01 · 2 legs
Safe
- Inter to win70%
- Over 1.5 goals88%
Serie AStadio Pier Luigi Penzo, Venezia13°8 km/h
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VeneziaPossession controlvs
InterPossession & high pressThe model's lean: 2 · Inter (70%)Best value by the model: 1 · Venezia @ 8.20 (+19 %)
Venezia vs Inter · Serie A
1 · Venezia 15%X 15%70% Inter · 2
15%
15%
70%
Prediction summary
BetBuilders AI model prediction for Venezia vs Inter (Serie A, Wednesday, 28 October 2026): Venezia win 15%, draw 15%, Inter win 70%. Expected goals (xG): Venezia 1.05, Inter 2.61. Most likely score: 1-2 (9%). Over 2.5 goals 71%, both teams to score 61%. Double chance: Venezia or draw 30%, Inter or draw 85%. Prediction updated Tuesday, 20 October 2026.
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Analysis: Venezia – Inter
Marcus Johansson · · Analysis from the match model · How the predictions work
Inter Milan's 70% probability of victory sets the tone for their clash against Venezia. The visitors not only boast an unbeaten streak of 17 league matches but have also found the net in their last 11. This attacking consistency, alongside their 2.61 expected goals, suggests a strong offensive output. Meanwhile, Venezia, with a model probability of just 15% to win, will struggle to control the game despite their possession-oriented approach.
Venezia's defensive frailties, highlighted by their 2.1 expected goals against per match, could prove costly against Inter's high-press strategy. The most probable scorelines of 1-2 and 0-2 reflect this dynamic, aligning with the model's lean towards the visitors. The small two-match head-to-head sample since 2021, both won by Inter, holds less weight than the current xG discrepancy favoring the visitors.
While Inter Milan are clear favorites, value hunters might consider Nordicbet's 8.9 odds for a Venezia upset, which offers a 29% edge over the model's 15% win probability. However, given the 71% chance of over 2.5 goals, the more prudent focus could be on a goal-heavy encounter, with Inter likely to extend their scoring streak.
VeneziaForm LLLLW
League ranking xG #9xGA #20xT #11xP/match #17Points #20
Key players
- Enrique Pérez MuñozCAMxG 0.01 · xT 0.13
- Antoine HainautRWBxG 0.11 · xT 0.25
- Toma BašićCAMxG 0.04 · xT 0.30
InterForm WWDWW
League ranking xG #1xGA #4xT #2xP/match #2Points #1
Key players
- Alessandro BastoniCBxG 0.05 · xT 0.19
- Federico DimarcoLWBxG 0.18 · xT 0.43
- Benjamin Jacques Marcel PavardCBxG 0.02 · xT 0.13
Match prediction: Venezia – Inter
Predicted score matrix
Inter →
Venezia →
0
1
2
3
4+
0
0–02.8%
0–16.5%
0–28.7%
0–37.6%
0–4+9.3%
1
1–02.5%
1–17.3%
1–29.2%
1–38.0%
1–4+9.8%
2
2–01.4%
2–13.7%
2–24.8%
2–34.2%
2–4+5.1%
3
3–00.5%
3–11.3%
3–21.7%
3–31.5%
3–4+1.8%
4+
4+–00.2%
4+–10.4%
4+–20.6%
4+–30.5%
4+–4+0.6%
Most likely scorelines
- 1.1-29%
- 2.0-29%
- 3.1-38%
- 4.0-38%
- 5.1-17%
Expected goals
1,05–2,61
Both teams to score
61%
Over/under goals
Expected goals: 3,70
19%
217%
321%
419%
5+31%
Under 2,529%
@3.37
Over 2,571%
@1.33
Ready-made bet suggestions
More combos & build your own →02 · 3 legs
Balanced
- Inter to win70%
- Over 2.5 goals71%
- Marcus Lilian Thuram-Ulien to score28%
03 · 4 legs
Bold
- Both teams to score61%
- Over 2.5 goals71%
- Marcus Lilian Thuram-Ulien to score28%
- Gianluca Cristiano Busio to be booked24%
Odds & value
The model's value spots
Bets where the model's probability beats what the odds imply (EV+).
