EFL Championship: Predictions, Odds & Tips
Läs på svenskaModel-based predictions for the EFL Championship — the second tier of English football and one of the most demanding leagues in the world: 24 teams, 46 rounds and packed stands from August to May. Ahead of every round the same match model that powers PlaymakerAI computes 1X2 probabilities, a full score matrix, expected goals and over/under lines, built from hundreds of data points per team.
The predictions are held against live odds from multiple bookmakers, with positive expected value (EV+) flagged where the model’s probability beats the implied odds. Played matches are graded openly — hit or miss — and everything updates continuously until kickoff.
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League table2026/27
| Pos | Team | P | S | W–D–L | GF–GA | xP | xG | xGA | xGD | FT | Style |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Swansea City | 17 | 8 | 5–2–1 | 13–6 | 10,7 | 11,9 | 10,1 | +1,8 | 64 % | Possession control |
| 2 |  West Ham United | 15 | 8 | 4–3–1 | 22–11 | 12,8 | 17,3 | 10,6 | +6,7 | 61 % | Balanced & physical |
| 3 |  Middlesbrough | 15 | 8 | 4–3–1 | 16–12 | 12,8 | 15,9 | 9,6 | +6,3 | 65 % | Possession & high press |
| 4 |  Southampton | 14 | 8 | 4–2–2 | 19–10 | 11,6 | 14,2 | 11,0 | +3,2 | 59 % | Possession control |
| 5 |  Wolverhampton | 14 | 7 | 4–2–1 | 15–10 | 12,9 | 12,5 | 6,8 | +5,7 | 49 % | Possession control |
| 6 |  West Bromwich Albion | 14 | 8 | 4–2–2 | 10–8 | 9,2 | 9,0 | 10,9 | −1,9 | 56 % | Balanced & physical |
| 7 |  Queens Park Rangers | 13 | 8 | 3–4–1 | 10–7 | 12,6 | 12,6 | 9,3 | +3,3 | 55 % | Possession & high press |
| 8 |  Stoke City | 13 | 8 | 4–1–3 | 13–12 | 9,6 | 7,8 | 10,4 | −2,6 | 39 % | Possession control |
| 9 |  Bristol City | 13 | 8 | 4–1–3 | 11–12 | 11,1 | 10,0 | 10,3 | −0,3 | 42 % | Low block & direct |
| 10 |  Charlton Athletic | 12 | 8 | 3–3–2 | 7–10 | 10,3 | 6,5 | 12,1 | −5,6 | 27 % | Low block & direct |
| 11 |  Birmingham City | 11 | 8 | 2–5–1 | 12–11 | 11,5 | 11,4 | 11,1 | +0,3 | 52 % | Counter-attacks & crosses |
| 12 |  Millwall | 11 | 8 | 3–2–3 | 15–15 | 13,8 | 15,9 | 11,1 | +4,8 | 36 % | Low block & direct |
| 13 |  Lincoln City | 11 | 8 | 3–2–3 | 7–8 | 14,2 | 12,5 | 10,0 | +2,5 | 29 % | Low block & direct |
| 14 |  Wrexham | 10 | 8 | 2–4–2 | 9–12 | 11,0 | 8,6 | 9,9 | −1,3 | 49 % | Low block & direct |
| 15 |  Bolton Wanderers | 10 | 8 | 3–1–4 | 11–15 | 8,1 | 8,5 | 13,8 | −5,3 | 49 % | Possession control |
| 16 |  Blackburn Rovers | 9 | 8 | 2–3–3 | 12–12 | 7,8 | 7,2 | 13,0 | −5,8 | 51 % | Possession control |
| 17 |  Norwich City | 9 | 8 | 3–0–5 | 16–17 | 12,8 | 13,4 | 11,2 | +2,2 | 56 % | Possession control |
| 18 |  Sheffield United | 9 | 8 | 2–3–3 | 9–11 | 10,4 | 8,3 | 13,0 | −4,7 | 38 % | Low block & direct |
| 19 |  Portsmouth | 8 | 7 | 2–2–3 | 9–10 | 9,3 | 9,5 | 8,6 | +0,9 | 55 % | Counter-attacks & crosses |
| 20 |  Watford | 8 | 8 | 2–2–4 | 7–10 | 10,0 | 8,3 | 13,0 | −4,7 | 43 % | Low block & direct |
| 21 |  Cardiff City | 7 | 8 | 1–4–3 | 10–12 | 11,0 | 15,4 | 10,2 | +5,2 | 70 % | Possession & high press |
| 22 |  Derby County | 5 | 8 | 1–2–5 | 7–14 | 8,0 | 8,3 | 15,2 | −6,9 | 55 % | Low block & direct |
| 23 |  Preston North End | 4 | 8 | 1–1–6 | 8–15 | 11,2 | 10,8 | 10,8 | 0,0 | 42 % | Low block & direct |
| 24 |  Burnley | 4 | 8 | 0–4–4 | 9–17 | 8,9 | 8,7 | 12,3 | −3,6 | 44 % | Possession control |
Latest articles
All articles
2026-09-17 · 1 min
This week's pool betting 17/9: locks and upsets
This weekend's football round offers a wide range of pool betting, with Stryktipset and Europatipset from Svenska Spel, ATG's Big 9, and several products in the PoolX network such as Survivor8 and Flextipset8EUR. The article analyzes 53 matches in total and particularly highlights matches that recur across several betting formats, including Levski Sofia–Salzburg, where the data points toward an away win for Salzburg with a 54 percent probability.
