Swedish SuperettanSödertälje Fotbollsarena, Södertälje

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    Nordic UnitedNordic United
    20
    The model's lean: 1 · Nordic United (58%)
    Örebro SKÖrebro SK

    Nordic UnitedÖrebro SK · Swedish Superettan

    1 · Nordic United 58%X 22%20% Örebro SK · 2
    Final score
    20
    The model called the outcome
    Predicted probabilities: Nordic United 58% · Draw 22% · Örebro SK 20%

    Match prediction: Nordic UnitedÖrebro SK

    Predicted score matrix

    Örebro SK
    Nordic United
    0
    1
    2
    3
    4+
    0
    0–05.2%
    0–14.8%
    0–22.6%
    0–30.9%
    0–4+0.3%
    1
    1–09.5%
    1–110.3%
    1–25.2%
    1–31.8%
    1–4+0.6%
    2
    2–09.7%
    2–110.0%
    2–25.1%
    2–31.8%
    2–4+0.6%
    3
    3–06.4%
    3–16.6%
    3–23.4%
    3–31.2%
    3–4+0.4%
    4+
    4+–04.9%
    4+–15.1%
    4+–22.6%
    4+–30.9%
    4+–4+0.3%
    Probability per final score. Rows = home goals, columns = away goals.

    Most likely scorelines

    1. 1.1-110%
    2. 2.2-110%
    3. 3.2-010%
    4. 4.1-09%
    5. 5.3-17%
    Expected goals
    1,981,03
    Both teams to score
    56%

    Over/under goals

    Expected goals: 3,0
    Under 2,542%
    @2.10
    Over 2,558%
    @1.70

    Ready-made bet suggestions

    More combos & build your own

    01 · 2 legs

    Safe

    • Nordic United to win58%
    • Over 1.5 goals80%

    Combined probability

    49%

    Fair odds

    2.02

    Two legs pulling the same way — the probability is computed exactly from the score matrix, not multiplied.

    02 · 2 legs

    Balanced

    • Nordic United to win58%
    • Over 2.5 goals58%

    Combined probability

    40%

    Fair odds

    2.51

    Result and goals are priced jointly from the matrix; the scorer is the model's most likely in the picked side.

    03 · 2 legs

    Bold

    • Both teams to score56%
    • Over 2.5 goals58%

    Combined probability

    45%

    Fair odds

    2.20

    The goal-fest: both teams score with at least three goals — combined with the match's most likely scorer and card candidate.

    Odds & value

    The model's value spots

    Bets where the model's probability beats what the odds imply (EV+).

    • 1 · Nordic United58% probability@1.91Bet365EV+11%
    Bookmaker1 · Nordic UnitedX2 · Örebro SK
    Bet365
    EV+ 11%
    1.91
    3.403.40

    Odds updated 19 Jul, 16:08

    Odds movement

    1+9 %
    52 %47 %

    1.751.91

    X-3 %
    29 %24 %

    3.503.40

    2-13 %
    27 %22 %

    3.903.40

    Over 2,50 %
    58 %53 %

    1.701.70

    Bet365 · 2 recorded price levels · 19/07/2026 → 19/07/2026 · fixed scale 5 percentage points

    Frequently asked questions

    Who wins Nordic United vs Örebro SK according to our model?

    The model gives Nordic United a 58% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Nordic United 58%, draw 22%, Örebro SK 20%.

    What is the most likely scoreline?

    The model's most likely final score is 1-1 at 10% probability.

    Over or under 2.5 goals?

    The model rates over 2.5 goals at 58% and under at 42%.

    Will both teams score?

    The probability of both teams scoring is 56% according to the model.

    Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?

    The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.

    More matches in the league

    Predictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.