01 · 2 legs
Safe
- Double chance Odense or draw (X2)65%
- Over 1.5 goals82%
Danish SuperligaJYSK park, Silkeborg18°1,0 mm24 km/h
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SilkeborgBalanced & physical1–0
OdensePossession & high pressThe model's lean: 2 · Odense (40%)Best value by the model: Under 0,5 @ 23.00 (+12 %)
Silkeborg – Odense · Danish Superliga
1 · Silkeborg 36%X 24%40% Odense · 2
36%
24%
40%
Analysis: Silkeborg – Odense
Erik Lindberg · · How the predictions work
Odense Boldklub's xG per match tells a compelling story: 1.9 to Silkeborg's 0.92. This significant gap points to Odense's superior attacking prowess, even if the small head-to-head sample from the past matches might suggest otherwise, where Silkeborg has taken three wins and a draw. But remember, these are not the same teams every year. Odense's attacking flair, built on possession and a high press, is likely to play a decisive role in this encounter.
Silkeborg may hold a head-to-head advantage since 2022, but this is overshadowed by the current season's data. They trail in both points and xPoints, with Odense Boldklub edging them 3 to 1 in points and 3.4 to 3.1 in xPoints. This season, Silkeborg's relatively balanced and physical style hasn't translated into goals or points, as evidenced by their lower xG and xPoints.
Weather conditions, with light rain expected, could slightly dampen the goal tally. However, the over 2.5 goals market stands at 60%, with both teams likely to get on the scoresheet. Odense's high press might find itself stymied a touch by a slippery surface, but they still seem poised to edge out in terms of chances created.
The betting value here leans towards Odense Boldklub to take the win, priced at 2.56 with Betfair Exchange, offering a slight edge according to the model. But for those drawn to fewer goals, the under 2.5 at 2.55 with Paddy Power presents a solid value bet, especially when considering weather's suppressive effect. The model's most probable outcomes are 1-1 or a narrow 1-2 victory for Odense Boldklub, with the visitors likely to emerge on top in a match that is expectedly tense and tactically enticing.
SilkeborgForm WLLDL
League ranking xG #10xGA #4xT #11xP/match #5Points #11
Key players
- Callum MccowattFxG 0.15 · xT 0.20
- Mads LarsenCMxG 0.00 · xT -0.01
- Villads WesthCMxG 0.08 · xT 0.00
OdenseForm LDLLW
League ranking xG #3xGA #2xT #3xP/match #3Points #6
Key players
- Fiete ArpRWxG 0.32 · xT 0.27
- Ismahila OuédraogoCMxG 0.05 · xT 0.10
- James GomezCBxG 0.00 · xT 0.12
Final score
1 – 0
The model missed the outcome
Predicted probabilities: Silkeborg 36% · Draw 24% · Odense 40%
Match prediction: Silkeborg – Odense
Predicted score matrix
Odense →
Silkeborg →
0
1
2
3
4+
0
0–04.9%
0–17.1%
0–26.0%
0–33.2%
0–4+1.8%
1
1–06.4%
1–111.2%
1–28.8%
1–34.7%
1–4+2.7%
2
2–05.0%
2–18.0%
2–26.4%
2–33.5%
2–4+2.0%
3
3–02.4%
3–13.9%
3–23.2%
3–31.7%
3–4+1.0%
4+
4+–01.2%
4+–12.0%
4+–21.6%
4+–30.9%
4+–4+0.5%
Most likely scorelines
- 1.1-111%
- 2.1-29%
- 3.2-18%
- 4.0-17%
- 5.1-06%
Expected goals
1,47–1,61
Both teams to score
62%
Over/under goals
Expected goals: 3,10
114%
222%
322%
417%
5+20%
Under 2,540%
@2.64EV+7%
Over 2,560%
@1.60
Ready-made bet suggestions
More combos & build your own →02 · 3 legs
Balanced
- Double chance Odense or draw (X2)65%
- Over 2.5 goals60%
- Noah Ganaus to score27%
03 · 4 legs
Bold
- Both teams to score62%
- Over 2.5 goals60%
- Noah Ganaus to score27%
- William Kirk to be booked19%
Odds & value
The model's value spots
Bets where the model's probability beats what the odds imply (EV+).