2026-09-10 · 1 min
This week's pool play 10/9: locks and upsets
The article presents xG-based analyses of several football matches recurring in various Swedish pool betting games (Stryktipset, Europatipset, Flextipset, etc.), where Fenerbahçe–Roma stands out the most with a clear difference between the public's tips (27%) and the statistical model's assessment (41% home win). Other matches highlighted are Como–RB Leipzig (47% home win thanks to Como's rising form), Manchester United–Sabah (67% home win, the most one-sided match) as well as Slavia Praha–Lens and Stevenage–Luton Town, where the statistics reveal interesting deviations from general expectations
2026-09-08 · 4 min
Alma and Hulda prefer surprises with a rating of 8 out of 9
The article analyzes five football matches where statistics such as xG, possession, and pressing deviate from what the odds on the betting slip suggest, focusing on Fenerbahce–Roma, Sochaux–Nantes, and AZ Alkmaar–Willem II as examples. Throughout, it is argued that the market often undervalues even matches or teams that hold their own despite being at a disadvantage, which provides value in the odds even though the numbers point to a clear favorite.
Played matches
Prediction track recordNorwich CityWolverhamptonBirmingham CityBurnleyPortsmouthLincoln CityWrexhamStoke CityMillwallCardiff CityQueens Park RangersBristol CityHow the predictions work
Every prediction comes from PlaymakerAI's match model — the same data platform professional clubs use for scouting and match analysis. The model is trained on event data from hundreds of thousands of matches and weighs over 200 factors per team: strength ratings, current form, playing style, squad player profiles, fixture congestion, travel and even matchday weather.
For each fixture the model produces a full goal distribution. From it we derive the 1X2 probabilities, the score matrix, expected goals, over/under lines and both-teams-to-score. Predictions are frozen before kickoff and never changed afterwards — once a match finishes we grade it openly, hit or miss.
Odds are collected continuously from several bookmakers. When the model's probability for an outcome exceeds what the odds imply, we flag it as value (EV+). That is the model's assessment, not a guarantee: even positive-EV bets lose often. Gamble responsibly.
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Hämta bonusEFL Championship FAQ
Where do I find EFL Championship predictions?
Right here: every match in the EFL Championship has its own analysis with 1X2 probabilities, most likely scoreline, over/under and value against current odds. Pick a match from the upcoming list — predictions are refreshed before every round and graded openly afterwards.
How are the EFL Championship predictions made?
Each match is replayed thousands of times in the model using hundreds of metrics per team — expected goals, pressing, expected threat, field tilt, form and squad. The output is a probability for every scoreline, which is then compared with bookmaker odds to find value.
What is the xP table?
xP means expected points: how many points each team should have taken given the quality of chances created and conceded. The gap between xP and the real table shows which the EFL Championship teams are over- and underrated right now.
Which teams play in EFL Championship 2026/27?
EFL Championship 2026/27 has 24 teams: Swansea City, West Ham United, Middlesbrough, Southampton, Wolverhampton, West Bromwich Albion, Queens Park Rangers, Stoke City, Bristol City, Charlton Athletic, Birmingham City, Millwall, Lincoln City, Wrexham, Bolton Wanderers, Blackburn Rovers, Norwich City, Sheffield United, Portsmouth, Watford, Cardiff City, Derby County, Preston North End, Burnley.
Predictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.