Ekstraklasa: Predictions, Odds & Tips
Läs på svenskaModel-based predictions for the Ekstraklasa — Legia Warsaw, Lech Poznań, Raków and the rest of the Polish top flight, analysed by the same match model that powers PlaymakerAI. Ahead of every round the model computes 1X2 probabilities, a full score matrix, expected goals and over/under lines, built from hundreds of data points per team: strength, form, playing style, squad and weather.
The predictions are held against live odds from multiple bookmakers, with positive expected value (EV+) flagged where the model’s probability beats the implied odds. Played matches are graded openly — hit or miss — and everything updates continuously until kickoff.
Upcoming matches
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League table2026/27
| Pos | Team | P | S | W–D–L | GF–GA | xP | xG | xGA | xGD | FT | Style |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Górnik Zabrze | 22 | 9 | 7–1–1 | 16–8 | 15,1 | 13,8 | 9,0 | +4,8 | 55 % | Possession control |
| 2 |  Legia Warszawa | 19 | 9 | 5–4–0 | 19–8 | 14,4 | 16,5 | 11,8 | +4,7 | 53 % | Balanced & physical |
| 3 |  Lech Poznań | 19 | 8 | 6–1–1 | 17–7 | 14,3 | 15,0 | 7,4 | +7,6 | 58 % | Possession & high press |
| 4 |  Wisla Krakow | 17 | 9 | 5–2–2 | 17–12 | 16,3 | 18,4 | 10,1 | +8,3 | 57 % | Possession control |
| 5 |  Pogoń Szczecin | 15 | 8 | 4–3–1 | 12–6 | 13,7 | 13,5 | 11,6 | +1,9 | 41 % | Low block & direct |
| 6 |  Korona Kielce | 15 | 9 | 4–3–2 | 12–10 | 12,5 | 13,0 | 14,1 | −1,1 | 51 % | Possession control |
| 7 |  Zagłębie Lubin | 15 | 9 | 4–3–2 | 11–10 | 13,7 | 12,5 | 12,1 | +0,4 | 32 % | Low block & direct |
| 8 |  Piast Gliwice | 13 | 9 | 4–1–4 | 16–15 | 9,8 | 11,0 | 15,8 | −4,8 | 50 % | Balanced & physical |
| 9 |  GKS Katowice | 12 | 8 | 4–0–4 | 16–13 | 10,1 | 14,3 | 15,5 | −1,2 | 60 % | Possession & high press |
| 10 |  Jagiellonia Białystok | 12 | 8 | 4–0–4 | 12–13 | 9,3 | 12,3 | 13,2 | −0,9 | 56 % | Possession control |
| 11 |  Wisła Płock | 11 | 8 | 3–2–3 | 9–12 | 11,0 | 12,6 | 13,1 | −0,5 | 44 % | Counter-attacks & crosses |
| 12 |  Widzew Łódź | 9 | 9 | 1–6–2 | 13–13 | 13,0 | 14,5 | 12,2 | +2,3 | 43 % | Possession & high press |
| 13 |  KS Cracovia | 8 | 9 | 2–2–5 | 9–14 | 11,9 | 14,2 | 13,7 | +0,5 | 46 % | Counter-attacks & crosses |
| 14 |  Radomiak Radom | 8 | 9 | 2–2–5 | 7–20 | 10,6 | 13,4 | 19,5 | −6,1 | 37 % | Counter-attacks & crosses |
| 15 |  Slask Wroclaw | 6 | 9 | 1–3–5 | 11–15 | 10,7 | 12,2 | 15,5 | −3,3 | 54 % | Low block & direct |
| 16 |  Motor Lublin | 6 | 9 | 1–3–5 | 9–15 | 11,8 | 13,2 | 15,2 | −2,0 | 45 % | Balanced & physical |
| 17 |  Wieczysta Kraków | 5 | 8 | 1–2–5 | 11–17 | 8,6 | 12,0 | 14,7 | −2,7 | 64 % | Possession & high press |
| 18 |  Raków Częstochowa | 3 | 9 | 1–0–8 | 12–21 | 7,4 | 13,5 | 21,2 | −7,7 | 53 % | Counter-attacks & crosses |
Latest articles
All articles
2026-09-15 · 1 min
# Player Profile: Łukasz Zjawiński (Legia Warszawa)
Łukasz Zjawiński is a goal-dangerous finisher rather than a playmaker, with a goal ratio (0.54/match) that exceeds his xG90 (0.43) thanks to high shot volume and effective finishing technique, while also contributing defensively through clearances and aerial duels. Despite lacking assists this season, his profile shows that he is a physically present worker in both directions rather than a ball-carrying creator, which makes him difficult to handle in Legia's attacking play.
