01 · 2 legs
Safe
- Red Bull Salzburg to win47%
- Over 1.5 goals81%
Austrian Bundesliga23°12 km/h
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Wolfsberg1–1
Red Bull SalzburgThe model's lean: 2 · Red Bull Salzburg (47%)Best value by the model: X · Draw @ 3.95 (+5 %)
Wolfsberg – Red Bull Salzburg · Austrian Bundesliga
1 · Wolfsberg 27%X 27%47% Red Bull Salzburg · 2
27%
27%
47%
Final score
1 – 1
The model missed the outcome
Predicted probabilities: Wolfsberg 27% · Draw 27% · Red Bull Salzburg 47%
Match prediction: Wolfsberg – Red Bull Salzburg
Predicted score matrix
Red Bull Salzburg →
Wolfsberg →
0
1
2
3
4+
0
0–05.1%
0–18.8%
0–28.4%
0–35.2%
0–4+3.7%
1
1–05.3%
1–110.8%
1–29.8%
1–36.1%
1–4+4.3%
2
2–03.3%
2–16.1%
2–25.7%
2–33.5%
2–4+2.5%
3
3–01.3%
3–12.4%
3–22.2%
3–31.4%
3–4+1.0%
4+
4+–00.5%
4+–10.9%
4+–20.8%
4+–30.5%
4+–4+0.4%
Most likely scorelines
- 1.1-111%
- 2.1-210%
- 3.0-19%
- 4.0-28%
- 5.2-16%
Expected goals
1,16–1,87
Both teams to score
58%
Over/under goals
Expected goals: 3,00
114%
222%
322%
417%
5+19%
Under 2,542%
@2.15
Over 2,558%
@1.67
Ready-made bet suggestions
More combos & build your own →02 · 2 legs
Balanced
- Red Bull Salzburg to win47%
- Over 2.5 goals58%
03 · 2 legs
Bold
- Both teams to score58%
- Over 2.5 goals58%
Odds & value
The model's value spots
Bets where the model's probability beats what the odds imply (EV+).
- X · Draw27% probability@3.95PinnacleEV+5%
- 1 · Wolfsberg27% probability@3.89PinnacleEV+3%
| Bookmaker | 1 · Wolfsberg | X | 2 · Red Bull Salzburg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 3.30 | 3.60 | 2.00 |
| Pinnacle | EV+ 3% 3.89 | EV+ 5% 3.95 | 1.88 |
Odds updated 9 Aug, 10:09
Odds movement
1+4 %
27 %22 %
3.75 → 3.89
X+3 %
27 %22 %
3.85 → 3.95
20 %
53 %48 %
1.88 → 1.88
Pinnacle · 14 recorded price levels · 03/08/2026 → 09/08/2026 · fixed scale 5 percentage points
Frequently asked questions
Who wins Wolfsberg vs Red Bull Salzburg according to our model?
The model gives Red Bull Salzburg a 47% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Wolfsberg 27%, draw 27%, Red Bull Salzburg 47%.
What is the most likely scoreline?
The model's most likely final score is 1-1 at 11% probability.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The model rates over 2.5 goals at 58% and under at 42%.
Will both teams score?
The probability of both teams scoring is 58% according to the model.
Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?
The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.
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Predictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.