Ekstraklasa22°0,1 mm18 km/h

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    Jagiellonia BiałystokJagiellonia Białystok
    vs
    Pogoń SzczecinPogoń Szczecin
    The model's lean: 1 · Jagiellonia Białystok (55%)

    Jagiellonia Białystok – Pogoń Szczecin · Ekstraklasa

    1 · Jagiellonia Białystok 55%X 23%22% Pogoń Szczecin · 2

    Match prediction: Jagiellonia Białystok – Pogoń Szczecin

    Predicted score matrix

    Pogoń Szczecin →
    Jagiellonia Białystok →
    0
    1
    2
    3
    4+
    0
    0–04.7%
    0–15.2%
    0–23.4%
    0–31.4%
    0–4+0.6%
    1
    1–08.0%
    1–110.6%
    1–26.4%
    1–32.6%
    1–4+1.1%
    2
    2–07.8%
    2–19.7%
    2–26.0%
    2–32.5%
    2–4+1.0%
    3
    3–04.9%
    3–16.1%
    3–23.8%
    3–31.5%
    3–4+0.6%
    4+
    4+–03.5%
    4+–14.4%
    4+–22.7%
    4+–31.1%
    4+–4+0.5%
    Probability per final score. Rows = home goals, columns = away goals.

    Most likely scorelines

    1. 1.1-111%
    2. 2.2-110%
    3. 3.1-08%
    4. 4.2-08%
    5. 5.1-26%
    Expected goals
    1,88–1,24
    Both teams to score
    60%

    Over/under goals

    Expected goals: 3,1
    Under 2,540%
    –
    Over 2,560%
    –

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    01 · 2 legs

    Safe

    • Jagiellonia Białystok to win55%
    • Over 1.5 goals82%

    Combined probability

    44%

    Fair odds

    2.27

    Two legs pulling the same way — the probability is computed exactly from the score matrix, not multiplied.

    02 · 2 legs

    Balanced

    • Jagiellonia Białystok to win55%
    • Over 2.5 goals60%

    Combined probability

    36%

    Fair odds

    2.76

    Result and goals are priced jointly from the matrix; the scorer is the model's most likely in the picked side.

    03 · 2 legs

    Bold

    • Both teams to score60%
    • Over 2.5 goals60%

    Combined probability

    50%

    Fair odds

    2.01

    The goal-fest: both teams score with at least three goals — combined with the match's most likely scorer and card candidate.

    Odds & value

    No odds available yet.

    Frequently asked questions

    Who wins Jagiellonia Białystok vs Pogoń Szczecin according to our model?

    The model gives Jagiellonia Białystok a 55% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Jagiellonia Białystok 55%, draw 23%, Pogoń Szczecin 22%.

    What is the most likely scoreline?

    The model's most likely final score is 1-1 at 11% probability.

    Over or under 2.5 goals?

    The model rates over 2.5 goals at 60% and under at 40%.

    Will both teams score?

    The probability of both teams scoring is 60% according to the model.

    Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?

    The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.

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    Awaiting result

    Predictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.