01 · 2 legs
Safe
- FC København to win61%
- Over 1.5 goals81%
Danish SuperligaParken, København11°35 km/h
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FC KøbenhavnPossession & high pressvs
OdensePossession & high pressThe model's lean: 1 · FC København (61%)Best value by the model: X · Draw @ 5.50 (+24 %)
FC København vs Odense · Danish Superliga
1 · FC København 61%X 23%16% Odense · 2
61%
23%
16%
Prediction summary
BetBuilders AI model prediction for FC København vs Odense (Danish Superliga, Monday, 26 October 2026): FC København win 61%, draw 23%, Odense win 16%. Expected goals (xG): FC København 1.89, Odense 1.17. Most likely score: 1-1 (11%). Over 2.5 goals 59%, both teams to score 59%. Double chance: FC København or draw 84%, Odense or draw 39%. Prediction updated Saturday, 17 October 2026.
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Analysis: FC København – Odense
Erik Lindberg · · Written from the model's numbers · How the predictions work
TEXT: A high-stakes clash lies ahead as FC København prepare to host Odense, with the numbers painting a clear picture of the likely dynamics. Both teams employ a possession-based, high-press approach, ensuring a battle for control in midfield. Yet, the hosts’ slightly superior defensive metrics and xG indicate they may handle the pressure better, making them favorites to edge out Odense.
Recent encounters have seen FC København dominate, albeit within a small sample size of five meetings since 2022, with two wins and two draws. Though historical edge favors them, Odense’s sole victory serves as a reminder of the visitor's potential to disrupt. However, FC København's ability to convert possession into tangible results is evident in both their superior points tally and expected points, suggesting they can maintain composure under pressure.
The model backs København to win, reflecting their 61% probability, but the most likely scorelines hint at a close contest: 1-1 and 2-1. This aligns with the expected goals, where København leads with 1.89 to Odense’s 1.17, indicating a potentially narrow margin for the hosts. While both teams flirt with the possibility of scoring, the 59% likelihood of over 2.5 goals suggests a moderately open game, possibly more so than their defensive styles might initially indicate.
For the more calculated bettor, the model's statistical edge in favor of FC København could make them an appealing pick, marrying defensive discipline with opportunistic flair. Should København assert their dominance as anticipated, this could indeed be the kind of result the numbers point toward.
FC KøbenhavnForm WWWLD
League ranking xG #3xGA #1xT #7xP/match #1Points #1
Key players
- William ClemCMxG 0.08 · xT 0.05
- Gabriel PereiraCBxG 0.07 · xT 0.04
- Mohamed ElyounoussiFxG 0.43 · xT 0.16
OdenseForm LWDDW
League ranking xG #7xGA #9xT #3xP/match #9Points #7
Key players
- Jakob BondeCMxG 0.28 · xT 0.13
- Julius AskouCBxG 0.10 · xT 0.13
- Rasmus FalkCDMxG 0.11 · xT 0.21
Match prediction: FC København – Odense
Predicted score matrix
Odense →
FC København →
0
1
2
3
4+
0
0–05.0%
0–15.2%
0–23.2%
0–31.2%
0–4+0.5%
1
1–08.6%
1–110.7%
1–26.1%
1–32.4%
1–4+0.9%
2
2–08.4%
2–19.8%
2–25.7%
2–32.2%
2–4+0.8%
3
3–05.3%
3–16.2%
3–23.6%
3–31.4%
3–4+0.5%
4+
4+–03.9%
4+–14.5%
4+–22.6%
4+–31.0%
4+–4+0.4%
Most likely scorelines
- 1.1-111%
- 2.2-110%
- 3.1-09%
- 4.2-08%
- 5.3-16%
Expected goals
1,89–1,17
Both teams to score
59%
Over/under goals
Expected goals: 3,10
114%
222%
322%
417%
5+19%
Under 2,541%
–
Over 2,559%
–
Ready-made bet suggestions
More combos & build your own →02 · 3 legs
Balanced
- FC København to win61%
- Over 2.5 goals59%
- Mohamed Amine Elyounoussi to score31%
03 · 4 legs
Bold
- Both teams to score59%
- Over 2.5 goals59%
- Mohamed Amine Elyounoussi to score31%
- Wandepanga Ismahila Ouédraogo to be booked24%
Odds & value
The model's value spots
Bets where the model's probability beats what the odds imply (EV+).
