Swedish SuperettanFalcon Alkoholfri Arena, Falkenberg18°23 km/h

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    FalkenbergFalkenberg
    23
    The model's lean: 1 · Falkenberg (48%)
    Helsingborgs IFHelsingborgs IF

    FalkenbergHelsingborgs IF · Swedish Superettan

    1 · Falkenberg 48%X 25%27% Helsingborgs IF · 2
    Final score
    23
    The model missed the outcome
    Predicted probabilities: Falkenberg 48% · Draw 25% · Helsingborgs IF 27%

    Match prediction: FalkenbergHelsingborgs IF

    Predicted score matrix

    Helsingborgs IF
    Falkenberg
    0
    1
    2
    3
    4+
    0
    0–04.4%
    0–15.0%
    0–23.4%
    0–31.5%
    0–4+0.6%
    1
    1–07.5%
    1–110.4%
    1–26.5%
    1–32.8%
    1–4+1.2%
    2
    2–07.4%
    2–19.6%
    2–26.2%
    2–32.7%
    2–4+1.1%
    3
    3–04.7%
    3–16.1%
    3–23.9%
    3–31.7%
    3–4+0.7%
    4+
    4+–03.4%
    4+–14.4%
    4+–22.9%
    4+–31.2%
    4+–4+0.5%
    Probability per final score. Rows = home goals, columns = away goals.

    Most likely scorelines

    1. 1.1-110%
    2. 2.2-110%
    3. 3.1-08%
    4. 4.2-07%
    5. 5.1-27%
    Expected goals
    1,901,29
    Both teams to score
    62%

    Over/under goals

    Expected goals: 3,2
    Under 2,538%
    @2.25
    Over 2,562%
    @1.61

    Ready-made bet suggestions

    More combos & build your own

    01 · 2 legs

    Safe

    • Falkenberg to win48%
    • Over 1.5 goals83%

    Combined probability

    44%

    Fair odds

    2.29

    Two legs pulling the same way — the probability is computed exactly from the score matrix, not multiplied.

    02 · 2 legs

    Balanced

    • Falkenberg to win48%
    • Over 2.5 goals62%

    Combined probability

    36%

    Fair odds

    2.76

    Result and goals are priced jointly from the matrix; the scorer is the model's most likely in the picked side.

    03 · 2 legs

    Bold

    • Both teams to score62%
    • Over 2.5 goals62%

    Combined probability

    52%

    Fair odds

    1.94

    The goal-fest: both teams score with at least three goals — combined with the match's most likely scorer and card candidate.

    Odds & value

    Bookmaker1 · FalkenbergX2 · Helsingborgs IF
    Bet3652.003.503.00
    Pinnacle2.093.503.54

    Odds updated 21 Jul, 15:53

    Odds movement

    10 %
    48 %43 %

    2.092.09

    X+7 %
    31 %26 %

    3.273.50

    2-2 %
    29 %24 %

    3.603.54

    Pinnacle · 7 recorded price levels · 20/07/2026 → 21/07/2026 · fixed scale 5 percentage points

    Frequently asked questions

    Who wins Falkenberg vs Helsingborgs IF according to our model?

    The model gives Falkenberg a 48% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Falkenberg 48%, draw 25%, Helsingborgs IF 27%.

    What is the most likely scoreline?

    The model's most likely final score is 1-1 at 10% probability.

    Over or under 2.5 goals?

    The model rates over 2.5 goals at 62% and under at 38%.

    Will both teams score?

    The probability of both teams scoring is 62% according to the model.

    Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?

    The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.

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    Predictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.