2026-09-10 · 1 min
This week's pool play 10/9: locks and upsets
The article presents xG-based analyses of several football matches recurring in various Swedish pool betting games (Stryktipset, Europatipset, Flextipset, etc.), where Fenerbahçe–Roma stands out the most with a clear difference between the public's tips (27%) and the statistical model's assessment (41% home win). Other matches highlighted are Como–RB Leipzig (47% home win thanks to Como's rising form), Manchester United–Sabah (67% home win, the most one-sided match) as well as Slavia Praha–Lens and Stevenage–Luton Town, where the statistics reveal interesting deviations from general expectations
2026-08-27 · 3 min
Rolf bets on a surprise – pick of the week 27/8
The article presents three football tips based on analysis of underlying statistics rather than the odds alone: Fortuna Dusseldorf vs VfB Stuttgart II (odds 4.75), Levadiakos vs Panathinaikos Athens (odds 5.00), and Austria Lustenau vs WSG Tirol (odds 3.10). Throughout, factors such as expected goals and corner statistics are highlighted to show that the market has underestimated certain teams' chances, which should provide value in the suggested odds.
Played matches
Prediction track recordPiast GliwiceJagiellonia BiałystokLech PoznańZagłębie LubinMotor LublinGKS KatowiceKorona KielceWisla KrakowWidzew ŁódźWisła PłockWisla KrakowRadomiak RadomHow the predictions work
Every prediction comes from PlaymakerAI's match model — the same data platform professional clubs use for scouting and match analysis. The model is trained on event data from hundreds of thousands of matches and weighs over 200 factors per team: strength ratings, current form, playing style, squad player profiles, fixture congestion, travel and even matchday weather.
For each fixture the model produces a full goal distribution. From it we derive the 1X2 probabilities, the score matrix, expected goals, over/under lines and both-teams-to-score. Predictions are frozen before kickoff and never changed afterwards — once a match finishes we grade it openly, hit or miss.
Odds are collected continuously from several bookmakers. When the model's probability for an outcome exceeds what the odds imply, we flag it as value (EV+). That is the model's assessment, not a guarantee: even positive-EV bets lose often. Gamble responsibly.
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Hämta bonusEkstraklasa FAQ
Where do I find Ekstraklasa predictions?
Right here: every match in the Polish Ekstraklasa has its own analysis with 1X2 probabilities, most likely scoreline, over/under and value against current odds. Pick a match from the upcoming list — predictions are refreshed before every round and graded openly afterwards.
How are the Ekstraklasa predictions made?
Each match is replayed thousands of times in the model using hundreds of metrics per team — expected goals, pressing, expected threat, field tilt, form and squad. The output is a probability for every scoreline, which is then compared with bookmaker odds to find value.
What is the xP table?
xP means expected points: how many points each team should have taken given the quality of chances created and conceded. The gap between xP and the real table shows which the Polish Ekstraklasa teams are over- and underrated right now.
Which teams play in Ekstraklasa 2026/27?
Ekstraklasa 2026/27 has 18 teams: Górnik Zabrze, Legia Warszawa, Lech Poznań, Wisla Krakow, Pogoń Szczecin, Korona Kielce, Zagłębie Lubin, Piast Gliwice, GKS Katowice, Jagiellonia Białystok, Wisła Płock, Widzew Łódź, KS Cracovia, Radomiak Radom, Slask Wroclaw, Motor Lublin, Wieczysta Kraków, Raków Częstochowa.
Predictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.