Serie B: Predictions, Odds & Tips

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    Model-based predictions for Serie B — Italy's second tier: 20 teams, 38 rounds and a brutal promotion race, analysed by the same match model that powers PlaymakerAI. Ahead of every round the model computes 1X2 probabilities, a full score matrix, expected goals and over/under lines, built from hundreds of data points per team: strength, form, playing style, squad and weather.

    The predictions are held against live odds from multiple bookmakers, with positive expected value (EV+) flagged where the model’s probability beats the implied odds. Played matches are graded openly — hit or miss — and everything updates continuously until kickoff.

    Upcoming matches

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    League table2026/27

    PosTeamPSW–D–LGF–GAxPxGxGAxGDFTStyle
    1Palermo1354–1–010–58,37,45,8+1,650 %Counter-attacks & crosses
    2Südtirol1153–2–09–36,94,25,8−1,636 %Counter-attacks & crosses
    3Mantova1153–2–010–56,75,15,9−0,845 %Possession control
    4Modena1053–1–18–48,47,53,7+3,862 %Possession & high press
    5Ascoli1053–1–17–47,38,77,2+1,568 %Possession & high press
    6Hellas Verona752–1–210–79,310,54,2+6,373 %Possession control
    7Cesena751–4–07–68,15,45,0+0,439 %Low block & direct
    8Avellino752–1–27–65,74,17,0−2,930 %Low block & direct
    9Benevento752–1–26–56,55,66,2−0,650 %Balanced & physical
    10Pisa752–1–28–89,78,95,2+3,752 %Balanced & physical
    11Padova752–1–25–64,75,08,8−3,842 %Balanced & physical
    12Empoli652–0–34–66,53,65,7−2,132 %Low block & direct
    13Arezzo652–0–36–135,75,28,3−3,140 %Balanced & physical
    14Virtus Entella551–2–27–66,55,65,0+0,664 %Possession & high press
    15Cremonese551–2–25–75,55,45,2+0,268 %Possession & high press
    16Vicenza551–2–27–106,36,26,3−0,148 %Counter-attacks & crosses
    17Juve Stabia551–2–24–75,76,26,1+0,149 %Possession control
    18Sampdoria451–1–35–97,26,75,4+1,367 %Possession & high press
    19Catanzaro351–0–45–95,25,77,1−1,455 %Counter-attacks & crosses
    20Carrarese150–1–42–66,64,57,1−2,628 %Possession control

    Latest articles

    All articles
    Hildegard saw it coming – this week's upsets with value 17/9

    2026-09-17 · 3 min

    Hildegard saw it coming – this week's upsets with value 17/9

    The article presents five football tips where the writer identifies value in the odds by analyzing details such as xG statistics, corners, and playing styles that the market seems to have overlooked. Among the tips are Sparta Rotterdam to beat Heerenveen (odds 3.40), Monza to defeat Sassuolo (odds 3.10), and Empoli as an upset candidate against Modena in Serie B (odds 5.37).

    This week's upsets with value 11/9

    2026-09-11 · 4 min

    This week's upsets with value 11/9

    The article presents five football tips where the odds don't reflect the underlying statistics, with examples such as Cukaricki-Novi Pazar where corner statistics point towards an away team advantage despite the same odds, and Ventforet Kofu-Jubilo Iwata where a low-scoring pattern favors a home win. Throughout, the analysis is built on xG, corner statistics and goal trends rather than gut feeling, in order to identify matches where the market has underestimated the real probabilities.

    Heidi, Adela and this week's surprises with value 5/9

    2026-09-05 · 4 min

    Heidi, Adela and this week's surprises with value 5/9

    The article highlights five Sunday matches where, according to the writer, the odds do not reflect the underlying xG figures and stylistic contrasts between the teams, including Juve Stabia–Pisa and Lusitania–Avs, where counter-attacking football and goal-heavy patterns suggest surprises. The review particularly points out home side Stabia's defensive strength and corner advantage, as well as the open goal pattern in Lusitania–Avs, as reasons to go against the market's odds.

    How the predictions work

    Every prediction comes from PlaymakerAI's match model — the same data platform professional clubs use for scouting and match analysis. The model is trained on event data from hundreds of thousands of matches and weighs over 200 factors per team: strength ratings, current form, playing style, squad player profiles, fixture congestion, travel and even matchday weather.

    For each fixture the model produces a full goal distribution. From it we derive the 1X2 probabilities, the score matrix, expected goals, over/under lines and both-teams-to-score. Predictions are frozen before kickoff and never changed afterwards — once a match finishes we grade it openly, hit or miss.

    Odds are collected continuously from several bookmakers. When the model's probability for an outcome exceeds what the odds imply, we flag it as value (EV+). That is the model's assessment, not a guarantee: even positive-EV bets lose often. Gamble responsibly.

    Serie B FAQ

    Where do I find Serie B predictions?

    Right here: every match in Italy's Serie B has its own analysis with 1X2 probabilities, most likely scoreline, over/under and value against current odds. Pick a match from the upcoming list — predictions are refreshed before every round and graded openly afterwards.

    How are the Serie B predictions made?

    Each match is replayed thousands of times in the model using hundreds of metrics per team — expected goals, pressing, expected threat, field tilt, form and squad. The output is a probability for every scoreline, which is then compared with bookmaker odds to find value.

    What is the xP table?

    xP means expected points: how many points each team should have taken given the quality of chances created and conceded. The gap between xP and the real table shows which Italy's Serie B teams are over- and underrated right now.

    Which teams play in Serie B 2026/27?

    Serie B 2026/27 has 20 teams: Palermo, Südtirol, Mantova, Modena, Ascoli, Hellas Verona, Cesena, Avellino, Benevento, Pisa, Padova, Empoli, Arezzo, Virtus Entella, Cremonese, Vicenza, Juve Stabia, Sampdoria, Catanzaro, Carrarese.

    Predictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.