Bundesliga: Predictions, Odds & Tips

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    Model-based predictions for the Bundesliga — Bayern Munich, Leverkusen, Dortmund and the rest of Germany's high-scoring top flight, analysed by the same match model that powers PlaymakerAI. Ahead of every round the model computes 1X2 probabilities, a full score matrix, expected goals and over/under lines, built from hundreds of data points per team: strength, form, playing style, squad and weather.

    The predictions are held against live odds from multiple bookmakers, with positive expected value (EV+) flagged where the model’s probability beats the implied odds. Played matches are graded openly — hit or miss — and everything updates continuously until kickoff.

    Upcoming matches

    Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund
    vs
    Werder BremenWerder Bremen
    1 65%X 21%2 14%
    HoffenheimHoffenheim
    vs
    Hamburger SVHamburger SV
    1 62%X 22%2 16%
    AugsburgAugsburg
    vs
    Bayern MünchenBayern München
    1 8%X 14%2 78%
    RB LeipzigRB Leipzig
    vs
    Eintracht FrankfurtEintracht Frankfurt
    1 54%X 23%2 23%
    MainzMainz
    vs
    Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen
    1 24%X 23%2 53%
    Soft draw
    Union BerlinUnion Berlin
    vs
    ElversbergElversberg
    1 36%X 28%2 36%
    PaderbornPaderborn
    vs
    StuttgartStuttgart
    1 31%X 23%2 46%
    FC KölnFC Köln
    vs
    Borussia MönchengladbachBorussia Mönchengladbach
    1 41%X 29%2 30%
    FreiburgFreiburg
    vs
    Schalke 04Schalke 04
    1 64%X 22%2 14%

    League table2026/27

    PosTeamPSW–D–LGF–GAxPxGxGAxGDFTStyle
    1Borussia Dortmund1244–0–09–27,57,33,8+3,547 %Possession & high press
    2Bayern München1043–1–014–28,110,62,0+8,688 %Possession & high press
    3Freiburg1043–1–012–37,78,83,0+5,860 %Possession control
    4Augsburg742–1–111–65,97,27,9−0,729 %Counter-attacks & crosses
    5Bayer Leverkusen742–1–110–57,710,33,8+6,569 %Possession & high press
    6Mainz742–1–110–67,19,15,4+3,765 %Possession & high press
    7Elversberg742–1–18–75,65,58,6−3,123 %Low block & direct
    8Werder Bremen742–1–18–85,14,55,9−1,443 %Balanced & physical
    9RB Leipzig642–0–29–56,28,74,9+3,873 %Possession control
    10Eintracht Frankfurt541–2–19–104,46,38,6−2,350 %Counter-attacks & crosses
    11Schalke 04541–2–13–45,24,98,5−3,626 %Low block & direct
    12Paderborn441–1–23–54,63,56,4−2,937 %Possession control
    13FC Köln441–1–26–96,68,16,9+1,243 %Low block & direct
    14Hoffenheim341–0–37–105,16,86,1+0,770 %Counter-attacks & crosses
    15VfB Stuttgart341–0–36–93,35,99,3−3,450 %Low block & direct
    16Hamburger SV341–0–32–133,43,49,3−5,932 %Low block & direct
    17Union Berlin140–1–34–173,24,710,1−5,430 %Low block & direct
    18Borussia Mönchengladbach040–0–46–163,76,711,7−5,042 %Balanced & physical

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    Played matches

    Prediction track record
    PaderbornPaderborn
    3–1
    HoffenheimHoffenheim
    1 32%X 23%2 44%
    The model missed the outcome
    Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen
    2–0
    RB LeipzigRB Leipzig
    1 49%X 23%2 27%
    The model called the outcome
    Schalke 04Schalke 04
    0–0
    ElversbergElversberg
    1 42%X 29%2 29%
    The model missed the outcome
    Borussia MönchengladbachBorussia Mönchengladbach
    3–4
    MainzMainz
    1 30%X 27%2 43%
    The model called the outcome
    Eintracht FrankfurtEintracht Frankfurt
    2–2
    FreiburgFreiburg
    1 37%X 25%2 38%
    The model missed the outcome
    StuttgartStuttgart
    0–1
    Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund
    1 45%X 24%2 30%
    The model missed the outcome
    Hamburger SVHamburger SV
    2–1
    FC KölnFC Köln
    1 38%X 29%2 33%
    The model called the outcome
    Werder BremenWerder Bremen
    3–2
    AugsburgAugsburg
    1 35%X 28%2 37%
    The model missed the outcome
    Bayern MünchenBayern München
    7–0
    Union BerlinUnion Berlin
    1 78%X 14%2 8%
    The model called the outcome
    ElversbergElversberg
    1–2
    Bayern MünchenBayern München
    1 16%X 19%2 64%
    The model called the outcome
    RB LeipzigRB Leipzig
    5–0
    Hamburger SVHamburger SV
    1 72%X 17%2 11%
    The model called the outcome
    Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund
    3–0
    PaderbornPaderborn
    1 65%X 18%2 16%
    The model called the outcome

    How the predictions work

    Every prediction comes from PlaymakerAI's match model — the same data platform professional clubs use for scouting and match analysis. The model is trained on event data from hundreds of thousands of matches and weighs over 200 factors per team: strength ratings, current form, playing style, squad player profiles, fixture congestion, travel and even matchday weather.

    For each fixture the model produces a full goal distribution. From it we derive the 1X2 probabilities, the score matrix, expected goals, over/under lines and both-teams-to-score. Predictions are frozen before kickoff and never changed afterwards — once a match finishes we grade it openly, hit or miss.

    Odds are collected continuously from several bookmakers. When the model's probability for an outcome exceeds what the odds imply, we flag it as value (EV+). That is the model's assessment, not a guarantee: even positive-EV bets lose often. Gamble responsibly.

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    Bundesliga FAQ

    Where do I find Bundesliga predictions?

    Right here: every match in the German Bundesliga has its own analysis with 1X2 probabilities, most likely scoreline, over/under and value against current odds. Pick a match from the upcoming list — predictions are refreshed before every round and graded openly afterwards.

    How are the Bundesliga predictions made?

    Each match is replayed thousands of times in the model using hundreds of metrics per team — expected goals, pressing, expected threat, field tilt, form and squad. The output is a probability for every scoreline, which is then compared with bookmaker odds to find value.

    What is the xP table?

    xP means expected points: how many points each team should have taken given the quality of chances created and conceded. The gap between xP and the real table shows which the German Bundesliga teams are over- and underrated right now.

    Which teams play in Bundesliga 2026/27?

    Bundesliga 2026/27 has 18 teams: Borussia Dortmund, Bayern München, Freiburg, Augsburg, Bayer Leverkusen, Mainz, Elversberg, Werder Bremen, RB Leipzig, Eintracht Frankfurt, Schalke 04, Paderborn, FC Köln, Hoffenheim, VfB Stuttgart, Hamburger SV, Union Berlin, Borussia Mönchengladbach.

    Predictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.