Premier League: Predictions, Odds & Tips

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    Model-based predictions for the Premier League — Arsenal, Liverpool, Manchester City and the rest of the world's most-watched league, analysed by the same match model that powers PlaymakerAI. Ahead of every round the model computes 1X2 probabilities, a full score matrix, expected goals and over/under lines, built from hundreds of data points per team: strength, form, playing style, squad and weather.

    The predictions are held against live odds from multiple bookmakers, with positive expected value (EV+) flagged where the model’s probability beats the implied odds. Played matches are graded openly — hit or miss — and everything updates continuously until kickoff.

    Upcoming matches

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    League table2025/26

    New season with no matches played yet — the table shows the most recently completed season until the rounds get going.

    PosTeamSW–D–LGF–GAPxPxGxGAxGDFTStyle
    1Arsenal FC3826–7–571–278568,073,332,3+41,066 %Possession & high press
    2Manchester City3823–9–677–357855,865,440,7+24,773 %Possession & high press
    3Manchester United3820–11–769–507157,768,052,8+15,252 %Counter-attacks & crosses
    4Aston Villa3819–8–1156–496546,751,753,2−1,555 %Balanced & physical
    5Liverpool3817–9–1263–536051,462,349,0+13,366 %Possession & high press
    6Bournemouth3813–18–758–545755,058,559,3−0,852 %Possession control
    7Sunderland3814–12–1242–485447,242,258,1−15,937 %Low block & direct
    8Brighton & Hove Albion3814–11–1352–465349,358,155,9+2,254 %Possession & high press
    9Brentford3814–11–1355–525352,957,856,6+1,239 %Possession control
    10Chelsea3814–10–1458–525253,362,351,3+11,059 %Balanced & physical
    11Fulham3815–7–1647–515251,452,852,1+0,750 %Balanced & physical
    12Newcastle United3814–7–1753–554955,161,952,4+9,552 %Possession & high press
    13Everton3813–10–1547–504949,149,860,8−11,045 %Low block & direct
    14Leeds United3811–14–1349–564756,860,861,6−0,840 %Low block & direct
    15Crystal Palace3811–12–1541–514552,655,158,9−3,844 %Possession control
    16Nottingham Forest3811–11–1648–514451,352,861,9−9,147 %Counter-attacks & crosses
    17Tottenham Hotspur3810–11–1748–574153,751,354,0−2,748 %Possession control
    18West Ham United3810–9–1946–653953,254,066,1−12,137 %Low block & direct
    19Burnley384–10–2438–752237,636,979,0−42,136 %Low block & direct
    20Wolverhampton383–11–2427–682049,039,959,3−19,435 %Low block & direct

    Played matches

    Prediction track record

    No settled matches yet for this selection — the scorecard fills in after every played round.

    How the predictions work

    Every prediction comes from PlaymakerAI's match model — the same data platform professional clubs use for scouting and match analysis. The model is trained on event data from hundreds of thousands of matches and weighs over 200 factors per team: strength ratings, current form, playing style, squad player profiles, fixture congestion, travel and even matchday weather.

    For each fixture the model produces a full goal distribution. From it we derive the 1X2 probabilities, the score matrix, expected goals, over/under lines and both-teams-to-score. Predictions are frozen before kickoff and never changed afterwards — once a match finishes we grade it openly, hit or miss.

    Odds are collected continuously from several bookmakers. When the model's probability for an outcome exceeds what the odds imply, we flag it as value (EV+). That is the model's assessment, not a guarantee: even positive-EV bets lose often. Gamble responsibly.

    Predictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.