Legia Warszawa vs Zagłębie Lubin: Prediction & Odds (2 Aug 2026)

Ekstraklasa2 August 202622°13 km/h

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Legia Warszawa

3–1

Zagłębie Lubin

The model's lean: 1 · Legia Warszawa (68%)

1 · Legia Warszawa 68%X 19%13% Zagłębie Lubin · 2

68%

19%

13%

Final score

3 – 1

The model called the outcome

Predicted probabilities: Legia Warszawa 68% · Draw 19% · Zagłębie Lubin 13%

Match prediction: Legia Warszawa – Zagłębie Lubin

Predicted score matrix

Zagłębie Lubin →

Legia Warszawa →

0–07.1%

0–15.2%

0–22.2%

0–30.6%

0–4+0.1%

1–012.5%

1–110.6%

1–24.2%

1–31.1%

1–4+0.3%

2–012.0%

2–19.7%

2–23.9%

2–31.1%

2–4+0.3%

3–07.5%

3–16.1%

3–22.5%

3–30.7%

3–4+0.2%

4+–05.4%

4+–14.4%

4+–21.8%

4+–30.5%

4+–4+0.1%

Probability per final score. Rows = home goals, columns = away goals.

Most likely scorelines

1.1-013%
2.2-012%
3.1-111%
4.2-110%
5.3-08%

Expected goals

1,88–0,81

Both teams to score

47%

Over/under goals

Expected goals: 2,7

07%

118%

225%

322%

415%

5+14%

Under 2,550%

@1.91

Over 2,550%

@1.94

Ready-made bet suggestions

More combos & build your own →

01 · 2 legs

Safe

Legia Warszawa to win68%
Under 3.5 goals72%

02 · 2 legs

Balanced

Legia Warszawa to win68%
Over 2.5 goals50%

03 · 2 legs

Bold

Both teams to score47%
Over 2.5 goals50%

Odds & value

The model's value spots

Bets where the model's probability beats what the odds imply (EV+).

1 · Legia Warszawa68% probability@1.56PinnacleEV+6%

Bookmaker	1 · Legia Warszawa	X	2 · Zagłębie Lubin
Pinnacle	EV+ 6% 1.56	4.13	6.04

Odds updated 2 Aug, 10:09

Odds movement

1-1 %

63 %58 %

1.58 → 1.56

X+2 %

26 %21 %

4.03 → 4.13

2+9 %

19 %14 %

5.52 → 6.04

Over 2,5+4 %

52 %47 %

1.88 → 1.94

Pinnacle · 9 recorded price levels · 28/07/2026 → 02/08/2026 · fixed scale 5 percentage points

Frequently asked questions

Who wins Legia Warszawa vs Zagłębie Lubin according to our model?

The model gives Legia Warszawa a 68% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Legia Warszawa 68%, draw 19%, Zagłębie Lubin 13%.

What is the most likely scoreline?

The model's most likely final score is 1-0 at 13% probability.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

The model rates over 2.5 goals at 50% and under at 50%.

Will both teams score?

The probability of both teams scoring is 47% according to the model.

Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?

The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.