01 · 2 legs
Safe
- Häcken to win50%
- Over 1.5 goals79%
Swedish AllsvenskanGrimsta IP, Stockholm10°0,2 mm27 km/h
Läs på svenska
BrommapojkarnaBalanced & physicalvs
HäckenCounter-attacks & crossesThe model's lean: 2 · Häcken (50%)
Brommapojkarna vs Häcken · Swedish Allsvenskan
1 · Brommapojkarna 26%X 24%50% Häcken · 2
26%
24%
50%
Prediction summary
BetBuilders AI model prediction for Brommapojkarna vs Häcken (Swedish Allsvenskan, Wednesday, 28 October 2026): Brommapojkarna win 26%, draw 24%, Häcken win 50%. Expected goals (xG): Brommapojkarna 1.24, Häcken 1.70. Most likely score: 1-1 (11%). Over 2.5 goals 56%, both teams to score 58%. Double chance: Brommapojkarna or draw 50%, Häcken or draw 74%. Prediction updated Wednesday, 21 October 2026.
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Analysis: Brommapojkarna – Häcken
Sofia Andersson · · The model's read on the match · How the predictions work
TEXT: Five wins in their last seven matchups since 2023 position Häcken as the undisputed heavyweight in their meetings with Brommapojkarna. Although the head-to-head sample is limited, it suggests a pattern. Yet, Brommapojkarna's home advantage and their balanced, physical playing style may disrupt Häcken’s rhythm, especially when the visitors rely heavily on counterattacks and crosses.
Form and expected goals bolster Häcken’s case. Entering the match with three consecutive victories, they boast superior xG and xGA metrics, reflecting a well-rounded squad both offensively and defensively. Brommapojkarna, meanwhile, lag slightly behind in both actual points and expected points, hinting at a vulnerability that Häcken could exploit to stretch their winning streak.
Despite the disparity in form, the models suggest a moderate likelihood of a close contest. A 1-1 draw emerges as the most probable outcome, though Häcken edges out as favorites with a 50% chance of victory. The expected goals of 1.70 for Häcken and 1.24 for Brommapojkarna align with the historical trend of high-scoring matches between these teams, suggesting the game may exceed the 2.5 goals threshold.
While acknowledging the unpredictable nature of football, this statistical picture favors Häcken, whose dominant head-to-head record and current form make them the stronger side on paper.
BrommapojkarnaForm WLLWL
League ranking xG #11xGA #10xT #16xP/match #9Points #11
Key players
- Wilmer OdefalkCAMxG 0.08 · xT 0.06
- Alex Timossi AnderssonRBxG 0.05 · xT 0.10
- Oliver BergFxG 0.23 · xT 0.22
HäckenForm DDWWW
League ranking xG #5xGA #4xT #3xP/match #4Points #4
Key players
- Mikkel Rygaard JensenFxG 0.18 · xT 0.28
- Amor LayouniRWxG 0.28 · xT 0.50
- Julius LindbergFxG 0.36 · xT 0.24
Match prediction: Brommapojkarna – Häcken
Predicted score matrix
Häcken →
Brommapojkarna →
0
1
2
3
4+
0
0–05.6%
0–18.7%
0–27.7%
0–34.4%
0–4+2.7%
1
1–06.2%
1–111.5%
1–29.5%
1–35.4%
1–4+3.4%
2
2–04.0%
2–16.9%
2–25.9%
2–33.3%
2–4+2.1%
3
3–01.7%
3–12.8%
3–22.4%
3–31.4%
3–4+0.9%
4+
4+–00.7%
4+–11.1%
4+–21.0%
4+–30.6%
4+–4+0.3%
Most likely scorelines
- 1.1-111%
- 2.1-29%
- 3.0-19%
- 4.0-28%
- 5.2-17%
Expected goals
1,24–1,70
Both teams to score
58%
Over/under goals
Expected goals: 2,90
115%
223%
322%
416%
5+17%
Under 2,544%
–
Over 2,556%
–
Ready-made bet suggestions
More combos & build your own →02 · 3 legs
Balanced
- Häcken to win50%
- Over 2.5 goals56%
- Adrian Svanbäck to score30%
03 · 4 legs
Bold
- Both teams to score58%
- Over 2.5 goals56%
- Adrian Svanbäck to score30%
- Harry Hilvenius to be booked19%
Odds & value
| Bookmaker | 1 · Brommapojkarna | X | 2 · Häcken |
|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas | 3.65 | 3.90 | 1.88 |
Odds updated 21 Oct, 20:38
Statistics
Head-to-head
7 matchesBrommapojkarna 1Draw 1Häcken 5
Goals: 11–19 (⌀ 4,3)
Head-to-head based on Allsvenskan data since 2023.
