01 · 2 legs
Safe
- Landskrona BoIS to win50%
- Over 1.5 goals78%
Swedish SuperettanLandskrona IP, Landskrona13°9,1 mm40 km/h
Läs på svenska
Landskrona BoISPossession controlvs
Varbergs BoISCounter-attacks & crossesThe model's lean: 1 · Landskrona BoIS (50%)
Landskrona BoIS vs Varbergs BoIS · Swedish Superettan
1 · Landskrona BoIS 50%X 24%26% Varbergs BoIS · 2
50%
24%
26%
Prediction summary
BetBuilders AI model prediction for Landskrona BoIS vs Varbergs BoIS (Swedish Superettan, Tuesday, 27 October 2026): Landskrona BoIS win 50%, draw 24%, Varbergs BoIS win 26%. Expected goals (xG): Landskrona BoIS 1.80, Varbergs BoIS 1.06. Most likely score: 1-1 (11%). Over 2.5 goals 55%, both teams to score 55%. Double chance: Landskrona BoIS or draw 74%, Varbergs BoIS or draw 50%. Prediction updated Tuesday, 20 October 2026.
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Analysis: Landskrona BoIS – Varbergs BoIS
Sofia Andersson · · The model's read on the match · How the predictions work
The critical number here is 1.80: Landskrona's expected goals against Varbergs' 1.06. Despite trailing by two points in the standings, the hosts are favored both by the model and their xPoint superiority. This suggests Landskrona's current form is stronger than their table position implies. With a playing style focused on possession control, they could dominate the tempo, minimizing Varbergs' counter-attacking threats.
Head-to-head data, with only five encounters, offers limited insight. However, Varbergs' reliance on crosses might struggle against a team that has maintained scoring consistency over 11 league matches. The model places a slight edge on a 1-1 or 1-0 outcome, indicating a potential tight contest, but Landskrona's offensive profile hints at a higher scoring potential.
The over 2.5 goals probability at 55% aligns with the fixture's history of averaging 4.2 goals. But the sharper angle here is backing Landskrona's win at 50% implied probability. As they look to leverage both form and calculated expectation, the numbers favor the hosts subtly but clearly.
Landskrona BoISForm LWWWL
League ranking xG #2xGA #4xT #7xP/match #4Points #5
Key players
- Gustaf BruzeliusRBxG 0.07 · xT 0.19
- Constantino CapotondiLWxG 0.24 · xT 0.36
- Tobias KarlssonCBxG 0.07 · xT 0.10
Varbergs BoISForm DLWWD
League ranking xG #10xGA #11xT #10xP/match #11Points #3
Key players
- Albin WinboCAMxG 0.12 · xT 0.39
- Gustav BromanCBxG 0.06 · xT 0.11
- Erion SadikuCDMxG 0.03 · xT 0.12
Match prediction: Landskrona BoIS – Varbergs BoIS
Predicted score matrix
Varbergs BoIS →
Landskrona BoIS →
0
1
2
3
4+
0
0–06.0%
0–15.7%
0–23.2%
0–31.1%
0–4+0.4%
1
1–09.9%
1–111.2%
1–25.8%
1–32.1%
1–4+0.7%
2
2–09.2%
2–19.8%
2–25.2%
2–31.9%
2–4+0.6%
3
3–05.6%
3–15.9%
3–23.1%
3–31.1%
3–4+0.4%
4+
4+–03.8%
4+–14.0%
4+–22.1%
4+–30.8%
4+–4+0.3%
Most likely scorelines
- 1.1-111%
- 2.1-010%
- 3.2-110%
- 4.2-09%
- 5.0-06%
Expected goals
1,80–1,06
Both teams to score
55%
Over/under goals
Expected goals: 2,90
116%
224%
322%
416%
5+16%
Under 2,545%
@2.10
Over 2,555%
@1.68
Ready-made bet suggestions
More combos & build your own →02 · 3 legs
Balanced
- Landskrona BoIS to win50%
- Over 2.5 goals55%
- Constantino Capotondi to score32%
03 · 4 legs
Bold
- Both teams to score55%
- Over 2.5 goals55%
- Constantino Capotondi to score32%
- Erion Sadiku to be booked22%
Odds & value
| Bookmaker | 1 · Landskrona BoIS | X | 2 · Varbergs BoIS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Betsafe | 1.99 | 3.69 | 3.45 |
| LeoVegas | 1.95 | 3.60 | 3.30 |
| Nordicbet | 1.99 | 3.69 | 3.45 |
Odds updated 22 Oct, 03:37
Odds movement
1-3 %
49 %44 %
2.02 → 1.95
X-3 %
27 %22 %
3.70 → 3.60
2+6 %
31 %26 %
3.10 → 3.30
Over 2,50 %
58 %53 %
1.64 → 1.64
LeoVegas · 7 recorded price levels · 20/10/2026 → 22/10/2026 · fixed scale 5 percentage points
Statistics
Head-to-head
5 matchesLandskrona BoIS 2Draw 1Varbergs BoIS 2
Goals: 9–12 (⌀ 4,2)
Head-to-head based on Superettan data since 2024.
