Swedish SuperettanFinnvedsvallen, Värnamo

    Läs på svenska
    IFK VärnamoIFK Värnamo
    2–3
    The model's lean: 2 · Ljungskile (43%)
    LjungskileLjungskile

    IFK Värnamo – Ljungskile · Swedish Superettan

    1 · IFK Värnamo 33%X 24%43% Ljungskile · 2
    Final score
    2 – 3
    The model called the outcome
    Predicted probabilities: IFK Värnamo 33% · Draw 24% · Ljungskile 43%

    Match prediction: IFK Värnamo – Ljungskile

    Predicted score matrix

    Ljungskile →
    IFK Värnamo →
    0
    1
    2
    3
    4+
    0
    0–06.3%
    0–18.8%
    0–26.9%
    0–33.5%
    0–4+1.9%
    1
    1–07.4%
    1–112.1%
    1–29.0%
    1–34.5%
    1–4+2.4%
    2
    2–05.0%
    2–17.6%
    2–25.8%
    2–32.9%
    2–4+1.6%
    3
    3–02.2%
    3–13.3%
    3–22.5%
    3–31.3%
    3–4+0.7%
    4+
    4+–00.9%
    4+–11.4%
    4+–21.1%
    4+–30.5%
    4+–4+0.3%
    Probability per final score. Rows = home goals, columns = away goals.

    Most likely scorelines

    1. 1.1-112%
    2. 2.1-29%
    3. 3.0-19%
    4. 4.2-18%
    5. 5.1-07%
    Expected goals
    1,30–1,52
    Both teams to score
    57%

    Over/under goals

    Expected goals: 2,8
    Under 2,547%
    @2.10
    Over 2,553%
    @1.70

    Ready-made bet suggestions

    More combos & build your own →

    01 · 2 legs

    Safe

    • Double chance Ljungskile or draw (X2)68%
    • Over 1.5 goals78%

    Combined probability

    53%

    Fair odds

    1.89

    Two legs pulling the same way — the probability is computed exactly from the score matrix, not multiplied.

    02 · 2 legs

    Balanced

    • Double chance Ljungskile or draw (X2)68%
    • Over 2.5 goals53%

    Combined probability

    34%

    Fair odds

    2.95

    Result and goals are priced jointly from the matrix; the scorer is the model's most likely in the picked side.

    03 · 2 legs

    Bold

    • Both teams to score57%
    • Over 2.5 goals53%

    Combined probability

    45%

    Fair odds

    2.22

    The goal-fest: both teams score with at least three goals — combined with the match's most likely scorer and card candidate.

    Odds & value

    The model's value spots

    Bets where the model's probability beats what the odds imply (EV+).

    • 2 · Ljungskile43% probability@2.45Bet365EV+5%
    Bookmaker1 · IFK VärnamoX2 · Ljungskile
    Bet3652.453.40
    EV+ 5%
    2.45

    Odds updated 19 Jul, 14:04

    Frequently asked questions

    Who wins IFK Värnamo vs Ljungskile according to our model?

    The model gives Ljungskile a 43% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: IFK Värnamo 33%, draw 24%, Ljungskile 43%.

    What is the most likely scoreline?

    The model's most likely final score is 1-1 at 12% probability.

    Over or under 2.5 goals?

    The model rates over 2.5 goals at 53% and under at 47%.

    Will both teams score?

    The probability of both teams scoring is 57% according to the model.

    Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?

    The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.

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    Predictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.