01 · 2 legs
Safe
- Double chance Trabzonspor or draw (X2)71%
- Over 1.5 goals78%
Süper Lig16°7 km/h
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Çaykur RizesporPossession controlvs
TrabzonsporPossession controlThe model's lean: 2 · Trabzonspor (43%)Best value by the model: X · Draw @ 4.01 (+12 %)
Çaykur Rizespor vs Trabzonspor · Süper Lig
1 · Çaykur Rizespor 29%X 28%43% Trabzonspor · 2
29%
28%
43%
Prediction summary
BetBuilders AI model prediction for Çaykur Rizespor vs Trabzonspor (Süper Lig, Monday, 26 October 2026): Çaykur Rizespor win 29%, draw 28%, Trabzonspor win 43%. Expected goals (xG): Çaykur Rizespor 1.25, Trabzonspor 1.61. Most likely score: 1-1 (12%). Over 2.5 goals 54%, both teams to score 57%. Double chance: Çaykur Rizespor or draw 57%, Trabzonspor or draw 71%. Prediction updated Saturday, 17 October 2026.
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Analysis: Çaykur Rizespor – Trabzonspor
Sofia Andersson · · The model's read on the match · How the predictions work
Trabzonspor arrive at the Çaykur Didi Stadium with the clear edge in form and modeling, as they boast a 43% probability of victory against Rizespor's 29%. Their recent ascendancy with three consecutive wins adds weight to this prediction. While Rizespor's home advantage cannot be dismissed, their recent encounters show only one win out of four against Trabzonspor since 2023, suggesting a pattern of struggle against the visitors.
Expected goals further paint a picture of Trabzonspor's superiority. With an xG of 1.61 compared to Rizespor's 1.25, the visitors are poised to create more significant chances. Although both teams favor possession control, Trabzonspor have consistently converted this style into more effective opportunities. Their superior xPoints (11.9) over Rizespor's (10.4) reflect their ability to translate possession into potential points, albeit slightly more efficient than their hosts.
The most likely scoreline is a tightly contested 1-1, predicted at 12%, but a 1-2 or 0-1, each at 9%, underscores Trabzonspor's slight dominance. While the model leans towards a result with over 2.5 goals at 54% probability, noting the 57% both teams to score, there are compelling angles to explore in the unders market.
For value-seekers, the under 1.5 goals is strikingly priced at 4.95 with both Betsafe and Nordicbet, presenting a significant 8% edge as rated by the model. Furthermore, the under 2.5 goals carries a 7% edge at odds of 2.35 with LeoVegas, offering another lucrative angle for those anticipating a more tightly contested affair than the outright odds suggest. In a game where Trabzonspor's form and tactical execution may suppress Rizespor's home advantage, these value bets highlight potential rewards amid the clash’s underlying tension.
Çaykur RizesporForm LWDLL
League ranking xG #8xGA #6xT #4xP/match #12Points #12
Key players
- Attila MocsiCBxG 0.06 · xT 0.18
- Qazim LaçiCAMxG 0.23 · xT 0.17
- Modibo SagnanCBxG 0.09 · xT 0.03
TrabzonsporForm WLWWW
League ranking xG #7xGA #7xT #10xP/match #8Points #4
Key players
- Mustafa EskihellacLBxG 0.06 · xT 0.20
- Stefan SavicCBxG 0.04 · xT 0.07
- Chibuike Godfrey NwaiwuCBxG 0.06 · xT 0.07
Match prediction: Çaykur Rizespor – Trabzonspor
Predicted score matrix
Trabzonspor →
Çaykur Rizespor →
0
1
2
3
4+
0
0–06.1%
0–18.9%
0–27.4%
0–34.0%
0–4+2.3%
1
1–06.8%
1–111.9%
1–29.3%
1–35.0%
1–4+2.9%
2
2–04.5%
2–17.2%
2–25.8%
2–33.1%
2–4+1.8%
3
3–01.9%
3–13.0%
3–22.4%
3–31.3%
3–4+0.7%
4+
4+–00.8%
4+–11.2%
4+–21.0%
4+–30.5%
4+–4+0.3%
Most likely scorelines
- 1.1-112%
- 2.1-29%
- 3.0-19%
- 4.0-27%
- 5.2-17%
Expected goals
1,25–1,61
Both teams to score
57%
Over/under goals
Expected goals: 2,90
116%
224%
322%
416%
5+16%
Under 2,546%
@2.35EV+6%
Over 2,554%
@1.54
Ready-made bet suggestions
More combos & build your own →02 · 3 legs
Balanced
- Double chance Trabzonspor or draw (X2)71%
- Over 2.5 goals54%
- Ebere Paul Onuachu to score26%
03 · 4 legs
Bold
- Both teams to score57%
- Over 2.5 goals54%
- Ebere Paul Onuachu to score26%
- Taylan Antalyalı to be booked26%
Odds & value
The model's value spots
Bets where the model's probability beats what the odds imply (EV+).