- Under 0.55% probability@23.00Betfair ExchangeEV+12%
- Under 1.518% probability@5.90Betfair ExchangeEV+9%
- Under 2.540% probability@2.64Betfair ExchangeEV+7%
| Bookmaker | 1 · Silkeborg | X | 2 · Odense |
|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange | 2.70 | 3.90 | EV+ 4% 2.62 |
| Paddy Power | 2.30 | 3.60 | 2.50 |
Odds updated 10 Aug, 10:08
Odds movement
1+12 %
45 %25 %
2.42 → 2.70
X+1 %
34 %14 %
3.85 → 3.90
2-4 %
52 %32 %
2.72 → 2.62
Betfair Exchange · 32 recorded price levels · 03/08/2026 → 10/08/2026 · fixed scale 20 percentage points
Statistics
Head-to-head
4 matchesSilkeborg 3Draw 1Odense 0
Goals: 9–5 (⌀ 3,5)
Head-to-head based on Danish Superliga data since 2022.
Solid line = created (xG), dashed = conceded (xGA).
Silkeborg
Odense
Silkeborg (2–4)
Odense (1–1)
Last 5 matches. Circle size = pass volume, line width = combinations between players. Attacking left to right.
Silkeborg
Odense
The same network weighted by offensive threat (xT): circle size = threat created by the player, line width = threat of the combinations. Last 5 matches, attacking left to right.
Silkeborg
Odense
The teams in numbers
| Performance | Silkeborg | Odense |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 1 | 3 |
| xPoints | 3.1 | 3.4 |
| xG per match | 0.92 | 1.9 |
| xGA per match | 0.95 | 0.89 |
| xG within 8s of winning the ball | 0.44 | 0.49 |
| xGA within 8s of losing the ball | 0.08 | 0.16 |
| Playing style | Silkeborg | Odense |
|---|---|---|
| Build-up efficiency | 0.32 | 0.32 |
| Field tilt | 0.42 | 0.62 |
| xT per match | 0.52 | 1.4 |
| xTA per match | 1.1 | 0.71 |
| Won balls, offensive half | 22 | 27 |
| Pressing intensity | 0.24 | 0.21 |
| Pressing efficiency | 0.23 | 0.37 |
| Pressing efficiency, offensive half | 0.27 | 0.4 |
| Entries into the box per match | 15 | 11 |
| Entries into the box against | 11 | 10 |
| Pass completion % | 0.82 | 0.78 |
| Pass completion % under pressure | 0.77 | 0.7 |
| Passes per match | 479 | 432 |
| Passes against per match | 496 | 311 |
| Switches of play per match | 15.7 | 25.1 |
| Long balls per match | 19 | 28 |
| Set pieces | Silkeborg | Odense |
|---|---|---|
| xG from free kicks | 0 | 0.01 |
| Corners per match | 7.1 | 8.2 |
| Corners against per match | 4.6 | 8.2 |
| xG per corner | 0.01 | 0.01 |
| xGA per corner against | 0.01 | 0.01 |
| First touch, offensive corners % | 0.57 | 0.12 |
| First touch, defensive corners % | 0.67 | 0.69 |
| Other | Silkeborg | Odense |
|---|---|---|
| Throw-in control | 0.73 | 0.63 |
| The goalkeepers | Aske Andresen (Silkeborg) | Julius Askou (Odense) |
|---|---|---|
| Saves | 4 | 3 |
| Save % | 50% | 100% |
| xG prevented | 31% | 100% |
| Claims | 0 (0%) | 0 (0%) |
Frequently asked questions
Who wins Silkeborg vs Odense according to our model?
The model gives Odense a 40% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Silkeborg 36%, draw 24%, Odense 40%.
What is the most likely scoreline?
The model's most likely final score is 1-1 at 11% probability.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The model rates over 2.5 goals at 60% and under at 40%.
Will both teams score?
The probability of both teams scoring is 62% according to the model.
Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?
The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.
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Predictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.