Ekstraklasa18°8 km/h

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    Jagiellonia BiałystokJagiellonia Białystok
    02
    Widzew ŁódźWidzew Łódź
    The model's lean: 1 · Jagiellonia Białystok (54%)

    Jagiellonia BiałystokWidzew Łódź · Ekstraklasa

    1 · Jagiellonia Białystok 54%X 24%22% Widzew Łódź · 2
    Final score
    02
    The model missed the outcome
    Predicted probabilities: Jagiellonia Białystok 54% · Draw 24% · Widzew Łódź 22%

    Match prediction: Jagiellonia BiałystokWidzew Łódź

    Predicted score matrix

    Widzew Łódź
    Jagiellonia Białystok
    0
    1
    2
    3
    4+
    0
    0–05.7%
    0–15.5%
    0–23.1%
    0–31.1%
    0–4+0.4%
    1
    1–09.6%
    1–111.0%
    1–25.8%
    1–32.1%
    1–4+0.7%
    2
    2–09.1%
    2–19.9%
    2–25.3%
    2–31.9%
    2–4+0.7%
    3
    3–05.6%
    3–16.0%
    3–23.3%
    3–31.2%
    3–4+0.4%
    4+
    4+–03.9%
    4+–14.2%
    4+–22.3%
    4+–30.8%
    4+–4+0.3%
    Probability per final score. Rows = home goals, columns = away goals.

    Most likely scorelines

    1. 1.1-111%
    2. 2.2-110%
    3. 3.1-010%
    4. 4.2-09%
    5. 5.3-16%
    Expected goals
    1,841,08
    Both teams to score
    56%

    Over/under goals

    Expected goals: 2,9
    Under 2,544%
    @1.83
    Over 2,556%
    @2.03EV+14%

    Ready-made bet suggestions

    More combos & build your own

    01 · 2 legs

    Safe

    • Jagiellonia Białystok to win54%
    • Over 1.5 goals79%

    Combined probability

    45%

    Fair odds

    2.22

    Two legs pulling the same way — the probability is computed exactly from the score matrix, not multiplied.

    02 · 2 legs

    Balanced

    • Jagiellonia Białystok to win54%
    • Over 2.5 goals56%

    Combined probability

    36%

    Fair odds

    2.78

    Result and goals are priced jointly from the matrix; the scorer is the model's most likely in the picked side.

    03 · 2 legs

    Bold

    • Both teams to score56%
    • Over 2.5 goals56%

    Combined probability

    45%

    Fair odds

    2.23

    The goal-fest: both teams score with at least three goals — combined with the match's most likely scorer and card candidate.

    Odds & value

    The model's value spots

    Bets where the model's probability beats what the odds imply (EV+).

    • 1 · Jagiellonia Białystok54% probability@2.35PinnacleEV+27%
    • Over 2.556% probability@2.03PinnacleEV+14%
    Bookmaker1 · Jagiellonia BiałystokX2 · Widzew Łódź
    Pinnacle
    EV+ 27%
    2.35
    3.393.10

    Odds updated 9 Aug, 10:09

    Odds movement

    10 %
    42 %37 %

    2.362.35

    X+6 %
    31 %26 %

    3.193.39

    20 %
    34 %29 %

    3.113.10

    Over 2,5-2 %
    49 %44 %

    2.082.03

    Pinnacle · 11 recorded price levels · 03/08/2026 → 09/08/2026 · fixed scale 5 percentage points

    Frequently asked questions

    Who wins Jagiellonia Białystok vs Widzew Łódź according to our model?

    The model gives Jagiellonia Białystok a 54% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Jagiellonia Białystok 54%, draw 24%, Widzew Łódź 22%.

    What is the most likely scoreline?

    The model's most likely final score is 1-1 at 11% probability.

    Over or under 2.5 goals?

    The model rates over 2.5 goals at 56% and under at 44%.

    Will both teams score?

    The probability of both teams scoring is 56% according to the model.

    Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?

    The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.

    More matches in the league

    Predictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.