- X · Draw28% probability@4.01PinnacleEV+12%reference odds
- Under 1.522% probability@4.95BetsafeEV+8%reference odds
- Under 1.522% probability@4.95NordicbetEV+8%reference odds
| Bookmaker | 1 · Çaykur Rizespor | X | 2 · Trabzonspor |
|---|---|---|---|
| Betsafe | EV+ 2% 3.55 | EV+ 3% 3.70 | 1.92 |
| LeoVegas | 3.40 | EV+ 3% 3.70 | 1.95 |
| Nordicbet | EV+ 2% 3.55 | EV+ 3% 3.70 | 1.92 |
| Pinnacle | EV+ 0% 3.47 | EV+ 12% 4.01 | 1.97 |
Odds updated 25 Oct, 17:36
Odds movement
1+1 %
30 %25 %
3.43 → 3.47
X+2 %
26 %21 %
3.95 → 4.01
2+1 %
51 %46 %
1.95 → 1.97
Pinnacle · 4 recorded price levels · 24/10/2026 → 25/10/2026 · fixed scale 5 percentage points
Statistics
Head-to-head
4 matchesÇaykur Rizespor 1Draw 0Trabzonspor 3
Goals: 4–6 (⌀ 2,5)
Head-to-head based on Süper Lig data since 2023.
Key facts
- Trabzonspor come into this round on 3 straight wins.
Solid line = created (xG), dashed = conceded (xGA).
Çaykur Rizespor
Trabzonspor
Çaykur Rizespor (8–11)
Trabzonspor (18–5)
Last 5 matches. Circle size = pass volume, line width = combinations between players. Attacking left to right.
Çaykur Rizespor
Trabzonspor
The same network weighted by offensive threat (xT): circle size = threat created by the player, line width = threat of the combinations. Last 5 matches, attacking left to right.
Çaykur Rizespor
Trabzonspor
The teams in numbers
| Performance | Çaykur Rizespor | Trabzonspor |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 10 | 16 |
| xPoints | 10.4 | 11.9 |
| xG per match | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| xGA per match | 1.2 | 1.3 |
| xG within 8s of winning the ball | 0.16 | 0.37 |
| xGA within 8s of losing the ball | 0.24 | 0.15 |
| Playing style | Çaykur Rizespor | Trabzonspor |
|---|---|---|
| Build-up efficiency | 0.32 | 0.32 |
| Field tilt | 0.59 | 0.47 |
| xT per match | 1 | 0.95 |
| xTA per match | 0.86 | 0.92 |
| Won balls, offensive half | 25 | 23 |
| Pressing intensity | 0.24 | 0.24 |
| Pressing efficiency | 0.28 | 0.28 |
| Pressing efficiency, offensive half | 0.23 | 0.24 |
| Entries into the box per match | 12 | 11 |
| Entries into the box against | 13 | 12 |
| Pass completion % | 0.8 | 0.79 |
| Pass completion % under pressure | 0.75 | 0.75 |
| Passes per match | 391 | 372 |
| Passes against per match | 319 | 325 |
| Switches of play per match | 39.4 | 32.4 |
| Long balls per match | 46 | 38 |
| Set pieces | Çaykur Rizespor | Trabzonspor |
|---|---|---|
| xG from free kicks | 0.02 | 0.08 |
| Corners per match | 5 | 5.3 |
| Corners against per match | 4.5 | 3.9 |
| xG per corner | 0.02 | 0.01 |
| xGA per corner against | 0.03 | 0.04 |
| First touch, offensive corners % | 0.5 | 0.36 |
| First touch, defensive corners % | 0.5 | 0.47 |
| Other | Çaykur Rizespor | Trabzonspor |
|---|---|---|
| Throw-in control | 0.8 | 0.76 |
| The goalkeepers | Yahia Fofana (Çaykur Rizespor) | André Onana Onana (Trabzonspor) |
|---|---|---|
| Saves | 26 | 37 |
| Save % | 74% | 88% |
| xG prevented | 56% | 57% |
| Claims | 0 (0%) | 0 (0%) |
Teams & more matches this round
Frequently asked questions
Who wins Çaykur Rizespor vs Trabzonspor according to our model?
The model gives Trabzonspor a 43% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Çaykur Rizespor 29%, draw 28%, Trabzonspor 43%.
What is the most likely scoreline?
The model's most likely final score is 1-1 at 12% probability.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The model rates over 2.5 goals at 54% and under at 46%.
Will both teams score?
The probability of both teams scoring is 57% according to the model.
How many goals are expected in Çaykur Rizespor vs Trabzonspor?
The model expects 1.25 goals (xG) for Çaykur Rizespor and 1.61 for Trabzonspor, 2.86 in total.
What does the model say about double chance?
Çaykur Rizespor or draw (1X) 57%, Trabzonspor or draw (X2) 71% and no draw (12) 72%.
Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?
The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.
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Hämta bonusPredictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.