01 · 2 legs
Safe
- Double chance Legia Warszawa or draw (X2)73%
- Under 3.5 goals74%
Ekstraklasa21°13 km/h
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Korona Kielce1–1
Legia WarszawaThe model's lean: 2 · Legia Warszawa (43%)
Korona Kielce – Legia Warszawa · Ekstraklasa
1 · Korona Kielce 29%X 29%43% Legia Warszawa · 2
29%
29%
43%
Final score
1 – 1
The model missed the outcome
Predicted probabilities: Korona Kielce 29% · Draw 29% · Legia Warszawa 43%
Match prediction: Korona Kielce – Legia Warszawa
Predicted score matrix
Legia Warszawa →
Korona Kielce →
0
1
2
3
4+
0
0–07.8%
0–110.9%
0–28.5%
0–34.3%
0–4+2.2%
1
1–07.8%
1–112.6%
1–29.2%
1–34.6%
1–4+2.4%
2
2–04.4%
2–16.7%
2–25.0%
2–32.5%
2–4+1.3%
3
3–01.6%
3–12.4%
3–21.8%
3–30.9%
3–4+0.5%
4+
4+–00.5%
4+–10.8%
4+–20.6%
4+–30.3%
4+–4+0.2%
Most likely scorelines
- 1.1-113%
- 2.0-111%
- 3.1-29%
- 4.0-28%
- 5.0-08%
Expected goals
1,09–1,50
Both teams to score
52%
Over/under goals
Expected goals: 2,608%
119%
225%
322%
414%
5+12%
Under 2,552%
@1.77
Over 2,548%
@2.08
Ready-made bet suggestions
More combos & build your own →02 · 2 legs
Balanced
- Double chance Legia Warszawa or draw (X2)73%
- Under 2.5 goals52%
03 · 2 legs
Bold
- Both teams to score52%
- Over 2.5 goals48%
Odds & value
The model's value spots
Bets where the model's probability beats what the odds imply (EV+).
- 2 · Legia Warszawa43% probability@2.56PinnacleEV+9%
| Bookmaker | 1 · Korona Kielce | X | 2 · Legia Warszawa |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.93 | 3.22 | EV+ 9% 2.56 |
Odds updated 8 Aug, 10:08
Odds movement
1+3 %
36 %31 %
2.84 → 2.93
X+1 %
32 %27 %
3.19 → 3.22
20 %
39 %34 %
2.55 → 2.56
Over 2,5+1 %
49 %44 %
2.05 → 2.08
Pinnacle · 8 recorded price levels · 02/08/2026 → 08/08/2026 · fixed scale 5 percentage points
Frequently asked questions
Who wins Korona Kielce vs Legia Warszawa according to our model?
The model gives Legia Warszawa a 43% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Korona Kielce 29%, draw 29%, Legia Warszawa 43%.
What is the most likely scoreline?
The model's most likely final score is 1-1 at 13% probability.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The model rates over 2.5 goals at 48% and under at 52%.
Will both teams score?
The probability of both teams scoring is 52% according to the model.
Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?
The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.
More matches in the league
Predictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.