Radomiak Radom vs Górnik Zabrze: Prediction & Odds (8 Aug 2026)

Ekstraklasa8 August 202620°14 km/h

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Radomiak Radom

1–3

Górnik Zabrze

The model's lean: 2 · Górnik Zabrze (42%)

1 · Radomiak Radom 31%X 27%42% Górnik Zabrze · 2

31%

27%

42%

Final score

1 – 3

The model called the outcome

Predicted probabilities: Radomiak Radom 31% · Draw 27% · Górnik Zabrze 42%

Match prediction: Radomiak Radom – Górnik Zabrze

Predicted score matrix

Górnik Zabrze →

Radomiak Radom →

0–06.0%

0–18.9%

0–27.5%

0–34.1%

0–4+2.4%

1–06.7%

1–111.8%

1–29.3%

1–35.1%

1–4+3.0%

2–04.4%

2–17.1%

2–25.8%

2–33.2%

2–4+1.9%

3–01.8%

3–13.0%

3–22.4%

3–31.3%

3–4+0.8%

4+–00.7%

4+–11.2%

4+–21.0%

4+–30.5%

4+–4+0.3%

Probability per final score. Rows = home goals, columns = away goals.

Most likely scorelines

1.1-112%
2.1-29%
3.0-19%
4.0-27%
5.2-17%

Expected goals

1,24–1,63

Both teams to score

58%

Over/under goals

Expected goals: 2,9

116%

224%

322%

416%

5+16%

Under 2,545%

@2.08

Over 2,555%

@1.78

Ready-made bet suggestions

More combos & build your own →

01 · 2 legs

Safe

Double chance Górnik Zabrze or draw (X2)71%
Over 1.5 goals78%

02 · 2 legs

Balanced

Double chance Górnik Zabrze or draw (X2)71%
Over 2.5 goals55%

03 · 2 legs

Bold

Both teams to score58%
Over 2.5 goals55%

Odds & value

The model's value spots

Bets where the model's probability beats what the odds imply (EV+).

2 · Górnik Zabrze42% probability@2.59PinnacleEV+8%

Bookmaker	1 · Radomiak Radom	X	2 · Górnik Zabrze
Pinnacle	2.76	3.41	EV+ 8% 2.59

Odds updated 8 Aug, 10:08

Odds movement

Market signal

The market has moved clearly towards over 2.5 goals since 3 August — the odds have shortened from 1.93 to 1.78 (−7%).

1-2 %

39 %29 %

2.83 → 2.76

X-2 %

32 %22 %

3.47 → 3.41

2+8 %

44 %34 %

2.40 → 2.59

Over 2,5-7 %

57 %47 %

1.93 → 1.78

Pinnacle · 12 recorded price levels · 03/08/2026 → 08/08/2026 · fixed scale 10 percentage points

Frequently asked questions

Who wins Radomiak Radom vs Górnik Zabrze according to our model?

The model gives Górnik Zabrze a 42% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Radomiak Radom 31%, draw 27%, Górnik Zabrze 42%.

What is the most likely scoreline?

The model's most likely final score is 1-1 at 12% probability.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

The model rates over 2.5 goals at 55% and under at 45%.

Will both teams score?

The probability of both teams scoring is 58% according to the model.

Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?

The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.