01 · 2 legs
Safe
- Celtic to win74%
- Over 1.5 goals89%
Scottish PremiershipCeltic Park, Glasgow10°3,5 mm26 km/h
Läs på svenska
CelticPossession & high pressvs
Dundee UnitedCounter-attacks & crossesThe model's lean: 1 · Celtic (74%)Best value by the model: 2 · Dundee United @ 10.24 (+26 %)
Celtic vs Dundee United · Scottish Premiership
1 · Celtic 74%X 14%12% Dundee United · 2
74%
14%
12%
Prediction summary
BetBuilders AI model prediction for Celtic vs Dundee United (Scottish Premiership, Wednesday, 28 October 2026): Celtic win 74%, draw 14%, Dundee United win 12%. Expected goals (xG): Celtic 2.60, Dundee United 1.10. Most likely score: 2-1 (9%). Over 2.5 goals 72%, both teams to score 62%. Double chance: Celtic or draw 88%, Dundee United or draw 26%. Prediction updated Tuesday, 20 October 2026.
Bet on this match
NordicbetVälkommen in i matchen! Skapa ett konto, gör en insättning och hämta ett gratisspel värt 100 kr plus 50 freespins på Pirots 4.Claim the bonus at Nordicbet
BetsafeHämta ett 100 kr gratisspel + 50 freespins på Pirots 4 när du gör din första insättning hos Betsafe!Claim the bonus at Betsafe
18+ · Gamble responsibly · stodlinjen.se · Affiliate links
Analysis: Celtic – Dundee United
Oscar Nilsson · · Model-assisted analysis, fact-checked · How the predictions work
Celtic's high-octane playing style, characterized by dominant possession and a relentless high press, sets the stage for their clash against Dundee United. The home side's track record in this fixture is formidable, with four wins out of their last seven meetings since 2023. However, the hosts’ impressive home win rate of 81% speaks volumes about their dominance at Celtic Park.
The model's probabilities heavily favor Celtic, giving them a 74% chance of victory. Their expected goals tally of 2.60 indicates the home side's offensive strength, while Dundee United's expected goals of 1.10 suggests a potential threat on the counter. Despite the model's lean towards Celtic, the most likely scorelines, such as 2-1 and 2-0, hint at a competitive battle rather than a blowout.
Weather conditions could play a role, with 2.8 mm of rain potentially dampening the match's tempo and overall goal count. However, the likelihood of over 2.5 goals still stands at a robust 72%, with a similarly high probability of both teams finding the net at 62%. Dundee United's counter-attacking approach can exploit moments when Celtic's high press leaves gaps, making a goal for the visitors plausible.
From a betting perspective, there’s notable value in backing Dundee United away at odds of 9.0 with LeoVegas. The model rates their chance of winning at 12%, creating an attractive 11% edge. Similar value exists with Betsafe and Nordicbet at odds of 8.3, although the edge there is slimmer at 2%.
The numbers suggest a hard-fought match where Celtic may edge out their opponents. A 2-1 scoreline seems the most fitting result. However, those seeking value might find the odds on Dundee United too tempting to ignore, despite the uphill battle they face.
CelticForm WWLWW
League ranking xG #1xGA #2xT #1xP/match #1Points #1
Key players
- Liam ScalesCBxG 0.10 · xT 0.15
- Hyun-Jun YangLWxG 0.44 · xT 0.07
- Callum McgregorCDMxG 0.09 · xT 0.10
Dundee UnitedForm LDWWD
League ranking xG #4xGA #8xT #2xP/match #7Points #6
Key players
- Zidane Aamar IqbalCMxG 0.09 · xT 0.07
- Lyall CameronCAMxG 0.22 · xT 0.30
- Dylan TaitCDMxG 0.11 · xT 0.17
Match prediction: Celtic – Dundee United
Predicted score matrix
Dundee United →
Celtic →
0
1
2
3
4+
0
0–02.7%
0–12.5%
0–21.5%
0–30.5%
0–4+0.2%
1
1–06.2%
1–17.3%
1–23.9%
1–31.4%
1–4+0.5%
2
2–08.3%
2–19.2%
2–25.1%
2–31.9%
2–4+0.7%
3
3–07.2%
3–18.0%
3–24.4%
3–31.6%
3–4+0.6%
4+
4+–08.8%
4+–19.7%
4+–25.3%
4+–32.0%
4+–4+0.7%
Most likely scorelines
- 1.2-19%
- 2.2-08%
- 3.3-18%
- 4.1-17%
- 5.3-07%
Expected goals
2,60–1,10
Both teams to score
62%
Over/under goals
Expected goals: 3,70
19%
217%
321%
419%
5+31%
Under 2,528%
@3.25
Over 2,572%
@1.32
Ready-made bet suggestions
More combos & build your own →02 · 3 legs
Balanced
- Celtic to win74%
- Over 2.5 goals72%
- Kasper Waarts Thenza Høgh to score34%
03 · 4 legs
Bold
- Both teams to score62%
- Over 2.5 goals72%
- Kasper Waarts Thenza Høgh to score34%
- Dylan Tait to be booked20%
Odds & value
The model's value spots
Bets where the model's probability beats what the odds imply (EV+).
