Serie A: Predictions, Odds & Tips
Läs på svenskaModel-based predictions for Serie A — Inter, Milan, Juventus, Napoli and the rest of the Italian top flight, analysed by the same match model that powers PlaymakerAI. Ahead of every round the model computes 1X2 probabilities, a full score matrix, expected goals and over/under lines, built from hundreds of data points per team: strength, form, playing style, squad and weather.
The predictions are held against live odds from multiple bookmakers, with positive expected value (EV+) flagged where the model’s probability beats the implied odds. Played matches are graded openly — hit or miss — and everything updates continuously until kickoff.
Upcoming matches
Genoa
Napoli
Inter
Atalanta
Torino
Lecce
Cagliari
Sassuolo
Como
Lazio
League table2026/27
| Pos | Team | P | S | W–D–L | GF–GA | xP | xG | xGA | xGD | FT | Style |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Roma | 13 | 5 | 4–1–0 | 14–3 | 11,5 | 14,0 | 3,8 | +10,2 | 71 % | Possession & high press |
| 2 | Inter | 13 | 5 | 4–1–0 | 15–8 | 8,6 | 13,6 | 6,7 | +6,9 | 66 % | Possession control |
| 3 | Cagliari | 12 | 5 | 4–0–1 | 5–2 | 6,1 | 4,6 | 8,8 | −4,2 | 29 % | Low block & direct |
| 4 | AC Milan | 11 | 5 | 3–2–0 | 10–4 | 7,0 | 7,5 | 5,0 | +2,5 | 55 % | Possession control |
| 5 | Frosinone | 10 | 5 | 3–1–1 | 9–4 | 6,9 | 7,0 | 8,8 | −1,8 | 42 % | Low block & direct |
| 6 | Juventus | 10 | 5 | 3–1–1 | 8–4 | 9,6 | 7,9 | 2,8 | +5,1 | 68 % | Possession & high press |
| 7 | Como | 10 | 5 | 3–1–1 | 9–6 | 6,9 | 10,5 | 7,2 | +3,3 | 69 % | Possession control |
| 8 | Lazio | 10 | 4 | 3–1–0 | 6–3 | 6,0 | 5,0 | 4,9 | +0,1 | 59 % | Balanced & physical |
| 9 | Napoli | 7 | 5 | 2–1–2 | 7–6 | 7,7 | 8,1 | 7,1 | +1,0 | 52 % | Balanced & physical |
| 10 | Sassuolo | 7 | 5 | 2–1–2 | 9–9 | 7,8 | 8,2 | 7,1 | +1,1 | 51 % | Possession & high press |
| 11 | Atalanta | 6 | 5 | 2–0–3 | 5–7 | 3,9 | 4,3 | 9,4 | −5,1 | 48 % | Balanced & physical |
| 12 | Lecce | 6 | 5 | 2–0–3 | 5–10 | 4,6 | 5,0 | 10,5 | −5,5 | 30 % | Low block & direct |
| 13 | Udinese | 4 | 5 | 1–1–3 | 8–11 | 6,1 | 6,5 | 8,9 | −2,4 | 46 % | Balanced & physical |
| 14 | Torino | 4 | 5 | 1–1–3 | 5–8 | 3,6 | 4,2 | 9,2 | −5,0 | 39 % | Counter-attacks & crosses |
| 15 | Parma | 4 | 5 | 1–1–3 | 4–7 | 5,1 | 3,4 | 8,7 | −5,3 | 22 % | Counter-attacks & crosses |
| 16 | Monza | 4 | 5 | 1–1–3 | 8–12 | 8,5 | 8,8 | 6,9 | +1,9 | 53 % | Low block & direct |
| 17 | Bologna | 2 | 5 | 0–2–3 | 3–6 | 8,0 | 6,9 | 5,0 | +1,9 | 50 % | Balanced & physical |
| 18 | Genoa | 1 | 5 | 0–1–4 | 3–10 | 6,6 | 4,1 | 5,9 | −1,8 | 35 % | Balanced & physical |
| 19 | Fiorentina | 1 | 4 | 0–1–3 | 2–10 | 4,7 | 4,5 | 6,8 | −2,3 | 47 % | Balanced & physical |
| 20 | Venezia | 0 | 3 | 0–0–3 | 2–7 | 3,1 | 4,7 | 5,4 | −0,7 | 57 % | Possession control |
Latest articles
All articles
2026-09-18 · 3 min
Kronas hundring: this week's triples (week 38)
In week 38, Krona's hundred kronor ended on minus twenty kronor after the safe triple (AZ Alkmaar, Dinamo Zagreb and Sporting Lissabon at total odds of 1.84) delivered a win, while the shot with Sparta Rotterdam, Venezia–Lazio and Machida Zelvia failed. The bankroll still stands at 1043 kronor after ten triples and five wins, giving an ROI of four percent.