Key facts
- A high-scoring fixture: 4.2 goals per meeting on average.
- Landskrona BoIS have scored in 11 consecutive league matches.
Solid line = created (xG), dashed = conceded (xGA).
Landskrona BoIS
Varbergs BoIS
Landskrona BoIS (45–32)
Varbergs BoIS (45–34)
Last 5 matches. Circle size = pass volume, line width = combinations between players. Attacking left to right.
Landskrona BoIS
Varbergs BoIS
The same network weighted by offensive threat (xT): circle size = threat created by the player, line width = threat of the combinations. Last 5 matches, attacking left to right.
Landskrona BoIS
Varbergs BoIS
The teams in numbers
| Performance | Landskrona BoIS | Varbergs BoIS |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 43 | 45 |
| xPoints | 39.6 | 34.5 |
| xG per match | 1.6 | 1.3 |
| xGA per match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| xG within 8s of winning the ball | 0.23 | 0.35 |
| xGA within 8s of losing the ball | 0.28 | 0.22 |
| Playing style | Landskrona BoIS | Varbergs BoIS |
|---|---|---|
| Build-up efficiency | 0.32 | 0.33 |
| Field tilt | 0.58 | 0.43 |
| xT per match | 1.5 | 1.5 |
| xTA per match | 1.3 | 1.4 |
| Won balls, offensive half | 30 | 36 |
| Pressing intensity | 0.57 | 0.58 |
| Pressing efficiency | 0.28 | 0.26 |
| Pressing efficiency, offensive half | 0.28 | 0.27 |
| Entries into the box per match | 17 | 15 |
| Entries into the box against | 13 | 14 |
| Pass completion % | 0.82 | 0.74 |
| Pass completion % under pressure | 0.77 | 0.7 |
| Passes per match | 439 | 305 |
| Passes against per match | 330 | 377 |
| Switches of play per match | 14 | 19.8 |
| Long balls per match | 31 | 35 |
| Set pieces | Landskrona BoIS | Varbergs BoIS |
|---|---|---|
| xG from free kicks | 0.2 | 0.12 |
| Corners per match | 5.5 | 5.2 |
| Corners against per match | 4.5 | 4.9 |
| xG per corner | 0.03 | 0.03 |
| xGA per corner against | 0.02 | 0.03 |
| First touch, offensive corners % | 0.49 | 0.36 |
| First touch, defensive corners % | 0.53 | 0.65 |
| Other | Landskrona BoIS | Varbergs BoIS |
|---|---|---|
| Throw-in control | 0.56 | 0.45 |
| The goalkeepers | Amr Kaddoura (Landskrona BoIS) | Oscar Ekman (Varbergs BoIS) |
|---|---|---|
| Saves | 46 | 41 |
| Save % | 73% | 65% |
| xG prevented | 41% | 40% |
| Claims | 103 (95%) | 84 (94%) |
Teams & more matches this round
Frequently asked questions
Who wins Landskrona BoIS vs Varbergs BoIS according to our model?
The model gives Landskrona BoIS a 50% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Landskrona BoIS 50%, draw 24%, Varbergs BoIS 26%.
What is the most likely scoreline?
The model's most likely final score is 1-1 at 11% probability.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The model rates over 2.5 goals at 55% and under at 45%.
Will both teams score?
The probability of both teams scoring is 55% according to the model.
How many goals are expected in Landskrona BoIS vs Varbergs BoIS?
The model expects 1.80 goals (xG) for Landskrona BoIS and 1.06 for Varbergs BoIS, 2.87 in total.
What does the model say about double chance?
Landskrona BoIS or draw (1X) 74%, Varbergs BoIS or draw (X2) 50% and no draw (12) 76%.
Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?
The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.
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Hämta bonusPredictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.