Eredivisie: Predictions, Odds & Tips

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    Model-based predictions for Eredivisie — every fixture in the Eredivisie is analysed by the same match model that powers PlaymakerAI. Ahead of each round the model computes 1X2 probabilities, a full score matrix, expected goals and over/under lines.

    The predictions are held against live odds, with positive expected value (EV+) flagged where the model's probability beats the implied odds. Played matches are graded openly — hit or miss.

    Upcoming matches

    Odds on the move
    GroningenGroningen
    vs
    PEC ZwollePEC Zwolle
    1 59%X 23%2 18%
    Soft draw
    Sparta RotterdamSparta Rotterdam
    vs
    HeerenveenHeerenveen
    1 39%X 26%2 35%
    ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag
    vs
    CambuurCambuur
    1 49%X 26%2 25%
    Odds on the move
    AjaxAjax
    vs
    ExcelsiorExcelsior
    1 75%X 16%2 9%
    Willem IIWillem II
    vs
    Fortuna SittardFortuna Sittard
    1 48%X 25%2 27%
    Odds on the move
    NECNEC
    vs
    Go Ahead EaglesGo Ahead Eagles
    1 53%X 26%2 21%
    FeyenoordFeyenoord
    vs
    UtrechtUtrecht
    1 71%X 19%2 10%
    AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar
    vs
    TelstarTelstar
    1 84%X 10%2 5%
    TwenteTwente
    vs
    PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven
    1 32%X 25%2 43%

    League table2026/27

    PosTeamPSW–D–LGF–GAxPxGxGAxGDFTStyle
    1PSV Eindhoven1665–1–022–712,217,35,3+12,080 %Possession & high press
    2AZ Alkmaar1665–1–017–611,915,66,2+9,481 %Possession & high press
    3Feyenoord1464–2–020–712,115,55,2+10,372 %Possession & high press
    4Ajax1364–1–119–711,215,76,8+8,980 %Possession & high press
    5Twente1364–1–112–513,116,43,8+12,679 %Possession & high press
    6Go Ahead Eagles1163–2–115–118,510,39,9+0,452 %Possession & high press
    7Excelsior1063–1–213–79,78,87,2+1,648 %Low block & direct
    8Fortuna Sittard1063–1–212–146,64,614,1−9,515 %Low block & direct
    9Groningen862–2–212–137,17,611,1−3,547 %Possession & high press
    10NEC762–1–311–126,910,08,7+1,378 %Possession & high press
    11Heerenveen661–3–27–96,97,69,4−1,849 %Balanced & physical
    12Sparta Rotterdam561–2–310–136,68,813,4−4,631 %Counter-attacks & crosses
    13Telstar561–2–35–116,86,711,9−5,225 %Low block & direct
    14Cambuur461–1–49–186,88,312,0−3,741 %Possession control
    15Utrecht461–1–49–197,47,910,7−2,830 %Counter-attacks & crosses
    16PEC Zwolle461–1–46–175,65,714,6−8,929 %Low block & direct
    17Willem II260–2–46–196,47,015,2−8,220 %Low block & direct
    18ADO Den Haag160–1–56–164,24,012,1−8,134 %Counter-attacks & crosses

    Latest articles

    All articles
    League Pulse w.38: Eredivisie, 2026

    2026-09-19 · 2 min

    League Pulse w.38: Eredivisie, 2026

    PSV Eindhoven leads the Eredivisie with impressive statistics after a 4-1 victory against Sparta Rotterdam, while Feyenoord chases the top after a high-scoring win against PEC Zwolle and aims for continued success against FC Utrecht. AZ Alkmaar is a positive surprise and has good chances of winning against Telstar, while PSV awaits a more even match against Twente.

    Kronas hundring: this week's triples (week 38)

    2026-09-18 · 3 min

    Kronas hundring: this week's triples (week 38)

    In week 38, Krona's hundred kronor ended on minus twenty kronor after the safe triple (AZ Alkmaar, Dinamo Zagreb and Sporting Lissabon at total odds of 1.84) delivered a win, while the shot with Sparta Rotterdam, Venezia–Lazio and Machida Zelvia failed. The bankroll still stands at 1043 kronor after ten triples and five wins, giving an ROI of four percent.

