Slask Wroclaw vs Raków Częstochowa: Prediction & Odds (2 Aug 2026)

Ekstraklasa2 August 202620°12 km/h

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Slask Wroclaw

2–1

Raków Częstochowa

The model's lean: 2 · Raków Częstochowa (46%)

1 · Slask Wroclaw 29%X 25%46% Raków Częstochowa · 2

29%

25%

46%

Final score

2 – 1

The model missed the outcome

Predicted probabilities: Slask Wroclaw 29% · Draw 25% · Raków Częstochowa 46%

Match prediction: Slask Wroclaw – Raków Częstochowa

Predicted score matrix

Raków Częstochowa →

Slask Wroclaw →

0–06.2%

0–19.3%

0–27.9%

0–34.3%

0–4+2.6%

1–06.7%

1–111.8%

1–29.4%

1–35.2%

1–4+3.1%

2–04.2%

2–16.9%

2–25.6%

2–33.1%

2–4+1.8%

3–01.7%

3–12.7%

3–22.2%

3–31.2%

3–4+0.7%

4+–00.6%

4+–11.1%

4+–20.9%

4+–30.5%

4+–4+0.3%

Probability per final score. Rows = home goals, columns = away goals.

Most likely scorelines

1.1-112%
2.1-29%
3.0-19%
4.0-28%
5.2-17%

Expected goals

1,20–1,64

Both teams to score

57%

Over/under goals

Expected goals: 2,8

116%

224%

322%

416%

5+16%

Under 2,546%

@1.95

Over 2,554%

@1.91EV+3%

Ready-made bet suggestions

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01 · 2 legs

Safe

Raków Częstochowa to win46%
Over 1.5 goals78%

02 · 2 legs

Balanced

Raków Częstochowa to win46%
Over 2.5 goals54%

03 · 2 legs

Bold

Both teams to score57%
Over 2.5 goals54%

Odds & value

The model's value spots

Bets where the model's probability beats what the odds imply (EV+).

2 · Raków Częstochowa46% probability@2.47PinnacleEV+14%
Over 4.516% probability@7.00Paddy PowerEV+11%
Over 3.532% probability@3.30Paddy PowerEV+4%

Bookmaker	1 · Slask Wroclaw	X	2 · Raków Częstochowa
Paddy Power	2.80	3.40	EV+ 4% 2.25
Pinnacle	2.87	3.47	EV+ 14% 2.47

Odds updated 2 Aug, 10:09

Odds movement

1-3 %

35 %30 %

2.95 → 2.87

X+5 %

31 %26 %

3.30 → 3.47

2+2 %

41 %36 %

2.42 → 2.47

Over 2,5-5 %

52 %47 %

2.00 → 1.90

Pinnacle · 8 recorded price levels · 29/07/2026 → 02/08/2026 · fixed scale 5 percentage points

Frequently asked questions

Who wins Slask Wroclaw vs Raków Częstochowa according to our model?

The model gives Raków Częstochowa a 46% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Slask Wroclaw 29%, draw 25%, Raków Częstochowa 46%.

What is the most likely scoreline?

The model's most likely final score is 1-1 at 12% probability.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

The model rates over 2.5 goals at 54% and under at 46%.

Will both teams score?

The probability of both teams scoring is 57% according to the model.

Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?

The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.