Ekstraklasa26°29 km/h

    Läs på svenska
    KS CracoviaKS Cracovia
    0–2
    Pogoń SzczecinPogoń Szczecin
    The model's lean: 1 · KS Cracovia (46%)Best value by the model: Over 2,5 @ 2.28 (+18 %)

    KS Cracovia – Pogoń Szczecin · Ekstraklasa

    1 · KS Cracovia 46%X 27%27% Pogoń Szczecin · 2
    Final score
    0 – 2
    The model missed the outcome
    Predicted probabilities: KS Cracovia 46% · Draw 27% · Pogoń Szczecin 27%

    Match prediction: KS Cracovia – Pogoń Szczecin

    Predicted score matrix

    Pogoń Szczecin →
    KS Cracovia →
    0
    1
    2
    3
    4+
    0
    0–06.8%
    0–17.0%
    0–24.1%
    0–31.5%
    0–4+0.6%
    1
    1–010.1%
    1–112.1%
    1–26.6%
    1–32.5%
    1–4+0.9%
    2
    2–08.4%
    2–19.5%
    2–25.3%
    2–32.0%
    2–4+0.7%
    3
    3–04.5%
    3–15.1%
    3–22.9%
    3–31.1%
    3–4+0.4%
    4+
    4+–02.6%
    4+–12.9%
    4+–21.7%
    4+–30.6%
    4+–4+0.2%
    Probability per final score. Rows = home goals, columns = away goals.

    Most likely scorelines

    1. 1.1-112%
    2. 2.1-010%
    3. 3.2-19%
    4. 4.2-08%
    5. 5.0-17%
    Expected goals
    1,61–1,13
    Both teams to score
    54%

    Over/under goals

    Expected goals: 2,7
    Under 2,548%
    @1.65
    Over 2,552%
    @2.28EV+18%

    Ready-made bet suggestions

    More combos & build your own →

    01 · 2 legs

    Safe

    • KS Cracovia to win46%
    • Over 1.5 goals76%

    Combined probability

    38%

    Fair odds

    2.62

    Two legs pulling the same way — the probability is computed exactly from the score matrix, not multiplied.

    02 · 2 legs

    Balanced

    • KS Cracovia to win46%
    • Over 2.5 goals52%

    Combined probability

    30%

    Fair odds

    3.36

    Result and goals are priced jointly from the matrix; the scorer is the model's most likely in the picked side.

    03 · 2 legs

    Bold

    • Both teams to score54%
    • Over 2.5 goals52%

    Combined probability

    42%

    Fair odds

    2.36

    The goal-fest: both teams score with at least three goals — combined with the match's most likely scorer and card candidate.

    Odds & value

    The model's value spots

    Bets where the model's probability beats what the odds imply (EV+).

    • Over 2.552% probability@2.28PinnacleEV+18%
    • 1 · KS Cracovia46% probability@2.34PinnacleEV+7%
    Bookmaker1 · KS CracoviaX2 · Pogoń Szczecin
    Pinnacle
    EV+ 7%
    2.34    		2.993.57

    Odds updated 3 Aug, 10:08

    Odds movement

    1-2 %
    43 %38 %

    2.39 → 2.34

    X+9 %
    36 %31 %

    2.74 → 2.99

    2-3 %
    28 %23 %

    3.69 → 3.57

    Over 2,5+6 %
    46 %41 %

    2.15 → 2.28

    Pinnacle · 18 recorded price levels · 28/07/2026 → 03/08/2026 · fixed scale 5 percentage points

    Frequently asked questions

    Who wins KS Cracovia vs Pogoń Szczecin according to our model?

    The model gives KS Cracovia a 46% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: KS Cracovia 46%, draw 27%, Pogoń Szczecin 27%.

    What is the most likely scoreline?

    The model's most likely final score is 1-1 at 12% probability.

    Over or under 2.5 goals?

    The model rates over 2.5 goals at 52% and under at 48%.

    Will both teams score?

    The probability of both teams scoring is 54% according to the model.

    Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?

    The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.

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    Awaiting result

    Predictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.