01 · 2 legs
Safe
- Rangers to win72%
- Over 1.5 goals82%
Scottish PremiershipIbrox Stadium, Glasgow9°9 km/h
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RangersPossession & high pressvs
AberdeenCounter-attacks & crossesThe model's lean: 1 · Rangers (72%)
Rangers vs Aberdeen · Scottish Premiership
1 · Rangers 72%X 18%11% Aberdeen · 2
72%
18%
Prediction summary
BetBuilders AI model prediction for Rangers vs Aberdeen (Scottish Premiership, Saturday, 31 October 2026): Rangers win 72%, draw 18%, Aberdeen win 11%. Expected goals (xG): Rangers 2.21, Aberdeen 0.90. Most likely score: 2-0 (11%). Over 2.5 goals 60%, both teams to score 53%. Double chance: Rangers or draw 89%, Aberdeen or draw 28%. Prediction updated Friday, 23 October 2026.
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Analysis: Rangers – Aberdeen
Oscar Nilsson · · Model-assisted analysis, fact-checked · How the predictions work
The analysis points plainly to Rangers beating Aberdeen, with 2-0 the most likely scoreline and Over 2.5 goals a lean rather than the main bet. The model puts the hosts at 72%, the draw at 18% and the visitors at 11%. Its leading correct-score call is 2-0 (11%), ahead of 2-1 (10%) and 1-0 (10%).
The underlying numbers make the home case hard to resist. Rangers carry 2.21 expected goals to Aberdeen’s 0.90, while their season xG per match is 2.3 versus 1.3. More tellingly, the hosts allow only 0.93 xGA per match against the visitors’ 1.6. That is the profile of a side expected to control territory and limit the counterpunch.
There is form behind the projection, not just reputation. The home side are unbeaten in their last 8 league matches and have scored in 24 consecutive league matches. Their 23 points exceed Aberdeen’s 11, although the xPoints gap is slightly tighter at 19.4 versus 11.9. Possession and a high press should keep the visitors defending for long stretches; counters and crosses are their route into the game.
The head-to-head supports that view, but it is separate from current form. Rangers dominate this fixture historically with 6 wins to 1 in 8 meetings, while the record since 2023 is 8 matches, 6W 1D 1L. Those games have averaged 3.0 goals per meeting, so the 60% model lean toward Over 2.5 is justified. Both teams to score sits at 53%, though Aberdeen’s 0.90 expected goals makes a clean-sheet home win the sharper score angle.
LeoVegas offers EV+ on the home at 1.571: the model rates it 72% with a 13% edge, an assessment rather than a guarantee. Over 3.5 at 2.7 has a 38% model rating and 2% edge; Over 2.5 at 1.68 rates 60% with a 1% edge. The cleanest angle is Rangers at 1.571 with LeoVegas.
RangersForm WWWDW
League ranking xG #2xGA #1xT #2xP/match #1Points #2
Key players
- Nicolas RaskinCDMxG 0.15 · xT 0.13
- Emmanuel FernandezCBxG 0.08 · xT 0.08
- Ryan Don NaderiFxG 0.60 · xT 0.04
AberdeenForm WDLWL
League ranking xG #8xGA #5xT #7xP/match #11Points #9
Key players
- Mats KnoesterCBxG 0.00 · xT 0.07
- Stuart ArmstrongCAMxG 0.02 · xT 0.15
- Daniel Keith HappeCBxG 0.12 · xT 0.06
Match prediction: Rangers – Aberdeen
Predicted score matrix
Aberdeen →
Rangers →
0
1
2
3
4+
0
0–04.7%
0–13.8%
0–21.8%
0–30.5%
0–4+0.1%
1
1–09.6%
1–19.1%
1–24.0%
1–31.2%
1–4+0.3%
2
2–010.9%
2–19.8%
2–24.4%
2–31.3%
2–4+0.4%
3
3–08.0%
3–17.2%
3–23.2%
3–31.0%
3–4+0.3%
4+
4+–07.4%
4+–16.7%
4+–23.0%
4+–30.9%
4+–4+0.2%
Most likely scorelines
- 1.2-011%
- 2.2-110%
- 3.1-010%
- 4.1-19%
- 5.3-08%
Expected goals
2,21–0,90
Both teams to score
53%
Over/under goals
Expected goals: 3,10
113%
222%
322%
417%
5+20%
Under 2,540%
@2.05
Over 2,560%
@1.68EV+1%
Ready-made bet suggestions
More combos & build your own →02 · 3 legs
Balanced
- Rangers to win72%
- Over 2.5 goals60%
- Ryan Don Naderi to score43%
03 · 4 legs
Bold
- Both teams to score53%
- Over 2.5 goals60%
- Ryan Don Naderi to score43%
- Afeez Aremu Olalekan to be booked24%
Odds & value
The model's value spots
Bets where the model's probability beats what the odds imply (EV+).
