01 · 2 legs
Safe
- Double chance Göztepe or draw (1X)71%
- Over 1.5 goals80%
Süper Lig
Läs på svenska
GöztepeLow block & directvs
ÇorumLow block & directThe model's lean: 1 · Göztepe (43%)Best value by the model: Over 2,5 @ 1.88 (+7 %)
Göztepe vs Çorum · Süper Lig
1 · Göztepe 43%X 27%30% Çorum · 2
43%
27%
30%
Prediction summary
BetBuilders AI model prediction for Göztepe vs Çorum (Süper Lig, Sunday, 25 October 2026): Göztepe win 43%, draw 27%, Çorum win 30%. Expected goals (xG): Göztepe 1.69, Çorum 1.28. Most likely score: 1-1 (11%). Over 2.5 goals 57%, both teams to score 59%. Double chance: Göztepe or draw 70%, Çorum or draw 57%. Prediction updated Saturday, 17 October 2026.
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Analysis: Göztepe – Çorum
Marcus Johansson · · Analysis from the match model · How the predictions work
Göztepe's expected goals of 1.69 against Çorum's 1.28 underscores the home side's attacking potential, despite their lower point tally. The model gives the hosts a 43% chance of victory, a nod to their superior xG per match of 2.0, compared to the visitors' 1.2. This suggests that Göztepe's offensive approach could exploit Çorum's defensive vulnerabilities, which align with their low defence and direct playing style.
However, Çorum's actual points tally of 13 contrasts with their xPoints of 11.1, indicating they've capitalized on chances more effectively than expected. Göztepe, with an xPoints of 13.4, have underperformed relative to their potential. The tactical overlap of both teams aiming to play direct football might lead to an open match, where each side can find the net. A 57% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% likelihood of both teams scoring support the notion of a lively encounter.
While the most probable scoreline is 1-1 at 11%, Göztepe's edge in expected goals leans toward a slender victory, possibly 2-1. For those seeking value, the over 2.5 goals market, indicated at 57%, aligns well with the game's dynamics and could be worth considering for a bet at odds suggesting at least even money or better.
GöztepeForm LDDWW
League ranking xG #3xGA #15xT #13xP/match #4Points #13
Key players
- Rhaldney Norberto Simião GomesCMxG 0.10 · xT 0.07
- André Henrique da Silva MartinsFxG 0.59 · xT 0.04
- Novatus MiroshiCMxG 0.26 · xT 0.05
ÇorumForm WWLWW
League ranking xG #9xGA #8xT #5xP/match #9Points #7
Key players
- Alexandros KyziridisLWxG 0.41 · xT 0.23
- Ylber RamadaniCDMxG 0.01 · xT 0.02
- Cengiz UnderRWxG 0.21 · xT 0.16
Match prediction: Göztepe – Çorum
Predicted score matrix
Çorum →
Göztepe →
0
1
2
3
4+
0
0–05.5%
0–16.2%
0–24.2%
0–31.8%
0–4+0.8%
1
1–08.4%
1–111.4%
1–27.1%
1–33.0%
1–4+1.3%
2
2–07.4%
2–19.4%
2–26.0%
2–32.5%
2–4+1.1%
3
3–04.2%
3–15.3%
3–23.4%
3–31.4%
3–4+0.6%
4+
4+–02.6%
4+–13.3%
4+–22.1%
4+–30.9%
4+–4+0.4%
Most likely scorelines
- 1.1-111%
- 2.2-19%
- 3.1-08%
- 4.2-07%
- 5.1-27%
Expected goals
1,69–1,28
Both teams to score
59%
Over/under goals
Expected goals: 3,00
115%
223%
322%
417%
5+18%
Under 2,543%
@2.09
Over 2,557%
@1.88EV+7%
Ready-made bet suggestions
More combos & build your own →02 · 3 legs
Balanced
- Double chance Göztepe or draw (1X)71%
- Over 2.5 goals57%
- André Henrique da Silva Martins to score22%
03 · 4 legs
Bold
- Both teams to score59%
- Over 2.5 goals57%
- Alexandros Kyziridis to score31%
- Ylber Ramadani to be booked25%
Odds & value
The model's value spots
Bets where the model's probability beats what the odds imply (EV+).
