Motor Lublin vs GKS Katowice: Prediction & Odds (16 Aug 2026)

Ekstraklasa16 August 202627°18 km/h

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Motor Lublin

1–0

GKS Katowice

The model's lean: 1 · Motor Lublin (39%)

1 · Motor Lublin 39%X 26%35% GKS Katowice · 2

39%

26%

35%

Final score

1 – 0

The model called the outcome

Predicted probabilities: Motor Lublin 39% · Draw 26% · GKS Katowice 35%

Match prediction: Motor Lublin – GKS Katowice

Predicted score matrix

GKS Katowice →

Motor Lublin →

0–04.9%

0–17.1%

0–25.9%

0–33.1%

0–4+1.8%

1–06.6%

1–111.2%

1–28.7%

1–34.6%

1–4+2.6%

2–05.1%

2–18.1%

2–26.4%

2–33.4%

2–4+1.9%

3–02.5%

3–14.0%

3–23.2%

3–31.7%

3–4+1.0%

4+–01.3%

4+–12.1%

4+–21.6%

4+–30.9%

4+–4+0.5%

Probability per final score. Rows = home goals, columns = away goals.

Most likely scorelines

1.1-111%
2.1-29%
3.2-18%
4.0-17%
5.1-07%

Expected goals

1,48–1,59

Both teams to score

62%

Over/under goals

Expected goals: 3,1

114%

222%

322%

417%

5+20%

Under 2,541%

–

Over 2,559%

–

Ready-made bet suggestions

More combos & build your own →

01 · 2 legs

Safe

Double chance Motor Lublin or draw (1X)60%
Over 1.5 goals81%

02 · 2 legs

Balanced

Double chance Motor Lublin or draw (1X)60%
Over 2.5 goals59%

03 · 2 legs

Bold

Both teams to score62%
Over 2.5 goals59%

Odds & value

The model's value spots

Bets where the model's probability beats what the odds imply (EV+).

1 · Motor Lublin39% probability@2.63PinnacleEV+3%

Bookmaker	1 · Motor Lublin	X	2 · GKS Katowice
Pinnacle	EV+ 3% 2.63	3.58	2.57

Odds updated 15 Aug, 15:57

Odds movement

1-3 %

38 %33 %

2.71 → 2.63

X+2 %

29 %24 %

3.52 → 3.58

2+4 %

40 %35 %

2.47 → 2.57

Pinnacle · 6 recorded price levels · 09/08/2026 → 15/08/2026 · fixed scale 5 percentage points

Frequently asked questions

Who wins Motor Lublin vs GKS Katowice according to our model?

The model gives Motor Lublin a 39% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Motor Lublin 39%, draw 26%, GKS Katowice 35%.

What is the most likely scoreline?

The model's most likely final score is 1-1 at 11% probability.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

The model rates over 2.5 goals at 59% and under at 41%.

Will both teams score?

The probability of both teams scoring is 62% according to the model.

Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?

The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.