- 1 · Rangers72% probability@1.57LeoVegasEV+13%reference odds
- Over 3.538% probability@2.70LeoVegasEV+2%reference odds
- Over 2.560% probability@1.68LeoVegasEV+1%reference odds
| Bookmaker | 1 · Rangers | X | 2 · Aberdeen |
|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas | EV+ 13% 1.57 | 4.10 | 4.90 |
Odds updated 26 Oct, 16:36
Odds movement
10 %
61 %56 %
1.57 → 1.57
X+3 %
25 %20 %
4.00 → 4.10
2+2 %
21 %16 %
4.80 → 4.90
LeoVegas · 5 recorded price levels · 24/10/2026 → 26/10/2026 · fixed scale 5 percentage points
Statistics
Head-to-head
8 matchesRangers 6Draw 1Aberdeen 1
Goals: 19–5 (⌀ 3)
Head-to-head based on Scottish Premiership data since 2023.
Key facts
- Rangers dominate this fixture historically: 6 wins to 1 in 8 meetings.
- A high-scoring fixture: 3.0 goals per meeting on average.
- Rangers are unbeaten in their last 8 league matches.
- Rangers have scored in 24 consecutive league matches.
- Rangers win 67% of their home matches all-time (43 played).
Solid line = created (xG), dashed = conceded (xGA).
Rangers
Aberdeen
Rangers (17–7)
Aberdeen (12–13)
Last 5 matches. Circle size = pass volume, line width = combinations between players. Attacking left to right.
Rangers
Aberdeen
The same network weighted by offensive threat (xT): circle size = threat created by the player, line width = threat of the combinations. Last 5 matches, attacking left to right.
Rangers
Aberdeen
The teams in numbers
| Performance | Rangers | Aberdeen |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 23 | 11 |
| xPoints | 19.4 | 11.9 |
| xG per match | 2.3 | 1.3 |
| xGA per match | 0.93 | 1.6 |
| xG within 8s of winning the ball | 0.31 | 0.15 |
| xGA within 8s of losing the ball | 0.28 | 0.22 |
| Playing style | Rangers | Aberdeen |
|---|---|---|
| Build-up efficiency | 0.34 | 0.31 |
| Field tilt | 0.66 | 0.39 |
| xT per match | 1.4 | 0.97 |
| xTA per match | 0.65 | 1.1 |
| Won balls, offensive half | 31 | 27 |
| Pressing intensity | 0.23 | 0.24 |
| Pressing efficiency | 0.34 | 0.31 |
| Pressing efficiency, offensive half | 0.31 | 0.27 |
| Entries into the box per match | 19 | 15 |
| Entries into the box against | 9 | 13 |
| Pass completion % | 0.76 | 0.72 |
| Pass completion % under pressure | 0.7 | 0.7 |
| Passes per match | 385 | 321 |
| Passes against per match | 284 | 387 |
| Switches of play per match | 30.7 | 28.6 |
| Long balls per match | 39 | 34 |
| Set pieces | Rangers | Aberdeen |
|---|---|---|
| xG from free kicks | 0.02 | 0.2 |
| Corners per match | 7.7 | 5.9 |
| Corners against per match | 4 | 6.1 |
| xG per corner | 0.03 | 0.02 |
| xGA per corner against | 0.02 | 0.02 |
| First touch, offensive corners % | 0.39 | 0.29 |
| First touch, defensive corners % | 0.55 | 0.43 |
| Other | Rangers | Aberdeen |
|---|---|---|
| Throw-in control | 0.74 | 0.77 |
| The goalkeepers | Ivor Pandur (Rangers) | Marius Müller (Aberdeen) |
|---|---|---|
| Saves | 25 | 39 |
| Save % | 81% | 75% |
| xG prevented | 56% | 46% |
| Claims | 0 (0%) | 0 (0%) |
Teams & more matches this round
- St. Johnstone – Motherwell28 October 2026 20:45 CET
- St. Mirren – Hibernian28 October 2026 20:45 CET
- Celtic – Dundee United28 October 2026 20:45 CET
- Dundee FC – Kilmarnock28 October 2026 20:45 CET
- Aberdeen – Falkirk28 October 2026 20:45 CET
- Hearts – Rangers28 October 2026 21:00 CET
- Dundee United – Hearts31 October 2026
- Hibernian – Dundee FC31 October 2026
- Motherwell – St. Mirren31 October 2026 16:00 CET
Frequently asked questions
Who wins Rangers vs Aberdeen according to our model?
The model gives Rangers a 72% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Rangers 72%, draw 18%, Aberdeen 11%.
What is the most likely scoreline?
The model's most likely final score is 2-0 at 11% probability.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The model rates over 2.5 goals at 60% and under at 40%.
Will both teams score?
The probability of both teams scoring is 53% according to the model.
How many goals are expected in Rangers vs Aberdeen?
The model expects 2.21 goals (xG) for Rangers and 0.90 for Aberdeen, 3.11 in total.
What does the model say about double chance?
Rangers or draw (1X) 89%, Aberdeen or draw (X2) 28% and no draw (12) 82%.
Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?
The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.
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Hämta bonusPredictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.