Primeira Liga: Predictions, Odds & Tips

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Model-based predictions for the Scottish Premiership — powered by the same match model behind PlaymakerAI. Ahead of every round the model computes 1X2 probabilities, a full score matrix, expected goals, over/under lines and both-teams-to-score, built from hundreds of data points per team: strength, form, playing style, weather and more.

We compare the predictions against live odds from multiple bookmakers and flag positive expected value (EV+) where the model’s probability beats the implied odds. Once matches are played, we grade every prediction openly — hit or miss. Everything updates continuously through the week until kickoff.

Upcoming matches

7 August 2026

League table2025/26

New season with no matches played yet — the table shows the most recently completed season until the rounds get going.

Pos	Team	S	W–D–L	GF–GA	P	xP	xG	xGA	xGD	FT	Style
1	Porto	34	28–4–2	66–18	88	55,2	57,8	28,6	+29,2	58 %	Possession & high press
2	Sporting CP	34	25–7–2	89–24	82	57,6	65,3	28,9	+36,4	69 %	Possession & high press
3	Benfica	34	23–11–0	74–25	80	65,2	76,5	30,3	+46,2	71 %	Possession & high press
4	Braga	34	16–11–7	64–36	59	52,3	58,8	34,3	+24,5	75 %	Possession & high press
5	Famalicão	34	15–11–8	42–29	56	52,7	46,9	34,0	+12,9	56 %	Possession control
6	Gil Vicente	34	13–11–10	47–38	50	54,5	53,0	39,1	+13,9	56 %	Possession control
7	Moreirense	34	12–7–15	37–49	43	37,5	35,0	52,4	−17,4	44 %	Possession control
8	Vitória de Guimarães	34	12–6–16	39–51	42	48,4	44,2	40,8	+3,4	56 %	Possession control
9	Arouca	34	12–6–16	47–64	42	40,5	35,7	51,0	−15,3	44 %	Possession control
10	Estoril Praia	34	10–9–15	54–57	39	38,0	43,5	56,4	−12,9	52 %	Possession control
11	Alverca	34	10–9–15	35–52	39	46,4	38,8	47,6	−8,8	37 %	Counter-attacks & crosses
12	Santa Clara	34	9–9–16	32–41	36	48,5	39,8	39,1	+0,7	44 %	Possession control
13	Rio Ave	34	8–12–14	35–57	36	39,5	35,4	56,1	−20,7	35 %	Possession control
14	Nacional	34	9–7–18	37–45	34	47,1	46,2	53,7	−7,5	41 %	Possession control
15	Estrela da Amadora	34	6–12–16	38–56	30	42,5	42,5	54,1	−11,6	34 %	Possession control
16	Casa Pia	34	6–12–16	31–57	30	38,0	33,3	57,5	−24,2	35 %	Low block & direct
17	Tondela	34	6–10–18	27–55	28	41,2	37,7	56,4	−18,7	41 %	Low block & direct
18	AVS	34	3–12–19	27–67	21	37,6	31,6	61,9	−30,3	30 %	Low block & direct

Latest articles

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2026-08-04 · 3 min

Oscar Nilsson tips 4/8: upsets with value

The model identifies three matches where its calculated probabilities deviate positively from the market's odds: Urawa Reds away against Gamba Osaka (36% probability, odds 3.01, value +6.9%) as well as Estoril Praia's home win against Famalicao (31% probability, odds 3.48, value +6.8%). None of the bets concern a clear favorite, but are based on the model seeing more even strength ratios and home advantage effects than the odds-setting reflects.

2026-06-02 · 1 min

Scouting Report: Antonio Silva (Benfica)

Antonio Silva, 23-year-old center-back at Benfica, has established himself as one of Primeira Liga's most sought-after defenders with a TransferIndex of 0.84 and impressive statistics in progressive passing and aerial duels. Despite limited offensive contributions, he is recommended as a purchase for European top clubs seeking a technically gifted defender with potential to develop into world class.

Played matches

Prediction track record

No settled matches yet for this selection — the scorecard fills in after every played round.

How the predictions work

Every prediction comes from PlaymakerAI's match model — the same data platform professional clubs use for scouting and match analysis. The model is trained on event data from hundreds of thousands of matches and weighs over 200 factors per team: strength ratings, current form, playing style, squad player profiles, fixture congestion, travel and even matchday weather.

For each fixture the model produces a full goal distribution. From it we derive the 1X2 probabilities, the score matrix, expected goals, over/under lines and both-teams-to-score. Predictions are frozen before kickoff and never changed afterwards — once a match finishes we grade it openly, hit or miss.

Odds are collected continuously from several bookmakers. When the model's probability for an outcome exceeds what the odds imply, we flag it as value (EV+). That is the model's assessment, not a guarantee: even positive-EV bets lose often. Gamble responsibly.

Predictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.