01 · 2 legs
Safe
- Double chance Austria Wien or draw (X2)63%
- Under 3.5 goals79%
Austrian Bundesliga25°16 km/h
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Wolfsberg3–0
Austria WienThe model's lean: 2 · Austria Wien (36%)Best value by the model: Under 2,5 @ 2.03 (+19 %)
Wolfsberg – Austria Wien · Austrian Bundesliga
1 · Wolfsberg 31%X 33%36% Austria Wien · 2
31%
33%
36%
Final score
3 – 0
The model missed the outcome
Predicted probabilities: Wolfsberg 31% · Draw 33% · Austria Wien 36%
Match prediction: Wolfsberg – Austria Wien
Predicted score matrix
Austria Wien →
Wolfsberg →
0
1
2
3
4+
0
0–010.0%
0–110.7%
0–26.4%
0–32.4%
0–4+0.9%
1
1–011.1%
1–113.5%
1–27.6%
1–32.9%
1–4+1.1%
2
2–06.8%
2–17.8%
2–24.5%
2–31.7%
2–4+0.6%
3
3–02.7%
3–13.1%
3–21.8%
3–30.7%
3–4+0.3%
4+
4+–01.0%
4+–11.2%
4+–20.7%
4+–30.3%
4+–4+0.1%
Most likely scorelines
- 1.1-114%
- 2.1-011%
- 3.0-111%
- 4.0-010%
- 5.2-18%
Expected goals
1,19–1,15
Both teams to score
48%
Over/under goals
Expected goals: 2,3010%
122%
227%
321%
412%
5+9%
Under 2,559%
@2.03EV+19%
Over 2,541%
@1.85
Ready-made bet suggestions
More combos & build your own →02 · 2 legs
Balanced
- Double chance Austria Wien or draw (X2)63%
- Under 2.5 goals59%
03 · 2 legs
Bold
- Both teams to score48%
- Over 2.5 goals41%
Odds & value
The model's value spots
Bets where the model's probability beats what the odds imply (EV+).
- Under 2.559% probability@2.03PinnacleEV+19%
- X · Draw33% probability@3.47PinnacleEV+15%
- 2 · Austria Wien36% probability@3.01PinnacleEV+8%
| Bookmaker | 1 · Wolfsberg | X | 2 · Austria Wien |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.39 | EV+ 15% 3.47 | EV+ 8% 3.01 |
Odds updated 2 Aug, 10:09
Odds movement
10 %
43 %38 %
2.38 → 2.39
X0 %
30 %25 %
3.48 → 3.47
2+3 %
34 %29 %
2.93 → 3.01
Over 2,5-1 %
54 %49 %
1.86 → 1.85
Pinnacle · 12 recorded price levels · 27/07/2026 → 02/08/2026 · fixed scale 5 percentage points
Frequently asked questions
Who wins Wolfsberg vs Austria Wien according to our model?
The model gives Austria Wien a 36% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Wolfsberg 31%, draw 33%, Austria Wien 36%.
What is the most likely scoreline?
The model's most likely final score is 1-1 at 14% probability.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The model rates over 2.5 goals at 41% and under at 59%.
Will both teams score?
The probability of both teams scoring is 48% according to the model.
Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?
The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.
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Predictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.