2026-09-17 · 3 min
Hildegard saw it coming – this week's upsets with value 17/9
The article presents five football tips where the writer identifies value in the odds by analyzing details such as xG statistics, corners, and playing styles that the market seems to have overlooked. Among the tips are Sparta Rotterdam to beat Heerenveen (odds 3.40), Monza to defeat Sassuolo (odds 3.10), and Empoli as an upset candidate against Modena in Serie B (odds 5.37).
2026-09-17 · 1 min
This week's pool betting 17/9: locks and upsets
This weekend's football round offers a wide range of pool betting, with Stryktipset and Europatipset from Svenska Spel, ATG's Big 9, and several products in the PoolX network such as Survivor8 and Flextipset8EUR. The article analyzes 53 matches in total and particularly highlights matches that recur across several betting formats, including Levski Sofia–Salzburg, where the data points toward an away win for Salzburg with a 54 percent probability.
Played matches
Prediction track recordFrosinoneFiorentinaAC MilanParmaJuventusVeneziaRomaBolognaUdineseMonzaInterLecceHow the predictions work
Every prediction comes from PlaymakerAI's match model — the same data platform professional clubs use for scouting and match analysis. The model is trained on event data from hundreds of thousands of matches and weighs over 200 factors per team: strength ratings, current form, playing style, squad player profiles, fixture congestion, travel and even matchday weather.
For each fixture the model produces a full goal distribution. From it we derive the 1X2 probabilities, the score matrix, expected goals, over/under lines and both-teams-to-score. Predictions are frozen before kickoff and never changed afterwards — once a match finishes we grade it openly, hit or miss.
Odds are collected continuously from several bookmakers. When the model's probability for an outcome exceeds what the odds imply, we flag it as value (EV+). That is the model's assessment, not a guarantee: even positive-EV bets lose often. Gamble responsibly.
Min. insättning 100 kr. Omsättning 6× inom 60 dagar, odds från 1,80
Hämta bonus
Se ComeOns villkor
Hämta bonus
Se Hajpers villkor
Hämta bonusSerie A FAQ
Where do I find Serie A predictions?
Right here: every match in Italy's Serie A has its own analysis with 1X2 probabilities, most likely scoreline, over/under and value against current odds. Pick a match from the upcoming list — predictions are refreshed before every round and graded openly afterwards.
How are the Serie A predictions made?
Each match is replayed thousands of times in the model using hundreds of metrics per team — expected goals, pressing, expected threat, field tilt, form and squad. The output is a probability for every scoreline, which is then compared with bookmaker odds to find value.
What is the xP table?
xP means expected points: how many points each team should have taken given the quality of chances created and conceded. The gap between xP and the real table shows which Italy's Serie A teams are over- and underrated right now.
Which teams play in Serie A 2026/27?
Serie A 2026/27 has 20 teams: Roma, Inter, Cagliari, AC Milan, Frosinone, Juventus, Como, Lazio, Napoli, Sassuolo, Atalanta, Lecce, Udinese, Torino, Parma, Monza, Bologna, Genoa, Fiorentina, Venezia.
Predictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.