Ekstraklasa19°21 km/h

    Läs på svenska
    Pogoń SzczecinPogoń Szczecin
    vs
    Wisla KrakowWisla Krakow
    The model's lean: 1 · Pogoń Szczecin (59%)

    Pogoń SzczecinWisla Krakow · Ekstraklasa

    1 · Pogoń Szczecin 59%X 22%19% Wisla Krakow · 2

    Match prediction: Pogoń SzczecinWisla Krakow

    Predicted score matrix

    Wisla Krakow
    Pogoń Szczecin
    0
    1
    2
    3
    4+
    0
    0–04.5%
    0–14.7%
    0–23.0%
    0–31.2%
    0–4+0.5%
    1
    1–08.0%
    1–110.2%
    1–25.9%
    1–32.4%
    1–4+0.9%
    2
    2–08.2%
    2–19.8%
    2–25.8%
    2–32.3%
    2–4+0.9%
    3
    3–05.4%
    3–16.5%
    3–23.9%
    3–31.5%
    3–4+0.6%
    4+
    4+–04.2%
    4+–15.0%
    4+–23.0%
    4+–31.2%
    4+–4+0.5%
    Probability per final score. Rows = home goals, columns = away goals.

    Most likely scorelines

    1. 1.1-110%
    2. 2.2-110%
    3. 3.2-08%
    4. 4.1-08%
    5. 5.3-16%
    Expected goals
    1,981,19
    Both teams to score
    60%

    Over/under goals

    Expected goals: 3,2
    Under 2,539%
    @2.12
    Over 2,561%
    @1.62

    Ready-made bet suggestions

    More combos & build your own

    01 · 2 legs

    Safe

    • Pogoń Szczecin to win59%
    • Over 1.5 goals83%

    Combined probability

    47%

    Fair odds

    2.12

    Two legs pulling the same way — the probability is computed exactly from the score matrix, not multiplied.

    02 · 2 legs

    Balanced

    • Pogoń Szczecin to win59%
    • Over 2.5 goals61%

    Combined probability

    39%

    Fair odds

    2.57

    Result and goals are priced jointly from the matrix; the scorer is the model's most likely in the picked side.

    03 · 2 legs

    Bold

    • Both teams to score60%
    • Over 2.5 goals61%

    Combined probability

    50%

    Fair odds

    1.99

    The goal-fest: both teams score with at least three goals — combined with the match's most likely scorer and card candidate.

    Odds & value

    The model's value spots

    Bets where the model's probability beats what the odds imply (EV+).

    • 1 · Pogoń Szczecin59% probability@2.28BetsafeEV+35%
    • 1 · Pogoń Szczecin59% probability@2.28BetssonEV+35%
    • 1 · Pogoń Szczecin59% probability@2.28NordicbetEV+35%
    Bookmaker1 · Pogoń SzczecinX2 · Wisla Krakow
    Betsafe
    EV+ 35%
    2.28
    3.452.72
    Betsson
    EV+ 35%
    2.28
    3.452.72
    Nordicbet
    EV+ 35%
    2.28
    3.452.72

    Odds updated 17 Aug, 18:36

    Frequently asked questions

    Who wins Pogoń Szczecin vs Wisla Krakow according to our model?

    The model gives Pogoń Szczecin a 59% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Pogoń Szczecin 59%, draw 22%, Wisla Krakow 19%.

    What is the most likely scoreline?

    The model's most likely final score is 1-1 at 10% probability.

    Over or under 2.5 goals?

    The model rates over 2.5 goals at 61% and under at 39%.

    Will both teams score?

    The probability of both teams scoring is 60% according to the model.

    Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?

    The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.

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    Predictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.