01 · 2 legs
Safe
- Double chance GAIS or draw (X2)66%
- Under 3.5 goals72%
Swedish AllsvenskanGuldfågeln Arena, Kalmar12°26 km/h
Läs på svenska
Kalmar FFPossession controlvs
GAISPossession & high pressThe model's lean: 2 · GAIS (40%)
Kalmar FF vs GAIS · Swedish Allsvenskan
1 · Kalmar FF 34%X 26%40% GAIS · 2
34%
26%
40%
Prediction summary
BetBuilders AI model prediction for Kalmar FF vs GAIS (Swedish Allsvenskan, Thursday, 29 October 2026): Kalmar FF win 34%, draw 26%, GAIS win 40%. Expected goals (xG): Kalmar FF 1.26, GAIS 1.39. Most likely score: 1-1 (13%). Over 2.5 goals 50%, both teams to score 54%. Double chance: Kalmar FF or draw 60%, GAIS or draw 66%. Prediction updated Thursday, 22 October 2026.
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Analysis: Kalmar FF – GAIS
Anna Karlsson · · A data-driven preview · How the predictions work
TEXT:
Gais's 40% win probability stands out as the sharpest edge in this matchup against Kalmar FF, underscoring their form advantage. The visitors have maintained a solid run, highlighted by two victories and a draw in their last three head-to-heads against Kalmar. While it's a small sample size, it still favors the away side. Coupled with a current points tally of 30 compared to Kalmar's 22, Gais’s momentum is tangible.
Kalmar, known for their possession control, might struggle against Gais’s high press. With Gais registering an xG of 1.6 per match compared to Kalmar’s 1.3, the visitors appear more potent in attack. This attacking edge aligns with the model's lean toward a Gais victory, further backed by the most probable outcome of a 1-2 scoreline.
Despite both teams averaging 1.2 expected goals against (xGA) per match, suggesting defense parity, Gais’s superior goal-scoring potential tips the balance. The model’s probabilities indicate a 50% chance for over 2.5 goals and a 54% chance for both teams to score. These metrics suggest a game where goals are likely but not guaranteed in abundance.
Considering the numbers, the most likely result of 1-1 (13%) hints at a closely contested battle. However, the combination of Gais's form, stylistic advantage, and goal-scoring prowess provides a compelling case for them to edge out Kalmar. A 1-2 scoreline, with a slight lean towards over 2.5 goals, seems a prudent expectation.
Kalmar FFForm LLLLW
League ranking xG #10xGA #7xT #4xP/match #8Points #13
Key players
- Carl GustafssonCDMxG 0.05 · xT 0.29
- Lars SætraCBxG 0.04 · xT 0.05
- Rony JanssonRBxG 0.08 · xT 0.19
GAISForm DLWLL
League ranking xG #4xGA #5xT #2xP/match #6Points #10
Key players
- August WängbergRBxG 0.02 · xT 0.14
- Filip BeckmanCBxG 0.10 · xT 0.09
- Robin FrejCBxG 0.03 · xT 0.20
Match prediction: Kalmar FF – GAIS
Predicted score matrix
GAIS →
Kalmar FF →
0
1
2
3
4+
0
0–07.4%
0–19.4%
0–26.8%
0–33.2%
0–4+1.5%
1
1–08.5%
1–112.7%
1–28.6%
1–34.0%
1–4+1.9%
2
2–05.6%
2–17.8%
2–25.4%
2–32.5%
2–4+1.2%
3
3–02.4%
3–13.3%
3–22.3%
3–31.1%
3–4+0.5%
4+
4+–01.0%
4+–11.4%
4+–21.0%
4+–30.4%
4+–4+0.2%
Most likely scorelines
- 1.1-113%
- 2.0-19%
- 3.1-29%
- 4.1-08%
- 5.2-18%
Expected goals
1,26–1,39
Both teams to score
54%
Over/under goals
Expected goals: 2,707%
118%
225%
322%
415%
5+13%
Under 2,550%
–
Over 2,550%
–
Ready-made bet suggestions
More combos & build your own →02 · 3 legs
Balanced
- Double chance GAIS or draw (X2)66%
- Under 2.5 goals50%
- Rasmus Niklasson Petrovic to score28%
03 · 4 legs
Bold
- Both teams to score54%
- Over 2.5 goals50%
- Rasmus Niklasson Petrovic to score28%
- Carl Gustafsson to be booked21%
Odds & value
No odds available yet.