    Hildegard saw it coming – this week's upsets with value 17/9

    2026-09-17 · 3 min

    Hildegard saw it coming – this week's upsets with value 17/9

    The article presents five football tips where the writer identifies value in the odds by analyzing details such as xG statistics, corners, and playing styles that the market seems to have overlooked. Among the tips are Sparta Rotterdam to beat Heerenveen (odds 3.40), Monza to defeat Sassuolo (odds 3.10), and Empoli as an upset candidate against Modena in Serie B (odds 5.37).

    Played matches

    Prediction track record
    AjaxAjax
    5–1
    Willem IIWillem II
    1 82%X 12%2 7%
    The model called the outcome
    ExcelsiorExcelsior
    1–2
    UtrechtUtrecht
    1 40%X 28%2 32%
    The model missed the outcome
    PEC ZwollePEC Zwolle
    0–7
    FeyenoordFeyenoord
    1 12%X 17%2 71%
    The model called the outcome
    PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven
    4–1
    Sparta RotterdamSparta Rotterdam
    1 79%X 12%2 8%
    The model called the outcome
    TwenteTwente
    2–0
    ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag
    1 72%X 17%2 11%
    The model called the outcome
    Fortuna SittardFortuna Sittard
    1–5
    AjaxAjax
    1 14%X 19%2 67%
    The model called the outcome
    Go Ahead EaglesGo Ahead Eagles
    1–1
    GroningenGroningen
    1 36%X 28%2 35%
    The model missed the outcome
    CambuurCambuur
    3–0
    NECNEC
    1 26%X 22%2 52%
    The model missed the outcome
    HeerenveenHeerenveen
    0–0
    TelstarTelstar
    1 59%X 23%2 19%
    The model missed the outcome
    AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar
    1–1
    Willem IIWillem II
    1 79%X 14%2 8%
    The model missed the outcome
    TwenteTwente
    1–0
    TelstarTelstar
    1 81%X 12%2 7%
    The model called the outcome
    HeerenveenHeerenveen
    2–3
    AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar
    1 29%X 25%2 46%
    The model called the outcome

    How the predictions work

    Every prediction comes from PlaymakerAI's match model — the same data platform professional clubs use for scouting and match analysis. The model is trained on event data from hundreds of thousands of matches and weighs over 200 factors per team: strength ratings, current form, playing style, squad player profiles, fixture congestion, travel and even matchday weather.

    For each fixture the model produces a full goal distribution. From it we derive the 1X2 probabilities, the score matrix, expected goals, over/under lines and both-teams-to-score. Predictions are frozen before kickoff and never changed afterwards — once a match finishes we grade it openly, hit or miss.

    Odds are collected continuously from several bookmakers. When the model's probability for an outcome exceeds what the odds imply, we flag it as value (EV+). That is the model's assessment, not a guarantee: even positive-EV bets lose often. Gamble responsibly.

    Eredivisie FAQ

    Where do I find Eredivisie predictions?

    Right here: every match in the Eredivisie has its own analysis with 1X2 probabilities, most likely scoreline, over/under and value against current odds. Pick a match from the upcoming list — predictions are refreshed before every round and graded openly afterwards.

    How are the Eredivisie predictions made?

    Each match is replayed thousands of times in the model using hundreds of metrics per team — expected goals, pressing, expected threat, field tilt, form and squad. The output is a probability for every scoreline, which is then compared with bookmaker odds to find value.

    What is the xP table?

    xP means expected points: how many points each team should have taken given the quality of chances created and conceded. The gap between xP and the real table shows which the Eredivisie teams are over- and underrated right now.

    Which teams play in Eredivisie 2026/27?

    Eredivisie 2026/27 has 18 teams: PSV Eindhoven, AZ Alkmaar, Feyenoord, Ajax, Twente, Go Ahead Eagles, Excelsior, Fortuna Sittard, Groningen, NEC, Heerenveen, Sparta Rotterdam, Telstar, Cambuur, Utrecht, PEC Zwolle, Willem II, ADO Den Haag.

    Predictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.