Croatian HNL: Predictions, Odds & Tips
Läs på svenskaModel-based predictions for the Croatian HNL — Dinamo Zagreb, Hajduk Split, Rijeka and the rest of the Croatian top flight, analysed by the same match model that powers PlaymakerAI. Ahead of every round the model computes 1X2 probabilities, a full score matrix, expected goals and over/under lines, built from hundreds of data points per team: strength, form, playing style, squad and weather.
The predictions are held against live odds from multiple bookmakers, with positive expected value (EV+) flagged where the model’s probability beats the implied odds. Played matches are graded openly — hit or miss — and everything updates continuously until kickoff.
Upcoming matches
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League table2026/27
| Pos | Team | P | S | W–D–L | GF–GA | xP | xG | xGA | xGD | FT | Style |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Dinamo Zagreb | 16 | 7 | 5–1–1 | 17–9 | 14,5 | 17,5 | 5,4 | +12,1 | 79 % | Possession & high press |
| 2 |  Hajduk Split | 16 | 8 | 5–1–2 | 16–8 | 13,3 | 13,2 | 5,3 | +7,9 | 72 % | Possession & high press |
| 3 |  Osijek | 16 | 8 | 5–1–2 | 17–11 | 11,5 | 12,6 | 11,2 | +1,4 | 48 % | Possession control |
| 4 |  Varaždin | 15 | 8 | 4–3–1 | 13–7 | 12,8 | 9,6 | 7,1 | +2,5 | 47 % | Counter-attacks & crosses |
| 5 |  Rijeka | 14 | 7 | 4–2–1 | 13–7 | 13,1 | 12,2 | 4,3 | +7,9 | 80 % | Possession & high press |
| 6 |  Istra 1961 | 9 | 8 | 2–3–3 | 14–13 | 11,9 | 10,9 | 10,5 | +0,4 | 44 % | Possession & high press |
| 7 |  Lokomotiva Zagreb | 7 | 8 | 2–1–5 | 11–16 | 8,2 | 8,1 | 15,0 | −6,9 | 29 % | Low block & direct |
| 8 |  Slaven Belupo | 7 | 8 | 2–1–5 | 7–16 | 8,5 | 7,6 | 14,1 | −6,5 | 38 % | Low block & direct |
| 9 |  Gorica | 5 | 8 | 1–2–5 | 5–12 | 8,6 | 6,7 | 13,0 | −6,3 | 31 % | Low block & direct |
| 10 |  Rudeš | 4 | 8 | 1–1–6 | 10–24 | 5,4 | 5,0 | 17,7 | −12,7 | 36 % | Low block & direct |
Latest articles
All articles
2026-09-18 · 3 min
Kronas hundring: this week's triples (week 38)
In week 38, Krona's hundred kronor ended on minus twenty kronor after the safe triple (AZ Alkmaar, Dinamo Zagreb and Sporting Lissabon at total odds of 1.84) delivered a win, while the shot with Sparta Rotterdam, Venezia–Lazio and Machida Zelvia failed. The bankroll still stands at 1043 kronor after ten triples and five wins, giving an ROI of four percent.
2026-09-11 · 3 min
Krona's century: this week's triples (week 37)
The columnist reports that the betting fund now stands at 1063 kronor after last week's "safe treble" gave a net profit of four kronor, which gives a total ROI of eight percent after eight tripples played. This week's new safe treble bets on home wins for Ajax against Willem II, Bodo/Glimt against Sandefjord and Hajduk Split against Slaven Belupo Koprivnica.
2026-09-04 · 2 min
League Pulse w.36: Croatia 1. HNL, 2026
Osijek leads the Croatian league after a strong start and exceeds their expected points, while Dinamo Zagreb impresses with high ball possession and Dion Drena Beljo as the team's key player. In this weekend's round, Rijeka and Osijek face each other, Dinamo Zagreb hosts Gorica as clear favorites, and Hajduk Split looks to have good odds against Rudes.
Played matches
Prediction track recordRijekaDinamo ZagrebIstra 1961VaraždinRudešGoricaHajduk SplitIstra 1961Lokomotiva ZagrebOsijekSlaven BelupoRudešHow the predictions work
Every prediction comes from PlaymakerAI's match model — the same data platform professional clubs use for scouting and match analysis. The model is trained on event data from hundreds of thousands of matches and weighs over 200 factors per team: strength ratings, current form, playing style, squad player profiles, fixture congestion, travel and even matchday weather.
For each fixture the model produces a full goal distribution. From it we derive the 1X2 probabilities, the score matrix, expected goals, over/under lines and both-teams-to-score. Predictions are frozen before kickoff and never changed afterwards — once a match finishes we grade it openly, hit or miss.
Odds are collected continuously from several bookmakers. When the model's probability for an outcome exceeds what the odds imply, we flag it as value (EV+). That is the model's assessment, not a guarantee: even positive-EV bets lose often. Gamble responsibly.
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Hämta bonusCroatian HNL FAQ
Where do I find Croatian HNL predictions?
Right here: every match in the Croatian HNL has its own analysis with 1X2 probabilities, most likely scoreline, over/under and value against current odds. Pick a match from the upcoming list — predictions are refreshed before every round and graded openly afterwards.
How are the Croatian HNL predictions made?
Each match is replayed thousands of times in the model using hundreds of metrics per team — expected goals, pressing, expected threat, field tilt, form and squad. The output is a probability for every scoreline, which is then compared with bookmaker odds to find value.
What is the xP table?
xP means expected points: how many points each team should have taken given the quality of chances created and conceded. The gap between xP and the real table shows which the Croatian HNL teams are over- and underrated right now.
Which teams play in Croatian HNL 2026/27?
Croatian HNL 2026/27 has 10 teams: Dinamo Zagreb, Hajduk Split, Osijek, Varaždin, Rijeka, Istra 1961, Lokomotiva Zagreb, Slaven Belupo, Gorica, Rudeš.
Predictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.