Statistics
Head-to-head
3 matchesKalmar FF 0Draw 1GAIS 2
Goals: 3–7 (⌀ 3,3)
Head-to-head based on Allsvenskan data since 2023.
Solid line = created (xG), dashed = conceded (xGA).
Kalmar FF
GAIS
Kalmar FF (23–38)
GAIS (30–25)
Last 5 matches. Circle size = pass volume, line width = combinations between players. Attacking left to right.
Kalmar FF
GAIS
The same network weighted by offensive threat (xT): circle size = threat created by the player, line width = threat of the combinations. Last 5 matches, attacking left to right.
Kalmar FF
GAIS
The teams in numbers
| Performance | Kalmar FF | GAIS |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 22 | 30 |
| xPoints | 33.5 | 37.3 |
| xG per match | 1.3 | 1.6 |
| xGA per match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| xG within 8s of winning the ball | 0.25 | 0.44 |
| xGA within 8s of losing the ball | 0.19 | 0.15 |
| Playing style | Kalmar FF | GAIS |
|---|---|---|
| Build-up efficiency | 0.31 | 0.33 |
| Field tilt | 0.48 | 0.56 |
| xT per match | 1.5 | 1.6 |
| xTA per match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| Won balls, offensive half | 31 | 38 |
| Pressing intensity | 0.52 | 0.51 |
| Pressing efficiency | 0.22 | 0.25 |
| Pressing efficiency, offensive half | 0.23 | 0.25 |
| Entries into the box per match | 16 | 17 |
| Entries into the box against | 14 | 12 |
| Pass completion % | 0.82 | 0.81 |
| Pass completion % under pressure | 0.77 | 0.76 |
| Passes per match | 397 | 424 |
| Passes against per match | 454 | 399 |
| Switches of play per match | 13.6 | 12.5 |
| Long balls per match | 29 | 27 |
| Set pieces | Kalmar FF | GAIS |
|---|---|---|
| xG from free kicks | 0.12 | 0.16 |
| Corners per match | 4.8 | 5.2 |
| Corners against per match | 5.7 | 4.5 |
| xG per corner | 0.02 | 0.02 |
| xGA per corner against | 0.02 | 0.02 |
| First touch, offensive corners % | 0.39 | 0.39 |
| First touch, defensive corners % | 0.63 | 0.67 |
| Other | Kalmar FF | GAIS |
|---|---|---|
| Throw-in control | 0.62 | 0.62 |
| The goalkeepers | Samuel Brolin (Kalmar FF) | Mergim Krasniqi (GAIS) |
|---|---|---|
| Saves | 62 | 55 |
| Save % | 71% | 76% |
| xG prevented | 51% | 47% |
| Claims | 95 (90%) | 96 (94%) |
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- Halmstad – Malmö FF28 October 2026 19:00 CET
- Hammarby – Sirius29 October 2026 18:30 CET
- Örgryte – Mjällby29 October 2026 19:00 CET
Frequently asked questions
Who wins Kalmar FF vs GAIS according to our model?
The model gives GAIS a 40% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Kalmar FF 34%, draw 26%, GAIS 40%.
What is the most likely scoreline?
The model's most likely final score is 1-1 at 13% probability.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The model rates over 2.5 goals at 50% and under at 50%.
Will both teams score?
The probability of both teams scoring is 54% according to the model.
How many goals are expected in Kalmar FF vs GAIS?
The model expects 1.26 goals (xG) for Kalmar FF and 1.39 for GAIS, 2.66 in total.
What does the model say about double chance?
Kalmar FF or draw (1X) 60%, GAIS or draw (X2) 66% and no draw (12) 74%.
Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?
The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.
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Hämta bonusPredictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.