01 · 2 legs
Safe
- Double chance Widzew Łódź or draw (1X)68%
- Under 3.5 goals74%
Ekstraklasa25°14 km/h
Läs på svenska
Widzew Łódź1–2
Korona KielceThe model's lean: 1 · Widzew Łódź (40%)Best value by the model: 2 · Korona Kielce @ 4.05 (+22 %)
Widzew Łódź – Korona Kielce · Ekstraklasa
1 · Widzew Łódź 40%X 30%30% Korona Kielce · 2
40%
30%
30%
Final score
1 – 2
The model missed the outcome
Predicted probabilities: Widzew Łódź 40% · Draw 30% · Korona Kielce 30%
Match prediction: Widzew Łódź – Korona Kielce
Predicted score matrix
Korona Kielce →
Widzew Łódź →
0
1
2
3
4+
0
0–07.9%
0–18.7%
0–25.4%
0–32.2%
0–4+0.8%
1
1–010.1%
1–112.9%
1–27.5%
1–33.0%
1–4+1.2%
2
2–07.3%
2–18.7%
2–25.2%
2–32.1%
2–4+0.8%
3
3–03.4%
3–14.0%
3–22.4%
3–31.0%
3–4+0.4%
4+
4+–01.6%
4+–11.9%
4+–21.1%
4+–30.4%
4+–4+0.2%
Most likely scorelines
- 1.1-113%
- 2.1-010%
- 3.0-19%
- 4.2-19%
- 5.0-08%
Expected goals
1,38–1,20
Both teams to score
53%
Over/under goals
Expected goals: 2,608%
119%
226%
322%
414%
5+12%
Under 2,552%
@1.65
Over 2,548%
@2.27EV+8%
Ready-made bet suggestions
More combos & build your own →02 · 2 legs
Balanced
- Double chance Widzew Łódź or draw (1X)68%
- Under 2.5 goals52%
03 · 2 legs
Bold
- Both teams to score53%
- Over 2.5 goals48%
Odds & value
The model's value spots
Bets where the model's probability beats what the odds imply (EV+).
- 2 · Korona Kielce30% probability@4.05PinnacleEV+22%
- Over 2.548% probability@2.27PinnacleEV+8%
| Bookmaker | 1 · Widzew Łódź | X | 2 · Korona Kielce |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.99 | 3.32 | EV+ 22% 4.05 |
Odds updated 15 Aug, 05:01
Odds movement
Market signal
The market has moved clearly towards under 2.5 goals since 10 August — the odds have shortened from 1.75 to 1.65 (−6%).
1+2 %
50 %45 %
1.95 → 1.99
X-2 %
31 %26 %
3.40 → 3.32
2+4 %
26 %21 %
3.91 → 4.05
Over 2,5+10 %
46 %41 %
2.07 → 2.27
Pinnacle · 6 recorded price levels · 10/08/2026 → 15/08/2026 · fixed scale 5 percentage points
Frequently asked questions
Who wins Widzew Łódź vs Korona Kielce according to our model?
The model gives Widzew Łódź a 40% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Widzew Łódź 40%, draw 30%, Korona Kielce 30%.
What is the most likely scoreline?
The model's most likely final score is 1-1 at 13% probability.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The model rates over 2.5 goals at 48% and under at 52%.
Will both teams score?
The probability of both teams scoring is 53% according to the model.
Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?
The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.
More matches in the league
Predictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.