Norrby vs GIF Sundsvall: Prediction & Odds (20 Jul 2026)

Swedish Superettan20 July 2026 19:00 CESTBorås Arena, Borås16°0,1 mm20 km/h

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Norrby

3–1

The model's lean: 1 · Norrby (41%)

Best value by the model: 2 · GIF Sundsvall @ 3.82 (+18 %)

GIF Sundsvall

1 · Norrby 41%X 29%31% GIF Sundsvall · 2

41%

29%

31%

Final score

3 – 1

The model called the outcome

Predicted probabilities: Norrby 41% · Draw 29% · GIF Sundsvall 31%

Match prediction: Norrby – GIF Sundsvall

Predicted score matrix

GIF Sundsvall →

Norrby →

0–06.8%

0–17.0%

0–24.2%

0–31.6%

0–4+0.6%

1–010.1%

1–112.1%

1–26.7%

1–32.5%

1–4+0.9%

2–08.3%

2–19.4%

2–25.3%

2–32.0%

2–4+0.7%

3–04.4%

3–15.0%

3–22.8%

3–31.1%

3–4+0.4%

4+–02.5%

4+–12.9%

4+–21.6%

4+–30.6%

4+–4+0.2%

Probability per final score. Rows = home goals, columns = away goals.

Most likely scorelines

1.1-112%
2.1-010%
3.2-19%
4.2-08%
5.0-17%

Expected goals

1,60–1,13

Both teams to score

54%

Over/under goals

Expected goals: 2,7

117%

225%

322%

415%

5+14%

Under 2,549%

@1.95

Over 2,551%

@1.95EV+0%

Ready-made bet suggestions

More combos & build your own →

01 · 2 legs

Safe

Double chance Norrby or draw (1X)73%
Over 1.5 goals76%

02 · 2 legs

Balanced

Double chance Norrby or draw (1X)73%
Over 2.5 goals51%

03 · 2 legs

Bold

Both teams to score54%
Over 2.5 goals51%

Odds & value

The model's value spots

Bets where the model's probability beats what the odds imply (EV+).

2 · GIF Sundsvall31% probability@3.82PinnacleEV+18%
2 · GIF Sundsvall31% probability@3.60Bet365EV+11%
X · Draw29% probability@3.58PinnacleEV+3%

Bookmaker	1 · Norrby	X	2 · GIF Sundsvall
Bet365	1.90	3.30	EV+ 11% 3.60
Pinnacle	1.98	EV+ 3% 3.58	EV+ 18% 3.82

Odds updated 20 Jul, 15:53

Odds movement

1+1 %

51 %46 %

1.96 → 1.98

X-1 %

29 %24 %

3.60 → 3.58

2-1 %

27 %22 %

3.86 → 3.82

Over 2,5+2 %

52 %47 %

1.92 → 1.95

Pinnacle · 2 recorded price levels · 20/07/2026 → 20/07/2026 · fixed scale 5 percentage points

Frequently asked questions

Who wins Norrby vs GIF Sundsvall according to our model?

The model gives Norrby a 41% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Norrby 41%, draw 29%, GIF Sundsvall 31%.

What is the most likely scoreline?

The model's most likely final score is 1-1 at 12% probability.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

The model rates over 2.5 goals at 51% and under at 49%.

Will both teams score?

The probability of both teams scoring is 54% according to the model.

Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?

The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.