- 1 · Venezia15% probability@8.20NordicbetEV+19%reference odds
- 1 · Venezia15% probability@8.10BetsafeEV+18%reference odds
- 1 · Venezia15% probability@7.00LeoVegasEV+2%reference odds
| Bookmaker | 1 · Venezia | X | 2 · Inter |
|---|---|---|---|
| Betsafe | EV+ 18% 8.10 | 5.70 | 1.32 |
| LeoVegas | EV+ 2% 7.00 | 5.75 | 1.33 |
| Nordicbet | EV+ 19% 8.20 | 5.75 | 1.32 |
Odds updated 26 Oct, 09:36
Odds movement
10 %
15 %10 %
7.00 → 7.00
X0 %
19 %14 %
5.75 → 5.75
20 %
74 %69 %
1.33 → 1.33
Over 2,5+3 %
74 %69 %
1.30 → 1.33
LeoVegas · 33 recorded price levels · 20/10/2026 → 26/10/2026 · fixed scale 5 percentage points
Statistics
Head-to-head
2 matchesVenezia 0Draw 0Inter 2
Goals: 0–2 (⌀ 1)
Head-to-head based on Serie A data since 2021.
Key facts
- Inter Milan are unbeaten in their last 17 league matches.
- Inter Milan have scored in 11 consecutive league matches.
Solid line = created (xG), dashed = conceded (xGA).
Venezia
Inter
Venezia (6–16)
Inter (21–9)
Last 5 matches. Circle size = pass volume, line width = combinations between players. Attacking left to right.
Venezia
Inter
The same network weighted by offensive threat (xT): circle size = threat created by the player, line width = threat of the combinations. Last 5 matches, attacking left to right.
Venezia
Inter
The teams in numbers
| Performance | Venezia | Inter |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 3 | 19 |
| xPoints | 7.1 | 12.8 |
| xG per match | 1.5 | 2.7 |
| xGA per match | 2.1 | 1.1 |
| xG within 8s of winning the ball | 0.27 | 0.41 |
| xGA within 8s of losing the ball | 0.28 | 0.25 |
| Playing style | Venezia | Inter |
|---|---|---|
| Build-up efficiency | 0.31 | 0.31 |
| Field tilt | 0.55 | 0.71 |
| xT per match | 1.1 | 1.7 |
| xTA per match | 1.3 | 0.8 |
| Won balls, offensive half | 24 | 27 |
| Pressing intensity | 0.25 | 0.24 |
| Pressing efficiency | 0.27 | 0.29 |
| Pressing efficiency, offensive half | 0.22 | 0.29 |
| Entries into the box per match | 11 | 22 |
| Entries into the box against | 14 | 8 |
| Pass completion % | 0.79 | 0.86 |
| Pass completion % under pressure | 0.72 | 0.81 |
| Passes per match | 415 | 576 |
| Passes against per match | 354 | 311 |
| Switches of play per match | 28.6 | 40.6 |
| Long balls per match | 33 | 43 |
| Set pieces | Venezia | Inter |
|---|---|---|
| xG from free kicks | 0.03 | 0.03 |
| Corners per match | 3.7 | 5.8 |
| Corners against per match | 5.2 | 3.5 |
| xG per corner | 0.04 | 0.07 |
| xGA per corner against | 0.06 | 0.03 |
| First touch, offensive corners % | 0.54 | 0.55 |
| First touch, defensive corners % | 0.36 | 0.62 |
| Other | Venezia | Inter |
|---|---|---|
| Throw-in control | 0.68 | 0.81 |
| The goalkeepers | Filip Stanković (Venezia) | Josep Martinez (Inter) |
|---|---|---|
| Saves | 34 | 18 |
| Save % | 69% | 67% |
| xG prevented | 48% | 57% |
| Claims | 0 (0%) | 0 (0%) |
Teams & more matches this round
Frequently asked questions
Who wins Venezia vs Inter according to our model?
The model gives Inter a 70% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Venezia 15%, draw 15%, Inter 70%.
What is the most likely scoreline?
The model's most likely final score is 1-2 at 9% probability.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The model rates over 2.5 goals at 71% and under at 29%.
Will both teams score?
The probability of both teams scoring is 61% according to the model.
How many goals are expected in Venezia vs Inter?
The model expects 1.05 goals (xG) for Venezia and 2.61 for Inter, 3.66 in total.
What does the model say about double chance?
Venezia or draw (1X) 30%, Inter or draw (X2) 85% and no draw (12) 85%.
Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?
The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.
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Hämta bonusPredictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.