Key facts
- BK Häcken dominate this fixture historically: 5 wins to 1 in 7 meetings.
- A high-scoring fixture: 4.3 goals per meeting on average.
- BK Häcken come into this round on 3 straight wins.
Solid line = created (xG), dashed = conceded (xGA).
Brommapojkarna
Häcken
Brommapojkarna (36–43)
Häcken (43–30)
Last 5 matches. Circle size = pass volume, line width = combinations between players. Attacking left to right.
Brommapojkarna
Häcken
The same network weighted by offensive threat (xT): circle size = threat created by the player, line width = threat of the combinations. Last 5 matches, attacking left to right.
Brommapojkarna
Häcken
The teams in numbers
| Performance | Brommapojkarna | Häcken |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 30 | 42 |
| xPoints | 32.5 | 38.1 |
| xG per match | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| xGA per match | 1.4 | 1.1 |
| xG within 8s of winning the ball | 0.19 | 0.23 |
| xGA within 8s of losing the ball | 0.25 | 0.27 |
| Playing style | Brommapojkarna | Häcken |
|---|---|---|
| Build-up efficiency | 0.34 | 0.35 |
| Field tilt | 0.41 | 0.5 |
| xT per match | 1.1 | 1.5 |
| xTA per match | 1.7 | 1.2 |
| Won balls, offensive half | 22 | 28 |
| Pressing intensity | 0.5 | 0.55 |
| Pressing efficiency | 0.19 | 0.24 |
| Pressing efficiency, offensive half | 0.18 | 0.23 |
| Entries into the box per match | 13 | 14 |
| Entries into the box against | 18 | 13 |
| Pass completion % | 0.83 | 0.83 |
| Pass completion % under pressure | 0.78 | 0.79 |
| Passes per match | 417 | 442 |
| Passes against per match | 497 | 395 |
| Switches of play per match | 16.1 | 13 |
| Long balls per match | 28 | 31 |
| Set pieces | Brommapojkarna | Häcken |
|---|---|---|
| xG from free kicks | 0.17 | 0.11 |
| Corners per match | 4.4 | 5.5 |
| Corners against per match | 5.7 | 5.6 |
| xG per corner | 0.02 | 0.02 |
| xGA per corner against | 0.03 | 0.02 |
| First touch, offensive corners % | 0.34 | 0.52 |
| First touch, defensive corners % | 0.59 | 0.62 |
| Other | Brommapojkarna | Häcken |
|---|---|---|
| Throw-in control | 0.6 | 0.66 |
| The goalkeepers | Leo Cavallius (Brommapojkarna) | Andreas Linde (Häcken) |
|---|---|---|
| Saves | 89 | 45 |
| Save % | 68% | 74% |
| xG prevented | 50% | 52% |
| Claims | 130 (84%) | 54 (90%) |
Teams & more matches this round
- AIK – Elfsborg27 October 2026 19:00 CET
- IFK Göteborg – Djurgården28 October 2026 19:00 CET
- Degerfors – Västerås SK28 October 2026 19:00 CET
- Halmstad – Malmö FF28 October 2026 19:00 CET
- Hammarby – Sirius29 October 2026 18:30 CET
- Örgryte – Mjällby29 October 2026 19:00 CET
- Kalmar FF – GAIS29 October 2026 19:00 CET
Frequently asked questions
Who wins Brommapojkarna vs Häcken according to our model?
The model gives Häcken a 50% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Brommapojkarna 26%, draw 24%, Häcken 50%.
What is the most likely scoreline?
The model's most likely final score is 1-1 at 11% probability.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The model rates over 2.5 goals at 56% and under at 44%.
Will both teams score?
The probability of both teams scoring is 58% according to the model.
How many goals are expected in Brommapojkarna vs Häcken?
The model expects 1.24 goals (xG) for Brommapojkarna and 1.70 for Häcken, 2.94 in total.
What does the model say about double chance?
Brommapojkarna or draw (1X) 50%, Häcken or draw (X2) 74% and no draw (12) 76%.
Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?
The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.
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Hämta bonusPredictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.