- Over 2.557% probability@1.88PinnacleEV+7%reference odds
| Bookmaker | 1 · Göztepe | X | 2 · Çorum |
|---|---|---|---|
| Betsafe | 2.20 | 3.35 | 3.10 |
| LeoVegas | 2.20 | 3.40 | 3.00 |
| Nordicbet | 2.20 | 3.35 | 3.10 |
| Pinnacle | 2.27 | 3.37 | 3.35 |
Odds updated 25 Oct, 10:36
Odds movement
Market signal
The market has moved clearly towards under 2.5 goals since 23 October — the odds have shortened from 2.24 to 1.98 (−12%).
1+4 %
48 %38 %
2.18 → 2.27
X-6 %
32 %22 %
3.57 → 3.37
2+6 %
34 %24 %
3.17 → 3.35
Over 2,5+14 %
60 %50 %
1.65 → 1.88
Pinnacle · 7 recorded price levels · 23/10/2026 → 25/10/2026 · fixed scale 10 percentage points
Statistics
Solid line = created (xG), dashed = conceded (xGA).
Göztepe
Çorum
Göztepe (17–16)
Çorum (18–13)
Last 5 matches. Circle size = pass volume, line width = combinations between players. Attacking left to right.
Göztepe
Çorum
The same network weighted by offensive threat (xT): circle size = threat created by the player, line width = threat of the combinations. Last 5 matches, attacking left to right.
Göztepe
Çorum
The teams in numbers
| Performance | Göztepe | Çorum |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 9 | 13 |
| xPoints | 13.4 | 11.1 |
| xG per match | 2 | 1.2 |
| xGA per match | 1.7 | 1.3 |
| xG within 8s of winning the ball | 0.28 | 0.17 |
| xGA within 8s of losing the ball | 0.32 | 0.15 |
| Playing style | Göztepe | Çorum |
|---|---|---|
| Build-up efficiency | 0.36 | 0.33 |
| Field tilt | 0.4 | 0.52 |
| xT per match | 0.84 | 1 |
| xTA per match | 0.84 | 1.1 |
| Won balls, offensive half | 35 | 21 |
| Pressing intensity | 0.22 | 0.22 |
| Pressing efficiency | 0.32 | 0.25 |
| Pressing efficiency, offensive half | 0.31 | 0.21 |
| Entries into the box per match | 12 | 10 |
| Entries into the box against | 12 | 13 |
| Pass completion % | 0.64 | 0.82 |
| Pass completion % under pressure | 0.62 | 0.77 |
| Passes per match | 207 | 425 |
| Passes against per match | 348 | 363 |
| Switches of play per match | 16.5 | 38 |
| Long balls per match | 28 | 41 |
| Set pieces | Göztepe | Çorum |
|---|---|---|
| xG from free kicks | 0.03 | 0 |
| Corners per match | 4.8 | 4.2 |
| Corners against per match | 4.7 | 5.9 |
| xG per corner | 0.05 | 0.02 |
| xGA per corner against | 0.02 | 0.03 |
| First touch, offensive corners % | 0.49 | 0.38 |
| First touch, defensive corners % | 0.63 | 0.49 |
| Other | Göztepe | Çorum |
|---|---|---|
| Throw-in control | 0.71 | 0.63 |
| The goalkeepers | Arda Ozcimen (Göztepe) | Marcos Felipe de Freitas Monteiro (Çorum) |
|---|---|---|
| Saves | 13 | 27 |
| Save % | 72% | 68% |
| xG prevented | 35% | 44% |
| Claims | 0 (0%) | 0 (0%) |
Teams & more matches this round
Frequently asked questions
Who wins Göztepe vs Çorum according to our model?
The model gives Göztepe a 43% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Göztepe 43%, draw 27%, Çorum 30%.
What is the most likely scoreline?
The model's most likely final score is 1-1 at 11% probability.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The model rates over 2.5 goals at 57% and under at 43%.
Will both teams score?
The probability of both teams scoring is 59% according to the model.
How many goals are expected in Göztepe vs Çorum?
The model expects 1.69 goals (xG) for Göztepe and 1.28 for Çorum, 2.97 in total.
What does the model say about double chance?
Göztepe or draw (1X) 70%, Çorum or draw (X2) 57% and no draw (12) 73%.
Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?
The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.
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Hämta bonusPredictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.