days, 13 of them today across 5 leagues. The clearest favourite is Roma vs Cagliari (78%). Under the surface: AIK are 8th but 12th on xG difference.

    Bet builder tips today

    Ready-made combinations where the model gives all legs together at least 25%. Every leg has to land — more legs means a lower probability.

    • Scottish Premiership · Wed 01:00

      Celtic vs Dundee United · 3-leg builder

      Model 29% · fair odds 3.41

      Open in the bet builder

    • Serie A · Wed 01:00

      Venezia vs Inter · 3-leg builder

      Model 29% · fair odds 3.45

      Open in the bet builder
    All of today's bet builders

    Monday 26 October: 11 of 18 correct · Last 30 days: 1214 graded tips, 53% correct. When the model said 60–70%, the tip came in 66% of the time (444 matches). Full record

    Past results do not predict future results.

    33 matches

    Predictions today – Tuesday 27 October (13)

    % = model probability · Fair = 1/probability

    Tomorrow's predictions – Wednesday 28 October (18)

    % = model probability · Fair = 1/probability

    Predictions – Thursday 29 October (2)

    % = model probability · Fair = 1/probability

    How the predictions are made

    Every tip comes from the same match model that powers the whole site: hundreds of data points per team — strength, form, playing style, squad and weather — combined into probabilities for every final score. The tip above is the model's most likely outcome; the match page shows the full score matrix, the value against current odds and ready-made combos.

    The model never guesses after the fact: every prediction is frozen before kick-off and graded openly once the match is played. — see our track record

    How reliable is the model?

    • 40–50%came in 44% · 1438 matches
    • 50–60%came in 52% · 825 matches
    • 60–70%came in 66% · 444 matches
    • 70–100%came in 76% · 242 matches

    Shaded = what the model said · bar = how often the tip came in

    When the model gives the favourite 60–70%, it has won in 66% of 444 graded matches. Even in the highest group, the tip misses roughly one time in 4.

    How to read the list

    Tip
    The model's most likely outcome: 1 = home win, X = draw, 2 = away win, with the probability in per cent.
    Fair odds
    1 / probability — the price that matches the model's view. 50% becomes 2.00 and 25% becomes 4.00.
    Strong / Clear / Narrow / Open
    How clear the tip is: Strong ≥ 65%, Clear 55–64%, Narrow 45–54%, Open below 45%. Even a strong tip misses sometimes.
    Even match
    Home and away are within 5 percentage points of each other.
    Goals
    The model gives over 2.5 goals at least 60%.
    Low scoring
    The model gives over 2.5 goals at most 42%.
    Under the surface
    Results and performances diverge: points against expected points (xP), or league position against xG difference.
    Thin data
    Early in the season, fewer than six matches played or last season's table — the percentages rest on less data.
    Odds moving
    The market's price has moved clearly since the odds opened.

    Today's predictions FAQ

    How are today's predictions made?

    Every prediction comes from our match model, which combines hundreds of data points per team — strength, form, expected goals (xG), playing style, squad and weather — into probabilities for every final score. The tip is the outcome the model rates most likely. Every prediction is frozen before kick-off and graded openly afterwards.

    What does the percentage next to each match mean?

    It is the model's probability for that outcome. 58% means roughly 58 times out of 100 in matches judged the same way — not a certainty. Even big favourites lose sometimes.

    What are fair odds?

    Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability. 54% gives fair odds of 1.85.

    How often is the model right?

    Over the last 30 days 1214 predictions were graded and 53% had the right outcome. When the model said 70–100%, the tip landed 76% of the time (242 matches). The full record is at /results.

    Which matches have the highest probability today?

    The highest probabilities today are Roma (78%) in Roma vs Cagliari, Como (58%) in Torino vs Como, Dinamo Zagreb (56%) in Dinamo Zagreb vs Rijeka. No match is certain — even 75% means the favourite drops points about one time in four.

    Can you rely on a prediction?

    No prediction is a certainty. The model gives probabilities, not results. If you bet, set a budget in advance and treat it as entertainment. 18+.

    18+ · Please gamble responsibly