Piast Gliwice vs Wisla Krakow: Prediction & Odds (1 Aug 2026)

Ekstraklasa1 August 202627°0,2 mm15 km/h

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Piast Gliwice

4–3

Wisla Krakow

The model's lean: 1 · Piast Gliwice (48%)

1 · Piast Gliwice 48%X 30%23% Wisla Krakow · 2

48%

30%

23%

Final score

4 – 3

The model called the outcome

Predicted probabilities: Piast Gliwice 48% · Draw 30% · Wisla Krakow 23%

Match prediction: Piast Gliwice – Wisla Krakow

Predicted score matrix

Wisla Krakow →

Piast Gliwice →

0–06.2%

0–16.7%

0–24.2%

0–31.7%

0–4+0.6%

1–09.4%

1–111.8%

1–26.9%

1–32.7%

1–4+1.0%

2–07.9%

2–19.4%

2–25.6%

2–32.2%

2–4+0.9%

3–04.3%

3–15.2%

3–23.1%

3–31.2%

3–4+0.5%

4+–02.6%

4+–13.1%

4+–21.8%

4+–30.7%

4+–4+0.3%

Probability per final score. Rows = home goals, columns = away goals.

Most likely scorelines

1.1-112%
2.2-19%
3.1-09%
4.2-08%
5.1-27%

Expected goals

1,64–1,19

Both teams to score

56%

Over/under goals

Expected goals: 2,8

116%

224%

322%

416%

5+16%

Under 2,546%

@1.95

Over 2,554%

@1.93EV+3%

Ready-made bet suggestions

More combos & build your own →

01 · 2 legs

Safe

Piast Gliwice to win48%
Over 1.5 goals78%

02 · 2 legs

Balanced

Piast Gliwice to win48%
Over 2.5 goals54%

03 · 2 legs

Bold

Both teams to score56%
Over 2.5 goals54%

Odds & value

The model's value spots

Bets where the model's probability beats what the odds imply (EV+).

1 · Piast Gliwice48% probability@2.35PinnacleEV+12%
1 · Piast Gliwice48% probability@2.25Paddy PowerEV+7%
Over 2.554% probability@1.93PinnacleEV+3%

Bookmaker	1 · Piast Gliwice	X	2 · Wisla Krakow
Paddy Power	EV+ 7% 2.25	3.30	2.80
Pinnacle	EV+ 12% 2.35	3.26	3.22

Odds updated 1 Aug, 10:08

Odds movement

10 %

42 %37 %

2.36 → 2.35

X-2 %

32 %27 %

3.33 → 3.26

2+7 %

34 %29 %

3.02 → 3.22

Over 2,5+3 %

52 %47 %

1.88 → 1.93

Pinnacle · 10 recorded price levels · 29/07/2026 → 01/08/2026 · fixed scale 5 percentage points

Frequently asked questions

Who wins Piast Gliwice vs Wisla Krakow according to our model?

The model gives Piast Gliwice a 48% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Piast Gliwice 48%, draw 30%, Wisla Krakow 23%.

What is the most likely scoreline?

The model's most likely final score is 1-1 at 12% probability.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

The model rates over 2.5 goals at 54% and under at 46%.

Will both teams score?

The probability of both teams scoring is 56% according to the model.

Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?

The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.