- X · Draw23% probability@5.50BetMGM UKEV+24%reference odds
- 2 · Odense16% probability@7.50BetMGM UKEV+23%reference odds
- X · Draw23% probability@4.97PinnacleEV+12%reference odds
| Bookmaker | 1 · FC København | X | 2 · Odense |
|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM UK | 1.29 | EV+ 24% 5.50 | EV+ 23% 7.50 |
| Pinnacle | 1.47 | EV+ 12% 4.97 | 5.67 |
Odds updated 23 Oct, 18:01
Odds movement
Market signal
The market has moved clearly towards an Odense win since 19 October — the odds have shortened from 6.36 to 5.67 (−11%).
1+5 %
68 %63 %
1.39 → 1.47
X-1 %
21 %16 %
5.04 → 4.97
2-11 %
18 %13 %
6.36 → 5.67
Pinnacle · 4 recorded price levels · 19/10/2026 → 23/10/2026 · fixed scale 5 percentage points
Statistics
Head-to-head
5 matchesFC København 2Draw 2Odense 1
Goals: 11–6 (⌀ 3,4)
Head-to-head based on Danish Superliga data since 2022.
Key facts
- FC Copenhagen dominate this fixture historically: 2 wins to 1 in 5 meetings.
- A high-scoring fixture: 3.4 goals per meeting on average.
- FC Copenhagen win 57% of their home matches all-time (37 played).
Solid line = created (xG), dashed = conceded (xGA).
FC København
Odense
FC København (25–11)
Odense (10–15)
Last 5 matches. Circle size = pass volume, line width = combinations between players. Attacking left to right.
FC København
Odense
The same network weighted by offensive threat (xT): circle size = threat created by the player, line width = threat of the combinations. Last 5 matches, attacking left to right.
FC København
Odense
The teams in numbers
| Performance | FC København | Odense |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 25 | 13 |
| xPoints | 18.5 | 13.4 |
| xG per match | 1.7 | 1.5 |
| xGA per match | 1.1 | 1.7 |
| xG within 8s of winning the ball | 0.29 | 0.28 |
| xGA within 8s of losing the ball | 0.32 | 0.25 |
| Playing style | FC København | Odense |
|---|---|---|
| Build-up efficiency | 0.31 | 0.32 |
| Field tilt | 0.53 | 0.54 |
| xT per match | 1 | 1.2 |
| xTA per match | 0.88 | 1.1 |
| Won balls, offensive half | 28 | 27 |
| Pressing intensity | 0.23 | 0.24 |
| Pressing efficiency | 0.27 | 0.27 |
| Pressing efficiency, offensive half | 0.25 | 0.23 |
| Entries into the box per match | 12 | 13 |
| Entries into the box against | 10 | 14 |
| Pass completion % | 0.79 | 0.79 |
| Pass completion % under pressure | 0.74 | 0.74 |
| Passes per match | 412 | 426 |
| Passes against per match | 383 | 391 |
| Switches of play per match | 31.6 | 24.2 |
| Long balls per match | 36 | 30 |
| Set pieces | FC København | Odense |
|---|---|---|
| xG from free kicks | 0.04 | 0.04 |
| Corners per match | 4.9 | 5.9 |
| Corners against per match | 3.5 | 6.3 |
| xG per corner | 0.04 | 0.01 |
| xGA per corner against | 0.02 | 0.04 |
| First touch, offensive corners % | 0.37 | 0.17 |
| First touch, defensive corners % | 0.63 | 0.68 |
| Other | FC København | Odense |
|---|---|---|
| Throw-in control | 0.71 | 0.72 |
| The goalkeepers | Diant Ramaj (FC København) | Viljar Myhra (Odense) |
|---|---|---|
| Saves | 16 | 25 |
| Save % | 80% | 64% |
| xG prevented | 65% | 42% |
| Claims | 0 (0%) | 0 (0%) |
Teams & more matches this round
Frequently asked questions
Who wins FC København vs Odense according to our model?
The model gives FC København a 61% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: FC København 61%, draw 23%, Odense 16%.
What is the most likely scoreline?
The model's most likely final score is 1-1 at 11% probability.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The model rates over 2.5 goals at 59% and under at 41%.
Will both teams score?
The probability of both teams scoring is 59% according to the model.
How many goals are expected in FC København vs Odense?
The model expects 1.89 goals (xG) for FC København and 1.17 for Odense, 3.06 in total.
What does the model say about double chance?
FC København or draw (1X) 84%, Odense or draw (X2) 39% and no draw (12) 77%.
Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?
The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.
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Hämta bonusPredictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.