- 2 · Dundee United12% probability@10.24PinnacleEV+26%reference odds
- 2 · Dundee United12% probability@9.70BetsafeEV+20%reference odds
- 2 · Dundee United12% probability@9.70NordicbetEV+20%reference odds
| Bookmaker | 1 · Celtic | X | 2 · Dundee United |
|---|---|---|---|
| Betsafe | 1.23 | 6.10 | EV+ 20% 9.70 |
| LeoVegas | 1.26 | 6.25 | 8.00 |
| Nordicbet | 1.23 | 6.10 | EV+ 20% 9.70 |
| Pinnacle | 1.26 | 5.62 | EV+ 26% 10.24 |
Odds updated 26 Oct, 21:35
Odds movement
10 %
77 %72 %
1.26 → 1.26
X0 %
19 %14 %
5.62 → 5.62
20 %
12 %7 %
10.24 → 10.24
Pinnacle · 2 recorded price levels · 26/10/2026 → 26/10/2026 · fixed scale 5 percentage points
Statistics
Head-to-head
7 matchesCeltic 4Draw 1Dundee United 2
Goals: 15–4 (⌀ 2,7)
Head-to-head based on Scottish Premiership data since 2023.
Key facts
- Celtic FC dominate this fixture historically: 4 wins to 2 in 7 meetings.
- Celtic FC win 81% of their home matches all-time (62 played).
Solid line = created (xG), dashed = conceded (xGA).
Celtic
Dundee United
Celtic (23–5)
Dundee United (11–12)
Last 5 matches. Circle size = pass volume, line width = combinations between players. Attacking left to right.
Celtic
Dundee United
The same network weighted by offensive threat (xT): circle size = threat created by the player, line width = threat of the combinations. Last 5 matches, attacking left to right.
Celtic
Dundee United
The teams in numbers
| Performance | Celtic | Dundee United |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 24 | 12 |
| xPoints | 17 | 11.6 |
| xG per match | 2.8 | 1.7 |
| xGA per match | 1.1 | 1.6 |
| xG within 8s of winning the ball | 0.73 | 0.33 |
| xGA within 8s of losing the ball | 0.08 | 0.16 |
| Playing style | Celtic | Dundee United |
|---|---|---|
| Build-up efficiency | 0.37 | 0.34 |
| Field tilt | 0.68 | 0.46 |
| xT per match | 1.7 | 1.4 |
| xTA per match | 0.67 | 1.2 |
| Won balls, offensive half | 28 | 25 |
| Pressing intensity | 0.23 | 0.25 |
| Pressing efficiency | 0.28 | 0.29 |
| Pressing efficiency, offensive half | 0.22 | 0.26 |
| Entries into the box per match | 19 | 16 |
| Entries into the box against | 11 | 14 |
| Pass completion % | 0.83 | 0.73 |
| Pass completion % under pressure | 0.78 | 0.69 |
| Passes per match | 543 | 346 |
| Passes against per match | 327 | 342 |
| Switches of play per match | 34.9 | 34.3 |
| Long balls per match | 31 | 35 |
| Set pieces | Celtic | Dundee United |
|---|---|---|
| xG from free kicks | 0 | 0.05 |
| Corners per match | 9.1 | 6.4 |
| Corners against per match | 3.8 | 5.7 |
| xG per corner | 0.03 | 0.03 |
| xGA per corner against | 0.03 | 0.03 |
| First touch, offensive corners % | 0.56 | 0.46 |
| First touch, defensive corners % | 0.56 | 0.62 |
| Other | Celtic | Dundee United |
|---|---|---|
| Throw-in control | 0.81 | 0.76 |
| The goalkeepers | Viljami Sinisalo (Celtic) | Jack Walton (Dundee United) |
|---|---|---|
| Saves | 28 | 31 |
| Save % | 88% | 72% |
| xG prevented | 69% | 54% |
| Claims | 0 (0%) | 0 (0%) |
Teams & more matches this round
- St. Johnstone – Motherwell28 October 2026 20:45 CET
- St. Mirren – Hibernian28 October 2026 20:45 CET
- Dundee FC – Kilmarnock28 October 2026 20:45 CET
- Aberdeen – Falkirk28 October 2026 20:45 CET
- Hearts – Rangers28 October 2026 21:00 CET
- Dundee United – Hearts31 October 2026
- Hibernian – Dundee FC31 October 2026
- Rangers – Aberdeen31 October 2026
- Motherwell – St. Mirren31 October 2026 16:00 CET
Frequently asked questions
Who wins Celtic vs Dundee United according to our model?
The model gives Celtic a 74% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Celtic 74%, draw 14%, Dundee United 12%.
What is the most likely scoreline?
The model's most likely final score is 2-1 at 9% probability.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The model rates over 2.5 goals at 72% and under at 28%.
Will both teams score?
The probability of both teams scoring is 62% according to the model.
How many goals are expected in Celtic vs Dundee United?
The model expects 2.60 goals (xG) for Celtic and 1.10 for Dundee United, 3.70 in total.
What does the model say about double chance?
Celtic or draw (1X) 88%, Dundee United or draw (X2) 26% and no draw (12) 86%.
Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?
The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.
More matches in the league
100 % upp till 600 kr på sport vid första insättningen
Min. insättning 100 kr. Omsättning 6× inom 60 dagar, odds från 1,80
Hämta bonus
Välkomsterbjudande på sport hos ComeOn — se aktuella villkor på ComeOns sida.
Se ComeOns villkor
Hämta bonus
Välkomsterbjudande på sport hos Hajper — se aktuella villkor på Hajpers sida.
Se Hajpers villkor
Hämta bonusPredictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.