Updated several times a day
På svenskaOver 2.5 goals predictions – today
Where are the goals today? We rank upcoming matches by the model's probability of over 2.5 goals — from open shootouts to locked-down grinds. Click any match for the full goal distribution, every line and the value against current odds.
Matches ranked by goal probability
- Celtic vs Dundee UnitedScottish Premiership · 28 October 2026 20:45 CETTip: Over 2.5 (72%)over 2.5 72% / under 2.5 28%Analysis
- Venezia vs InterSerie A · 28 October 2026Tip: Over 2.5 (71%)over 2.5 71% / under 2.5 29%Analysis
- Roma vs CagliariSerie A · 27 October 2026Tip: Over 2.5 (65%)over 2.5 65% / under 2.5 35%Analysis
- Paris Saint-Germain vs LyonLigue 1 · 26 October 2026Tip: Over 2.5 (64%)over 2.5 64% / under 2.5 36%Analysis
- Frosinone vs LecceSerie A · 29 October 2026Tip: Over 2.5 (61%)over 2.5 61% / under 2.5 39%Analysis
- Vicenza vs ModenaSerie B · 27 October 2026Tip: Over 2.5 (60%)over 2.5 60% / under 2.5 40%Analysis
- Sassuolo vs LazioSerie A · 27 October 2026Tip: Over 2.5 (60%)over 2.5 60% / under 2.5 40%Analysis
- Torino vs ComoSerie A · 27 October 2026Tip: Over 2.5 (59%)over 2.5 59% / under 2.5 41%Analysis
- FC København vs OdenseDanish Superliga · 26 October 2026 19:00 CETTip: Over 2.5 (59%)over 2.5 59% / under 2.5 41%Analysis
- Santa Clara vs BenficaPrimeira Liga · 26 October 2026Tip: Over 2.5 (59%)over 2.5 59% / under 2.5 41%Analysis
- AIK vs ElfsborgSwedish Allsvenskan · 27 October 2026 19:00 CETTip: Over 2.5 (58%)over 2.5 58% / under 2.5 42%Analysis
- Dundee FC vs KilmarnockScottish Premiership · 28 October 2026 20:45 CETTip: Over 2.5 (58%)over 2.5 58% / under 2.5 42%Analysis
- Dinamo Zagreb vs RijekaCroatian HNL · 27 October 2026Tip: Over 2.5 (57%)over 2.5 57% / under 2.5 43%Analysis
- St. Johnstone vs MotherwellScottish Premiership · 28 October 2026 20:45 CETTip: Over 2.5 (56%)over 2.5 56% / under 2.5 44%Analysis
- Brommapojkarna vs HäckenSwedish Allsvenskan · 28 October 2026 19:00 CETTip: Over 2.5 (56%)over 2.5 56% / under 2.5 44%Analysis
- Monza vs NapoliSerie A · 28 October 2026Tip: Over 2.5 (56%)over 2.5 56% / under 2.5 44%Analysis
- Galatasaray vs FenerbahçeSüper Lig · 26 October 2026Tip: Over 2.5 (56%)over 2.5 56% / under 2.5 44%Analysis
- Benevento vs CatanzaroSerie B · 27 October 2026Tip: Over 2.5 (55%)over 2.5 55% / under 2.5 45%Analysis
- St. Mirren vs HibernianScottish Premiership · 28 October 2026 20:45 CETTip: Over 2.5 (55%)over 2.5 55% / under 2.5 45%Analysis
- Landskrona BoIS vs Varbergs BoISSwedish Superettan · 27 October 2026 19:00 CETTip: Over 2.5 (55%)over 2.5 55% / under 2.5 45%Analysis
- Pisa vs PalermoSerie B · 28 October 2026Tip: Over 2.5 (55%)over 2.5 55% / under 2.5 45%Analysis
- Çaykur Rizespor vs TrabzonsporSüper Lig · 26 October 2026Tip: Over 2.5 (54%)over 2.5 54% / under 2.5 46%Analysis
- Mantova vs CremoneseSerie B · 27 October 2026Tip: Over 2.5 (54%)over 2.5 54% / under 2.5 46%Analysis
- IFK Göteborg vs DjurgårdenSwedish Allsvenskan · 28 October 2026 19:00 CETTip: Over 2.5 (53%)over 2.5 53% / under 2.5 47%Analysis
- Fiorentina vs AtalantaSerie A · 29 October 2026Tip: Over 2.5 (53%)over 2.5 53% / under 2.5 47%Analysis
- Virtus Entella vs AvellinoSerie B · 27 October 2026Tip: Over 2.5 (52%)over 2.5 52% / under 2.5 48%Analysis
- Halmstad vs Malmö FFSwedish Allsvenskan · 28 October 2026 19:00 CETTip: Over 2.5 (51%)over 2.5 51% / under 2.5 49%Analysis
- Degerfors vs Västerås SKSwedish Allsvenskan · 28 October 2026 19:00 CETTip: Over 2.5 (51%)over 2.5 51% / under 2.5 49%Analysis
- Aberdeen vs FalkirkScottish Premiership · 28 October 2026 20:45 CETTip: Over 2.5 (51%)over 2.5 51% / under 2.5 49%Analysis
- Genoa vs JuventusSerie A · 28 October 2026Tip: Over 2.5 (51%)over 2.5 51% / under 2.5 49%Analysis
How it is calculated
The model estimates expected goals for both teams from chance quality, playing style, form and squad, then replays the match thousands of times. The share of replays with three goals or more is the probability of over 2.5 — a frequency, not a guess. The same matrix gives the under side and every other line.
The model never guesses after the fact: every prediction is frozen before kick-off and graded openly once the match is played — see our track record.
Over 2.5 goals FAQ
What does over 2.5 goals mean?
At least three goals are scored in the match, regardless of who scores them. Under 2.5 means two goals or fewer. The line sits at 2.5 so the bet can never push — it is always over or under.
When is over 2.5 a good bet?
When the model's probability is higher than the odds imply. Odds of 1.80 imply about 56%; if the model says 62% there is value. The percentages in the list are the model's estimates — compare them with your bookmaker's odds before betting.
How often is the list updated?
Every time the site is rebuilt, several times a day. Played matches drop off and new rounds appear as fixtures are released and line-ups become known.
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