Swedish Allsvenskan: Predictions, Odds & Tips

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    Model-based predictions for Allsvenskan, the Swedish top flight — powered by the same match model behind PlaymakerAI. Ahead of every round the model computes 1X2 probabilities, a full score matrix, expected goals, over/under lines and both-teams-to-score, built from hundreds of data points per team: strength, form, playing style, squad and weather.

    We compare the predictions against live odds from multiple bookmakers and flag positive expected value (EV+) where the model's probability beats the implied odds. Once matches are played, we grade every prediction openly — hit or miss. Everything updates continuously until kickoff.

    Upcoming matches

    ÖrgryteÖrgryte
    vs
    AIKAIK
    1 33%X 24%2 42%
    Odds on the move
    MjällbyMjällby
    vs
    ElfsborgElfsborg
    1 53%X 23%2 24%
    HammarbyHammarby
    vs
    HäckenHäcken
    1 61%X 21%2 18%
    Malmö FFMalmö FF
    vs
    DegerforsDegerfors
    1 62%X 21%2 17%
    IFK GöteborgIFK Göteborg
    vs
    Kalmar FFKalmar FF
    1 40%X 25%2 34%
    HalmstadHalmstad
    vs
    GAISGAIS
    1 21%X 20%2 59%
    SiriusSirius
    vs
    BrommapojkarnaBrommapojkarna
    1 68%X 19%2 13%
    Odds on the move
    Västerås SKVästerås SK
    vs
    DjurgårdenDjurgården
    1 26%X 25%2 49%

    League table2026

    PosTeamSW–D–LGF–GAPxPxGxGAxGDFTStyle
    1Sirius1513–2–042–174129,731,015,8+15,244 %Balanced & physical
    2Hammarby158–3–433–152724,530,416,5+13,974 %Possession & high press
    3Djurgården148–2–433–152623,226,716,5+10,259 %Possession & high press
    4Häcken156–7–228–232523,323,916,8+7,150 %Possession & high press
    5Malmö FF157–2–630–252319,622,520,7+1,857 %Possession & high press
    6AIK156–4–518–212216,117,724,3−6,656 %Possession & high press
    7Västerås SK156–4–524–292218,717,223,7−6,544 %Balanced & physical
    8Elfsborg155–6–420–182119,818,120,2−2,143 %Balanced & physical
    9GAIS155–5–519–152025,225,315,9+9,456 %Possession & high press
    10Kalmar FF155–3–719–211822,720,417,7+2,748 %Possession control
    11Mjällby144–5–520–191715,818,821,7−2,955 %Possession control
    12Brommapojkarna154–5–620–241721,018,021,9−3,938 %Balanced & physical
    13IFK Göteborg154–4–719–331622,624,020,7+3,350 %Counter-attacks & crosses
    14Örgryte153–4–817–331316,516,128,1−12,037 %Balanced & physical
    15Degerfors152–4–912–261014,413,124,0−10,949 %Balanced & physical
    16Halmstad151–4–1011–31714,113,732,7−19,040 %Counter-attacks & crosses

    Latest articles

    All articles
    Allsvenskan halvvägs: en miljon nya simuleringar

    2026-08-05 · 5 min

    Allsvenskan halvvägs: en miljon nya simuleringar

    15 omgångar spelade, 121 matcher simulerade en miljon gånger. Sirius har gått från tolfte favorit till 89,1 % titelchans — och Halmstad åker ur i 96 fall av 100.

    Allsvenskan 2026 – simulerad en miljon gånger

    2026-03-26 · 10 min

    Allsvenskan 2026 – simulerad en miljon gånger

    Vi körde Allsvenskan 2026 en miljon gånger. Hammarby och Malmö är i princip oavgjorda. Mjällby försvarar med kniven mot strupen. Och Halmstad vann 22 gånger. Av en miljon.

    Played matches

    Prediction track record
    HalmstadHalmstad
    0–2
    SiriusSirius
    1 13%X 19%2 68%
    The model called the outcome
    DjurgårdenDjurgården
    6–0
    Västerås SKVästerås SK
    1 60%X 20%2 20%
    The model called the outcome
    AIKAIK
    0–3
    ÖrgryteÖrgryte
    1 59%X 21%2 20%
    The model missed the outcome
    BrommapojkarnaBrommapojkarna
    1–2
    Malmö FFMalmö FF
    1 28%X 24%2 48%
    The model called the outcome
    IFK GöteborgIFK Göteborg
    2–0
    DegerforsDegerfors
    1 50%X 25%2 25%
    The model called the outcome
    HäckenHäcken
    1–1
    Kalmar FFKalmar FF
    1 51%X 25%2 24%
    The model missed the outcome
    HäckenHäcken
    0–0
    AIKAIK
    1 51%X 27%2 22%
    The model missed the outcome
    Malmö FFMalmö FF
    1–2
    ElfsborgElfsborg
    1 49%X 26%2 25%
    The model missed the outcome
    GAISGAIS
    1–1
    HalmstadHalmstad
    1 70%X 18%2 13%
    The model missed the outcome
    SiriusSirius
    4–1
    IFK GöteborgIFK Göteborg
    1 55%X 23%2 22%
    The model called the outcome
    BrommapojkarnaBrommapojkarna
    1–1
    HammarbyHammarby
    1 19%X 21%2 61%
    The model missed the outcome
    Kalmar FFKalmar FF
    2–1
    MjällbyMjällby
    1 33%X 24%2 43%
    The model missed the outcome
    DegerforsDegerfors
    0–1
    DjurgårdenDjurgården
    1 20%X 25%2 55%
    The model called the outcome
    Västerås SKVästerås SK
    2–0
    ÖrgryteÖrgryte
    1 50%X 25%2 25%
    The model called the outcome
    Kalmar FFKalmar FF
    2–2
    Malmö FFMalmö FF
    1 36%X 27%2 37%
    The model missed the outcome
    ÖrgryteÖrgryte
    0–0
    DjurgårdenDjurgården
    1 18%X 19%2 62%
    The model missed the outcome
    HammarbyHammarby
    4–0
    DegerforsDegerfors
    1 72%X 16%2 12%
    The model called the outcome
    HalmstadHalmstad
    0–2
    HäckenHäcken
    1 19%X 22%2 59%
    The model called the outcome
    ElfsborgElfsborg
    1–3
    SiriusSirius
    1 23%X 24%2 53%
    The model called the outcome

    How the predictions work

    Every prediction comes from PlaymakerAI's match model — the same data platform professional clubs use for scouting and match analysis. The model is trained on event data from hundreds of thousands of matches and weighs over 200 factors per team: strength ratings, current form, playing style, squad player profiles, fixture congestion, travel and even matchday weather.

    For each fixture the model produces a full goal distribution. From it we derive the 1X2 probabilities, the score matrix, expected goals, over/under lines and both-teams-to-score. Predictions are frozen before kickoff and never changed afterwards — once a match finishes we grade it openly, hit or miss.

    Odds are collected continuously from several bookmakers. When the model's probability for an outcome exceeds what the odds imply, we flag it as value (EV+). That is the model's assessment, not a guarantee: even positive-EV bets lose often. Gamble responsibly.

    Predictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.