Ekstraklasa25°21 km/h

    Läs på svenska
    Górnik ZabrzeGórnik Zabrze
    21
    Wisla KrakowWisla Krakow
    The model's lean: 1 · Górnik Zabrze (62%)

    Górnik ZabrzeWisla Krakow · Ekstraklasa

    1 · Górnik Zabrze 62%X 21%17% Wisla Krakow · 2
    Final score
    21
    The model called the outcome
    Predicted probabilities: Górnik Zabrze 62% · Draw 21% · Wisla Krakow 17%

    Match prediction: Górnik ZabrzeWisla Krakow

    Predicted score matrix

    Wisla Krakow
    Górnik Zabrze
    0
    1
    2
    3
    4+
    0
    0–04.3%
    0–13.9%
    0–22.1%
    0–30.7%
    0–4+0.2%
    1
    1–08.6%
    1–19.3%
    1–24.7%
    1–31.6%
    1–4+0.5%
    2
    2–09.6%
    2–19.9%
    2–25.1%
    2–31.7%
    2–4+0.6%
    3
    3–07.0%
    3–17.2%
    3–23.7%
    3–31.3%
    3–4+0.4%
    4+
    4+–06.3%
    4+–16.5%
    4+–23.3%
    4+–31.1%
    4+–4+0.4%
    Probability per final score. Rows = home goals, columns = away goals.

    Most likely scorelines

    1. 1.2-110%
    2. 2.2-010%
    3. 3.1-19%
    4. 4.1-09%
    5. 5.3-17%
    Expected goals
    2,181,03
    Both teams to score
    57%

    Over/under goals

    Expected goals: 3,2
    Under 2,538%
    @2.07
    Over 2,562%
    @1.76EV+9%

    Ready-made bet suggestions

    More combos & build your own

    01 · 2 legs

    Safe

    • Górnik Zabrze to win62%
    • Over 1.5 goals83%

    Combined probability

    55%

    Fair odds

    1.83

    Two legs pulling the same way — the probability is computed exactly from the score matrix, not multiplied.

    02 · 2 legs

    Balanced

    • Górnik Zabrze to win62%
    • Over 2.5 goals62%

    Combined probability

    45%

    Fair odds

    2.23

    Result and goals are priced jointly from the matrix; the scorer is the model's most likely in the picked side.

    03 · 2 legs

    Bold

    • Both teams to score57%
    • Over 2.5 goals62%

    Combined probability

    48%

    Fair odds

    2.09

    The goal-fest: both teams score with at least three goals — combined with the match's most likely scorer and card candidate.

    Odds & value

    The model's value spots

    Bets where the model's probability beats what the odds imply (EV+).

    • 1 · Górnik Zabrze62% probability@2.12PinnacleEV+31%
    • Over 2.562% probability@1.76PinnacleEV+9%
    Bookmaker1 · Górnik ZabrzeX2 · Wisla Krakow
    Pinnacle
    EV+ 31%
    2.12
    3.533.28

    Odds updated 15 Aug, 08:14

    Odds movement

    1+2 %
    48 %43 %

    2.072.12

    X-1 %
    29 %24 %

    3.583.53

    2-3 %
    31 %26 %

    3.373.28

    Over 2,5+2 %
    57 %52 %

    1.731.76

    Pinnacle · 4 recorded price levels · 12/08/2026 → 15/08/2026 · fixed scale 5 percentage points

    Frequently asked questions

    Who wins Górnik Zabrze vs Wisla Krakow according to our model?

    The model gives Górnik Zabrze a 62% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Górnik Zabrze 62%, draw 21%, Wisla Krakow 17%.

    What is the most likely scoreline?

    The model's most likely final score is 2-1 at 10% probability.

    Over or under 2.5 goals?

    The model rates over 2.5 goals at 62% and under at 38%.

    Will both teams score?

    The probability of both teams scoring is 57% according to the model.

    Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?

    The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.

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    Predictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.